unemployment

2 statements across 2 episodes · 0 bullish · 2 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement Sep 18, 2023 by Larry Summers · across every show →

Everything said about unemployment, oldest first

Sep 18, 2023 bearish

Assertion Supported

Summers: US always enters recession when inflation exceeds 4%, unemployment below 4%

“There's never been a time when inflation was above four and unemployment was below four and the U.S. Economy didn't go into recession before that situation was resolved.”

Larry Summers Sep 18, 2023 ▶ 3:22 All-In Summit: In conversation with Larry Summers

Jan 25, 2026 negative

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Allaire predicts tech forces will break 4% unemployment and 2% inflation targets

“Four percent unemployment, two percent interest rates. Both of those are going to be challenged. Yeah. Both of those are going to be challenged because of very significant techno Technological and macro forces.”

Jeremy Allaire Jan 25, 2026 ▶ 26:29 The Future of Everything: What CEOs of Circle, CrowdStrike & More See Coming in 2026

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unemployment

Everything said about unemployment, oldest first

Turn any episode into a week of clips.