financial markets

7 statements across 5 episodes · 0 bullish · 5 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Nov 4, 2020 by Chamath Palihapitiya · across every show →

Everything said about financial markets, oldest first

Nov 4, 2020 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Trump prematurely declaring victory is the market disaster scenario
“There's one thing and so far it hasn't happened and if we avoid it, we're going to fade a really big out here. Which is Trump declares victory right now. I think that is the disaster scenario because I think Biden's going to get up there.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 2:51:40 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 4, 2020 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Markets will turn risk-off if no clear election winner emerges tonight
“If that's the case tomorrow morning, if we go to bed in another hour and a half, or if we finish this thing in another hour, and there is no winner, a clear winner, I think markets will be back to sort of modestly risk off tomorrow.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 1:16:36 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 4, 2020 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: Markets are prepared to navigate another four years of Trump
“I think the market's fully prepared to manage its way through another four years of Trump, so I think that's, you know, the reason we're seeing the futures react the way they are, is it's a whole lot of nothing.”
Brad Gerstner Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 1:24:15 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Jul 30, 2021 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: The US and China look set to decouple financial markets
“And that is why I think you're seeing, you know, giant ripple effects now because I mean, to Chamath's point about decoupling, we now it looks like are going to be decoupling our financial markets.”
David Sacks Jul 30, 2021 ▶ 27:34 E42: China's tech crackdown, CRISPR breakthrough, practical climate change solutions & more
Oct 1, 2022 bearish
Opinion
Sacks: Investors should not re-enter markets amid Russia-Ukraine geopolitical risk
“And I don't see how anyone, I don't see anyone should reenter the markets with this geopolitical risk hanging over our heads.”
David Sacks Oct 1, 2022 ▶ 1:07:49 E98: Big tech starts making cuts, Fed incompetency, global debt, Russia/Ukraine & more
Jul 14, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Financial markets will eventually force U.S. fiscal discipline
“I think at the end of the day, the market's probably going to impose discipline on us. Yeah, you're right. The cost of borrowing will become so painful.”
David Sacks Jul 14, 2023 ▶ 58:56 E137: Inflation cools, market rips, Ripple/MSFT beat regulators, NATO summit, cocktails of youth
Sep 22, 2023 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Palihapitiya: Markets pushed back expected Fed rate cut timeline by one year
“So I think what happened this week is actually pretty important because I think the markets were really trying to force Jerome Powell to start the cutting cycle, and now they had to move the date at which they could expect cuts out by a year.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 1:15:11 E146: Did the Fed break the VC model? Plus IPOs, M&A, revaluing unicorns & more
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