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Russians

6 statements across 6 episodes · 1 bullish · 2 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Mar 26, 2022 by Brad Gerstner · across every show →

Everything said about Russians, oldest first

Mar 26, 2022 neutral
Prediction Held up
Gerstner: China will not supply weapons to Russia
“This is why they're not going to supply the Russians with weapons.”
Brad Gerstner Mar 26, 2022 ▶ 1:27:57 E73: Late-stage VC markdowns and mistakes, market strategy, Ukraine/Russia update with Brad Gerstner
May 25, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Garcia Martinez: Russia cannot win the war in Ukraine
“I don't see how the Russians win this. Like, this just seems impossible.”
Antonio Garcia Martinez May 25, 2022 ▶ 5:08 #AIS: Antonio Garcia Martinez & Glenn Greenwald debate Ukraine, moderated by David Sacks
Jun 7, 2022
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Russia has 6,000 nuclear weapons usable if existentially threatened
“The Russians have 6000 nuclear weapons, and their military doctrine says they can use them, If they feel that they're existentially threatened.”
David Sacks Jun 7, 2022 ▶ 52:18 #AIS: Bestie AMA with Valor's Antonio Gracias
Oct 14, 2022 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2027
Sacks: Russia will likely use a tactical nuke if Ukraine retakes Crimea
“With the result that I think is quite likely that the Russians will be willing to use a tactical nuke to prevent their total defeat.”
David Sacks Oct 14, 2022 ▶ 1:09:36 E100: Reflecting on the first 100 shows, fan questions, nuclear threat, markets, Amazon & more
Jun 24, 2023
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Istanbul outline required Russian withdrawal for Ukrainian NATO neutrality
“What the deal would have provided is that the Russians would move back to pre-war lines if the Ukrainians would agree not to become a member of NATO.”
David Sacks Jun 24, 2023 ▶ 20:50 E134: Ukraine counteroffensive, China tensions, COVID Patient Zero, RFK Jr reaction & more
Aug 21, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Russia lacks intention and capability to invade another country
“I don't think the Russians have the intention to invade another country, and they don't have the capability.”
David Sacks Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 57:44 Senator Eric Schmitt: Exposing the Biggest Censorship Scandal in US History
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