solar

10 statements across 6 episodes · 4 bullish · 4 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Sep 1, 2023 by Chamath Palihapitiya · across every show →

Everything said about solar, oldest first

Sep 1, 2023 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Chamath: Solar is now the cheapest form of energy per kilowatt-hour
“The cost of solar is effectively now the cheapest form of energy, you know, on a kilowatt per hour basis.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Sep 1, 2023 ▶ 30:55 E144: Biden targets Elon, BRICS challenges the West, Tiger hit piece & more
Jul 4, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Chamath: Solar projects take 17 months from investment to revenue
“It's like 17 months from start to finish. 17 months. So that's probably in my opinion, the single most valuable underwriting feature of solar, which is you put a dollar in, you can start generating revenue in 17 months from that dollar going in.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 4, 2025 ▶ 22:59 Big Beautiful Bill, Elon/Trump, Dollar Down Big, Harvard's Money Problems, Figma IPO
Aug 1, 2025 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Friedberg: Solar energy deployment costs twice as much as natural gas
“It is twice the cost to do solar than it is to do Nat gas.”
David Friedberg Aug 1, 2025 ▶ 28:22 Trump AI Speech & Action Plan, DC Summit Recap, Hot GDP Print, Trade Deals, Altman Warns No Privacy
Aug 1, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: Solar energy accounts for roughly 5% of generation in Texas
“Texas is roughly five percent solar”
David Friedberg Aug 1, 2025 ▶ 28:04 Trump AI Speech & Action Plan, DC Summit Recap, Hot GDP Print, Trade Deals, Altman Warns No Privacy
Aug 1, 2025 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
Friedberg: Methane plants cost half of solar and launch under two years
“These methane plants are half the cost of solar. They can get stood up in Less than two years to generate a gigawatt.”
David Friedberg Aug 1, 2025 ▶ 28:38 Trump AI Speech & Action Plan, DC Summit Recap, Hot GDP Print, Trade Deals, Altman Warns No Privacy
Sep 8, 2025
Assertion Partly supported
Calacanis: China installed 2-3x more solar per capita than US in 2024
“Twenty-twenty-four, they've installed two to three times the amount of solar that America did per capita.”
Jason Calacanis Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 11:35 The Hidden Truth About the US Energy Grid: Subsidies, Demand & Rising Prices - Chris Wright
Sep 8, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2075
Wright: Solar will never reach 10 percent of global energy
“He has a wildly exaggerated view of where solar and batteries will go. And I'd love, if we could make a bet 50 years out, I'll make a bet, solar never gets to 10% of global energy.”
Chris Wright Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 13:15 The Hidden Truth About the US Energy Grid: Subsidies, Demand & Rising Prices - Chris Wright
Oct 10, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2045
Chamath: Nuclear, solar, and natural gas will diminish global oil demand in 10-20 years
“Eventually in the 10 or 15 or 20 year timeframe, you'll have an abundance of electrons from nuclear. In the meantime, you have an abundance of electrons from net gas. You have an abundance of electrons, frankly, from solar. And all of these things will ultimat…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 8:04 Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally
Jul 30, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2031
Chamath: Solar will dominate power generation before nuclear SMRs reach production
“By the time, like any of these SMRs actually get near production, the TCO of solar will be like, 10 or 12 dollars per megawatt hour, and it will be 80% of all the power generation.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 26:37 Chip Stocks Crash, $20B Fund Margin Called, Frontier Labs: SLOW DOWN AI, Mamdani's Grocery Stores
Jul 30, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2030
Chamath: Global solar will make China's 2030 nuclear fusion reactor irrelevant
“That reactor won't even get turned on until 2030. The entire world will be covered by solar by then, so it won't matter.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 30:29 Chip Stocks Crash, $20B Fund Margin Called, Frontier Labs: SLOW DOWN AI, Mamdani's Grocery Stores
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