quantum computer

also referred to as: quantum computers

5 statements across 2 episodes · 2 bullish · 1 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement Mar 20, 2021 by David Friedberg · across every show →

Everything said about quantum computer, oldest first

Mar 20, 2021
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2060
Friedberg: Quantum computers won't crack RSA-2048 encryption before 2040
“The estimate currently by some researchers is that this there's a less than five percent chance this happens before the year 2040. So we're talking somewhere between the year 2040 and the 2060. When we get a quantum computer that has enough logical qubits to b…”
David Friedberg Mar 20, 2021 ▶ 25:33 E26: State of Venture Capital, plus fan questions on longevity, decentralization & quantum computing
Mar 20, 2021 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Quantum computing breakthroughs this decade will center on material modeling
“Over the next hundred next 10 years or so, the current super noisy, super low fidelity quantum computers can be used to simulate quantum states, which is the condition of atoms and molecules, and use that to do better modeling of physiochemical properties of m…”
David Friedberg Mar 20, 2021 ▶ 26:01 E26: State of Venture Capital, plus fan questions on longevity, decentralization & quantum computing
Oct 27, 2025 negative
Opinion
Martinis: Current quantum computers are not big or reliable enough yet
“They aren't really big enough to be useful yet. They have to get bigger, and they have to get better. Less noise.”
John Martinis Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 37:14 Nobel Prize in Physics Winner: The Quantum Leap That Changed Everything - John Martinis
Oct 27, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Martinis: General-purpose quantum computers will require one million qubits
“And because of that, you're talking about a million qubit quantum computers to be general purpose and solve really hard problems. There might be some million. A million is a good round number for it. Maybe a little bit more. And right now we're at, you know, a…”
John Martinis Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 40:35 Nobel Prize in Physics Winner: The Quantum Leap That Changed Everything - John Martinis
Oct 27, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Martinis: Google's 53-qubit experiment successfully demonstrated quantum supremacy
“We published this quantum supremacy experiment with 53 qubits, where we made a lot of qubits, and we made them really good, and, you know, fast and whatever, so that we could run some algorithm, mathematical algorithm, that what, we produced some output that w…”
John Martinis Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 29:50 Nobel Prize in Physics Winner: The Quantum Leap That Changed Everything - John Martinis
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