House of Representatives

5 statements across 4 episodes · 1 bullish · 2 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Jul 30, 2021 by Chamath Palihapitiya · across every show →

Everything said about House of Representatives, oldest first

Jul 30, 2021 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Palihapitiya: Republicans will not win back the House in 2022 midterms
“I think that the Republicans were probably trending to basically win back the house. And now I don't think that's the case.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 30, 2021 ▶ 6:41 E42: China's tech crackdown, CRISPR breakthrough, practical climate change solutions & more
Aug 26, 2022 positive
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Republicans will likely win the House in 2022 midterms
“I think what's likely to happen in November is still that the Republicans win one of the chambers, probably the house.”
David Sacks Aug 26, 2022 ▶ 1:06:40 E93: Twitter whistleblower, cloud security vulnerabilities, student debt forgiveness & more
Nov 19, 2022 negative
Opinion
Sacks: House Republicans should investigate SBF and FTX before Hunter Biden
“The first investigation by the House of Representatives needs to be SBF and FTX, not Hunter Biden. SBF makes Hunter Biden look like a piker. I mean, you know, Hunter Biden was what? A couple million dollars of grift. This is ten billion dollars plus a grift.”
David Sacks Nov 19, 2022 ▶ 1:34:27 E105: Tech culture wars: Elon vs. SBF, Sabotaging Republicans with Trump
Jun 29, 2026
Insight
Nate Silver: Conditional on winning Senate, Democrats almost certainly win House
“They're almost perfectly correlated. So if the odds of Democrats winning the Senate, but not the House are like one percent, if you go to Kalshi or Polymarket, whatever else, they have to be like around one percent. So conditional on Democrats winning the Sena…”
Nate Silver Jun 29, 2026 ▶ 54:09 Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading, President AOC?!
Jun 29, 2026
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2026
Nate Silver: Democrats have an 85% to 90% chance to take the House
“Prediction markets say Democrats are around, I think, 80 or 85% to take the House and 40 or 45% to take the Senate. Those both seem pretty reasonable to me. I think, if anything, it's a little bit low on the House. I think it might be more like 85 or 90.”
Nate Silver Jun 29, 2026 ▶ 50:02 Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading, President AOC?!
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