private equity

also referred to as: pe

12 statements across 11 episodes · 2 bullish · 8 bearish · 5 people on the record · first statement Dec 16, 2022 by Chamath Palihapitiya · across every show →

Everything said about private equity, oldest first

Dec 16, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Coupa acquisition signals incoming wave of PE deals in tech
“And so I think Coupa is like the canary in the coal mine. It is the beginning of what I suspect is a tidal wave of PE sponsored deals in tech companies, largely SaaS, but may go into other realms.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Dec 16, 2022 ▶ 53:05 E108: Doxing debate, Nuclear fusion breakthrough, state of the markets & more
Apr 21, 2023 negative
Opinion
Chamath: Private equity sees startup valuation ground truth better than VCs
“They really kind of see the truth, the ground truth much better than VCs do in general.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 21, 2023 ▶ 1:06:36 E125: SpaceX launch, Fox News settlement, "Zombie-corn" exodus to AI, late-stage implosion
Jul 9, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Over-levered real estate and PE firms face trillions in capital losses
“There's a whole portfolio of over levered companies in real estate. And there's a whole portfolio of over levered companies in private equity. Those folks will have to get recapped. And that will probably cost trillions of dollars of capital impairment.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 9, 2023 ▶ 44:14 E136: Hacking the pod, Threads launches, Fed minutes, immigration, balloon farce, heart health
Nov 3, 2023 bullish
Prediction Partly held up
Sacks: Private equity will buy WeWork out of bankruptcy and profit immensely
“I actually think that some private equity player is going to buy this out of bankruptcy and make a fortune.”
David Sacks Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 43:06 E152: Real estate chaos, WeWork bankruptcy, Biden regulates AI, Ukraine's “Cronkite Moment” & more
Jul 4, 2025
Assertion Supported
Chamath: Harvard recently sold $1B of private equity at a 7% discount
“Harvard was able to sell a billion dollars recently of private equity stuff and managers that they didn't want to support anymore at a seven percent discount.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 4, 2025 ▶ 56:50 Big Beautiful Bill, Elon/Trump, Dollar Down Big, Harvard's Money Problems, Figma IPO
Jul 4, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Chamath: Harvard's PE allocation doubled to 40% between 2019 and 2025
“From 2019 to this year, almost doubled from 20 to 40%”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 4, 2025 ▶ 56:27 Big Beautiful Bill, Elon/Trump, Dollar Down Big, Harvard's Money Problems, Figma IPO
Aug 15, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Venture capital will transition to look like private equity
“The industry, the venture industry in massive transition, it's going to start looking a little bit like private equity. And a little bit like Gavin or Brad, where they're private and public market investors, and you're seeing buyouts occur.”
Jason Calacanis Aug 15, 2025 ▶ 1:19:37 AI Psychosis, America's Broken Social Fabric, Trump Takes Over DC Police, Is VC Broken?
Oct 3, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Private equity returns will drop to zero due to overcapitalization
“And when you see that kind of graph, it doesn't matter what asset class it is, the returns go to zero. And so we've seen this in venture capital. We've seen this in hedge funds. And we're now going to see this in private equity.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 3, 2025 ▶ 15:25 Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy
Oct 6, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2030
Chamath Palihapitiya: Private equity returns will drop to zero
“And when you see that kind of graph, it doesn't matter what asset class it is, the returns go to zero. And so we've seen this in venture capital. We've seen this in hedge funds. And we're now going to see this in private equity.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 2:45 The Next Bubble Is Already Here - Chamath Palihapitiya
Oct 16, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Chamath: Private equity firms refuse to buy his successful software startup
“The least success I've had At the software company I started has been selling into private equity. It's like I have fortune, 500 and fortune, 1000 customers lining out the door. I couldn't sell to one single private equity company.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 32:20 1929 vs 2025: Andrew Ross Sorkin on Crashes, Bubbles & Lessons Learned
Mar 11, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
SEC Chair Atkins says investment returns increasingly bypass the public
“The return on investment is you know, mainly to the insiders, private equity, venture capital the corporate officers and employees versus the public because they're mature companies when they actually go public.”
Paul Atkins Mar 11, 2026 ▶ 2:41 They're Opening the Stock Market to Everyone. Here's What That Actually Means
Jul 21, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cuban: AI bubble won't harm average Americans, could destroy VCs
“So it's not a bubble that's going to impact most people in the room, right? Or most people across the U S but it could just destroy a lot of VCs and a lot of funds and a lot of PE, right? Because they're going all in.”
Mark Cuban Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 0:32 Mark Cuban on the AI Bubble: Who Actually Gets Wiped Out?
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