gut intuition
1 statements across 1 episodes · 0 bullish · 1 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement May 30, 2022 by Nate Silver · across every show →
Everything said about gut intuition, oldest first
May 30, 2022 negative
Silver: Gut intuition is ineffective for forecasting rare events like elections
“I think people can, in matters that happen only occasionally, like a presidential election, people think, well, my gut is that so-and-so will win. You don't have enough practice at forecasting elections to really, for that to be very useful, right?”