U.S. national debt

also referred to as: us national debt

10 statements across 8 episodes · 1 bullish · 7 bearish · 8 people on the record · first statement Mar 6, 2021 by David Friedberg · across every show →

Everything said about U.S. national debt, oldest first

Mar 6, 2021 bearish
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: CBO projects US national debt will hit 202% of GDP by 2051
“Yesterday, the CBO put out a projection. This is the budget office I think Congress, and they said that the US national debt is likely to reach 202% of GDP by 20 51.”
David Friedberg Mar 6, 2021 ▶ 17:58 E24: Markets trend down, political pandemic manipulation, stimulus breakdown, biological Patriot Act
May 26, 2022
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tim Urban: Republican concern over national debt vanished under Donald Trump's tax package
“The classic example, the debt was the worst thing in the world during Obama's presidency, and then Trump comes in office, starts doing up these tax packages that are adding to it, and suddenly it's no problem.”
Tim Urban May 26, 2022 ▶ 11:51 #AIS: Tim Urban on political discourse + Keith Rabois on early-stage investing in 2022
Jun 24, 2023 negative
Assertion Supported
Gerstner: Post-9/11 US wars cost $8T and caused millions of deaths
“If we look at the wars the U.S. Has engaged in since September, it's estimated three to four million people have died in Iraq, Pakistan, Afghanistan. We spent eight trillion dollars. Inflation adjusted, we spent four trillion in World War II. Eight trillion re…”
Brad Gerstner Jun 24, 2023 ▶ 26:27 E134: Ukraine counteroffensive, China tensions, COVID Patient Zero, RFK Jr reaction & more
Dec 29, 2023 negative
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Trump and Biden doubled US annual deficit spending over Obama
“In eight years, Obama added eight Trillion. So it was one trillion a year. These new guys getting close to two trillion per year. So they doubled the velocity of spending.”
Jason Calacanis Dec 29, 2023 ▶ 1:03:54 E159: The Bestie Awards! Recapping the best and worst of 2023
May 24, 2025
Assertion Supported
House-passed tax bill estimated to add $3T-$5T to national debt over 10 years
“The House passed the big, beautiful bill at the 11th hour last night. This makes the TCGA tax cuts permanent and it's estimated to increase long run GDP by 60 basis points. That's if all the cuts were implemented. It's also going to reduce tax revenue by four …”
Jason Calacanis May 24, 2025 ▶ 3:27 Bond crisis looming? GOP abandons DOGE, Google disrupts Search with AI, OpenAI buys Jony Ive's IO
May 25, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Sen. Johnson: Trump's 'Big Beautiful Bill' exacerbates America's debt crisis
“That's just the wishful thinking of people putting forward a policy, a one big beautiful bill that doesn't live up to its name, but actually Actually exacerbates the problem.”
Senator Ron Johnson May 25, 2025 ▶ 16:21 Senator Ron Johnson on the Senate showdown over Trump's Big Beautiful Bill | All-In Interview
May 25, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2035
Sen. Johnson projects U.S. national debt will reach $62 to $63 trillion
“The CBO projection right now that is adding another 22 trillion dollars to our debt, it certainly would add at least that. I would argue probably add another three or four trillion dollars, so it's not gonna be 59 trillion, it's gonna be more like 62, 63 trill…”
Senator Ron Johnson May 25, 2025 ▶ 8:54 Senator Ron Johnson on the Senate showdown over Trump's Big Beautiful Bill | All-In Interview
Jun 13, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carlson: US has no plan for debt and faces economic oblivion
“I don't know a single person who's got a, any kind of plan to fix it. I think we're just gonna ride it into whatever the point of oblivion is.”
Tucker Carlson Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 49:50 Tucker Carlson: ICE Raids, LA Riots, Strong Economic Data, Politicized Fed, War with Iran?
Jun 13, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: A 100 bps Fed rate cut would save $300B in debt interest
“What happens if Powell rips in a hundred basis point cut right now? I'll tell you. So one part which is mathematical is the interest on the debt goes down. We save three hundred billion”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 1:07:30 Tucker Carlson: ICE Raids, LA Riots, Strong Economic Data, Politicized Fed, War with Iran?
Sep 9, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Adena Friedman: High U.S. national debt is starting to impact markets
“The amount of debt that we have in the country is something that is, we're starting to see manifest itself in the markets, and we'll make it so that they look for alternatives if they feel like the return characteristics of a treasury are different than what t…”
Adena Friedman Sep 9, 2025 ▶ 21:32 Nasdaq CEO Reveals the Next Era Of The Stock Market - Adena Friedman | All-In Summit
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