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Fed funds rate

3 statements across 3 episodes · 1 bullish · 0 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement May 27, 2022 by Chamath Palihapitiya · across every show →

Everything said about Fed funds rate, oldest first

May 27, 2022
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chamath: Fed will hike 50 bps in June and July before pausing
“There's going to be two 50 point hikes, one in June and one in July, and then effectively a pause because then the Fed funds rate will be at around two percent, and everything from there will probably be path and data dependent.”
Chamath Palihapitiya May 27, 2022 ▶ 21:14 E83: Market slide continues, and how to address Uvalde
Mar 22, 2024 neutral
Prediction Partly held up
Chamath: Fed funds rate will drop to 3.75%-4% by late 2025
“Powell did say, finally, it looks pretty likely we're gonna get these three cuts, so we're gonna be down to four and a half to four, seven, five on Fed funds by the end of the year. It probably means that we'll get another 50 to 75 basis points through 20, 25,…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 1:03:04 E171: DOJ sues Apple, AI arms race, Reddit IPO, Realtor settlement & more
Aug 29, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Chamath: SOFR is a better rate mechanism than the Fed funds rate
“I think SOFR is a much better rate mechanism than the Fed funds rate at this point.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 15:38 Trump Takes On the Fed, US-Intel Deal, Why Bankruptcies Are Up, OpenAI's Longevity Breakthrough
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