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U.S. federal spending

also referred to as: us federal spending

6 statements across 5 episodes · 2 bullish · 3 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Oct 7, 2023 by Chamath Palihapitiya · across every show →

Everything said about U.S. federal spending, oldest first

Oct 7, 2023 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath says 12 individual spending bills would cut US spending by half
“The best thing we could do for America is just force all of these folks in Congress to negotiate 12 bills a year, keep them busy, focus on those bills, get to a, like a compromise, get it to the Senate, get it voted, get it to the president's side. That's it. …”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 7, 2023 ▶ 20:34 E148: McCarthy ousted, border chaos, Cruise's robotaxi "accident" & more
Oct 25, 2024 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: US faces trade-off between spiking unemployment or spiking inflation
“If we cut federal spending too fast, we end up seeing unemployment spike. And if we don't, we're going to have inflation spike.”
David Friedberg Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 50:38 Markets turn Trump, Long rates spike, Election home stretch, Influencer mania, Saving Starbucks
May 24, 2025 positive
What-if
Friedberg: Returning US spending to 2019 levels yields budget surplus and 2% bond yields
“And we would be, by the way, if we did that, we would have a budget surplus and the bonds would be trading down to two percent yields again.”
David Friedberg May 24, 2025 ▶ 36:14 Bond crisis looming? GOP abandons DOGE, Google disrupts Search with AI, OpenAI buys Jony Ive's IO
May 25, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sen. Johnson: U.S. federal spending grew from $4.4T to $6.5T since 2018
“We had gone from 4.4 trillion in 2018 up to 6.5, and we've never looked back.”
Senator Ron Johnson May 25, 2025 ▶ 12:55 Senator Ron Johnson on the Senate showdown over Trump's Big Beautiful Bill | All-In Interview
May 25, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sen. Johnson: U.S. federal spending is projected at $7.3 trillion next year
“Right now we're expected to spend about 7.3 trillion next year.”
Senator Ron Johnson May 25, 2025 ▶ 35:06 Senator Ron Johnson on the Senate showdown over Trump's Big Beautiful Bill | All-In Interview
Jul 11, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Rabois: Capping US spending at 2019 levels would yield budget surplus
“Because if you just held federal spending to 2019 levels, 2019 is not like, you know, decades ago. Literally with our current tax revenues, we would be in a surplus.”
Keith Rabois Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 1:06:28 Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs
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