Pennsylvania

31 statements across 11 episodes · 14 bullish · 4 bearish · 10 people on the record · first statement Jul 11, 2020 by Chamath Palihapitiya · said 160 times in 48 episodes since 2020 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by David Sacks (48), Chamath Palihapitiya (34), Jason Calacanis (12), John Fetterman (9), Senator Dave McCormick (8), David Friedberg (6), Howard Lutnick (4), Michael Newman (3)

tap a year for its mentions
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08152020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
007.57.515152020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 41 mentions in 11 episodes 4 per episode
2025 19 mentions in 9 episodes 2 per episode
2024 39 mentions in 15 episodes 3 per episode
2023 5 mentions in 4 episodes 1 per episode
2022 9 mentions in 4 episodes 2 per episode
2021 2 mentions in 1 episode
2020 45 mentions in 4 episodes 11 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Pennsylvania, oldest first

Jul 11, 2020
Prediction Partly held up
Trump will lose Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Florida before he loses Georgia
“If you think that there is an even remote chance that Donald Trump loses Georgia, Don't even worry about Minnesota and Pennsylvania and Florida because he would have already lost those in order to lose Georgia.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 11, 2020 ▶ 1:29:16 E5: WHO's incompetence, kicking off Cold War II, China's grand plan, 100X'ing American efficiency
Nov 4, 2020
Prediction Held up
Sacks predicts 2020 election will come down to PA, MI, and courts
“This is going to come down to Pennsylvania, Michigan, and it's going to take days to do those counts and we're probably gonna end up in the courts.”
David Sacks Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 2:30:36 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 4, 2020
Prediction Held up
Chamath: Any election night result will be incomplete without Pennsylvania
“Any result that's called tonight, I think is going to be incomplete because they're not gonna call Pennsylvania because they're not gonna call Philly.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 1:03:28 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 4, 2020
Assertion Contradicted
Friedberg: Pennsylvania has counted 12% of 2.5M mail-in ballots
“They've counted only 12% of the mail-in ballots. Which is, and the total mail-in ballots is 2.5 million.”
David Friedberg Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 15:00 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 4, 2020
Assertion Contradicted
Michael Newman: Pennsylvania and Michigan cannot tabulate votes until polls close
“Pennsylvania, unfortunately, and Michigan as well, are states that aren't allowed to start tabulating until all the polls are closed.”
Michael Newman Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 1:05:16 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 4, 2020 neutral
Prediction Held up
Newman: 2020 election results in key swing states could take until weekend
“Unfortunately, all four of those states are going to probably take at least a day. Arizona, three days, I think, to count. Maybe not this year because So much of the vote was early. Maybe it'll move faster, but they are notoriously slow counters. So settle in.…”
Michael Newman Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 1:07:33 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 4, 2020
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Trump must sweep Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania to win
“Trump now has to win Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania in order to win the presidency. If Biden wins any one of those three states, he wins. He has to be a three for three in Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.”
David Sacks Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 2:52:33 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Sep 12, 2023
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ro Khanna: Democrats cannot win Rust Belt states without addressing industrial loss
“Until other people in the Democratic Party can speak to folks in places like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio, about the loss that they have felt in, ah, industry and can connect and have a real vision there, they're not going to be able to win those states.”
Ro Khanna Sep 12, 2023 ▶ 27:40 All-In Summit: Ro Khanna on China, political reform, major challenges facing the US and more
Sep 17, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Portnoy: Barstool Sportsbook launch reached around 15% market share in Pennsylvania
“And the launch is actually. Very successful in terms of, you know, we were up 15% or so in Pennsylvania, other states, pretty good launches”
Dave Portnoy Sep 17, 2024 ▶ 15:47 Dave Portnoy: How He Bought Back Barstool for $1 | The All-In Interview
Nov 1, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Republican early voting in Pennsylvania is up 500,000 over 2020
“It looks like the early voting in Pennsylvania is trending 500,000 votes better For Republicans in the early voting than four years ago.”
David Sacks Nov 1, 2024 ▶ 1:09:35 Inflated GDP?, Google earnings, How the media lost trust, Rogan/Trump search controversy, Election!
Nov 6, 2024 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Friedberg claims 100,000 unpolled Amish voters backed Trump in Pennsylvania
“And they all get together and a 100,000 of them take their buggies and they went to vote and they're not showing up in any pollster reports.”
David Friedberg Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 1:02:33 2024 Election Night Livestream with the Besties!
Nov 16, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Prediction market odds briefly shifted toward Harris just before election
“In the last few days of the election, there was a weird blip where Polly Market and Calci especially, Calci even more than Polly Market, all of a sudden flipped to Kamala. And you could see this particularly in Pennsylvania, where all of a sudden there was a b…”
David Sacks Nov 16, 2024 ▶ 45:02 Trump's market impact: Bitcoin, M&A, IPOs + transition picks; Polymarket CEO raided by FBI
Dec 24, 2025 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Tony Hinchcliffe: Trump saw 20% Puerto Rican support bump in Pennsylvania
“20% Puerto Rican increase in the state of Pennsylvania.”
Tony Hinchcliffe Dec 24, 2025 ▶ 19:09 All-In x Kill Tony: A Hilarious Holiday Special
Mar 18, 2026
Assertion Supported
Fetterman notes Pennsylvania identified only six 2020 voter fraud cases, all Republicans
“There was no fraud. And they, we identified, I think, believe it was six, six or seven. In fact, and now, coincidentally, they all happened to be Republicans that were voting for President Trump, and mostly they used a dead relative to try to devote that, and …”
John Fetterman Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 22:42 John Fetterman: 'I'm the Only Democrat in Congress Saying This'
Apr 8, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Shapiro says 60% of PA state hires lack college degrees
“So now 60%, six 60% of all of our hires in state government Don't have a college degree.”
Josh Shapiro Apr 8, 2026 ▶ 34:50 Josh Shapiro on Trump, Iran War Chaos, Israel's Failure, the Economy, and 2028 Race
Apr 8, 2026 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Shapiro claims Pennsylvania is Northeast's only growing economy
“We are now the only growing economy in the northeastern part of the United States.”
Josh Shapiro Apr 8, 2026 ▶ 3:34 Josh Shapiro on Trump, Iran War Chaos, Israel's Failure, the Economy, and 2028 Race
Apr 8, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Shapiro: Pennsylvania issued 40M permits with only 5 late refunds
“We've issued forty million permits During my time as governor, we've only had to issue five refunds, meaning only five of those permits were late.”
Josh Shapiro Apr 8, 2026 ▶ 3:24 Josh Shapiro on Trump, Iran War Chaos, Israel's Failure, the Economy, and 2028 Race
Apr 8, 2026 negative
Disclosure
Shapiro rejects wealth and unrealized capital gains taxes in Pennsylvania
“That kind of tax that you're describing is not something we have here. It's certainly not something on, on my agenda.”
Josh Shapiro Apr 8, 2026 ▶ 14:35 Josh Shapiro on Trump, Iran War Chaos, Israel's Failure, the Economy, and 2028 Race
Apr 8, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Shapiro eliminated college degree requirements for PA state jobs
“The first day I was governor, the first executive order I signed was to do away with the college degree requirement to work for state government.”
Josh Shapiro Apr 8, 2026 ▶ 34:31 Josh Shapiro on Trump, Iran War Chaos, Israel's Failure, the Economy, and 2028 Race
Apr 8, 2026 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Shapiro: Pennsylvania has cut taxes seven times and has low income tax rate
“We've cut taxes seven times in Pennsylvania. We've got one of the lowest income taxes in the entire country.”
Josh Shapiro Apr 8, 2026 ▶ 14:23 Josh Shapiro on Trump, Iran War Chaos, Israel's Failure, the Economy, and 2028 Race
Apr 8, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Shapiro: Trump tariffs raised PA coffee prices 30% and fertilizer 36%
“And as a result, here in Pennsylvania, what we're seeing is coffee prices are up 30%. Beef is up 19%. OJ orange juice is up nine percent. The fertilizers my farmers rely on here in Pennsylvania, up 36%.”
Josh Shapiro Apr 8, 2026 ▶ 29:05 Josh Shapiro on Trump, Iran War Chaos, Israel's Failure, the Economy, and 2028 Race
Apr 8, 2026 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Shapiro says PA reduced barber license wait times from 20 days to same-day
“The day I took office, it took 20 days for a barber to get their permit, to be able to go out and cut hair. Today you get it same day, you get it within that day.”
Josh Shapiro Apr 8, 2026 ▶ 7:04 Josh Shapiro on Trump, Iran War Chaos, Israel's Failure, the Economy, and 2028 Race
Apr 8, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2028
Shapiro: Gas prices will probably take years to decrease
“Obviously this war has spiked gas prices up today about four 15, four 16 here in Pennsylvania, similar across the country, probably years before those gas prices come down, even if the war, you know, hopefully ends, you know, very, very soon.”
Josh Shapiro Apr 8, 2026 ▶ 29:35 Josh Shapiro on Trump, Iran War Chaos, Israel's Failure, the Economy, and 2028 Race
Apr 8, 2026
Assertion Partly supported
Shapiro: Pennsylvania added 2,000 police officers, cutting fatal gun violence 42%
“We didn't talk about this yet, but we've hired 2000 more police officers invested in community violence prevention, and violent crime is down 12%. Fatal gun violence is down 42% in our commonwealth.”
Josh Shapiro Apr 8, 2026 ▶ 27:31 Josh Shapiro on Trump, Iran War Chaos, Israel's Failure, the Economy, and 2028 Race
Apr 8, 2026 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Shapiro claims Pennsylvania ranks third nationally in job creation
“We've created more jobs in all but two states in the entire country.”
Josh Shapiro Apr 8, 2026 ▶ 2:47 Josh Shapiro on Trump, Iran War Chaos, Israel's Failure, the Economy, and 2028 Race
Apr 8, 2026 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027
Shapiro predicts Trump policies will cost 500,000 Pennsylvanians their healthcare
“I've got 500,000 Pennsylvanians who are going to lose their health care. I've got a 120,000 who have already lost their health care. About another 320,000 or so were likely to lose Medicaid next year. I've got 26 rural hospitals that are likely to shutter”
Josh Shapiro Apr 8, 2026 ▶ 19:04 Josh Shapiro on Trump, Iran War Chaos, Israel's Failure, the Economy, and 2028 Race
Jun 10, 2026 positive
Assertion Partly supported
McCormick: Pennsylvania is second-largest energy-producing state in US
“We're the fourth largest natural gas reserves in the world. If we were a country, Pennsylvania would be number four. This is the economic engine for our state. Our state is the second largest energy producer in the country.”
Senator Dave McCormick Jun 10, 2026 ▶ 34:36 Senators John Fetterman and Dave McCormick: Bipartisanship, Money in DC, Datacenters, Graham Platner
Jun 10, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
McCormick: PA energy summit secured $92B in investment commitments
“Dina and I hosted an energy and innovation summit in Pennsylvania last July. We had ninety two billion dollars of investment committed.”
Senator Dave McCormick Jun 10, 2026 ▶ 29:26 Senators John Fetterman and Dave McCormick: Bipartisanship, Money in DC, Datacenters, Graham Platner
Jun 10, 2026 positive
Assertion Partly supported
McCormick: Pennsylvania overdose deaths fell 60% to 1,600 this year
“We had 4000 people who died in Pennsylvania in the last year of the Biden administration at 1600. This year it's down 60%, those same statistics nationally.”
Senator Dave McCormick Jun 10, 2026 ▶ 13:04 Senators John Fetterman and Dave McCormick: Bipartisanship, Money in DC, Datacenters, Graham Platner
Jun 10, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
McCormick: Young trade workers on PA infrastructure projects earn over $100k annually
“They're in their late teens, early twenties. They're making more than a hundred grand a year in these sites, and they can't build, they can't hire quick enough.”
Senator Dave McCormick Jun 10, 2026 ▶ 37:54 Senators John Fetterman and Dave McCormick: Bipartisanship, Money in DC, Datacenters, Graham Platner
Jun 10, 2026
Prediction Not checkable as stated
McCormick: Working-class coalition winner will dictate the 2028 election
“Who wins that coalition in Pennsylvania and who wins it in the country, I think will dictate the future to a large degree in twenty-twenty-eight and beyond.”
Senator Dave McCormick Jun 10, 2026 ▶ 6:22 Senators John Fetterman and Dave McCormick: Bipartisanship, Money in DC, Datacenters, Graham Platner
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