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European Union

also referred to as: eu

13 statements across 12 episodes · 1 bullish · 9 bearish · 6 people on the record · first statement Sep 10, 2022 by David Friedberg · said 177 times in 68 episodes since 2020 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Jason Calacanis (74), David Sacks (36), David Friedberg (23), Chamath Palihapitiya (12), Donald J. Trump (7), Sarah B. Rogers (6), Antonio Garcia Martinez (5), Rahm Emanuel (2)

tap a year for its mentions
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010202020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
002104202020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 25 mentions in 8 episodes 3 per episode
2025 45 mentions in 20 episodes 2 per episode
2024 11 mentions in 6 episodes 2 per episode
2023 43 mentions in 14 episodes 3 per episode
2022 43 mentions in 13 episodes 3 per episode
2021 8 mentions in 5 episodes 2 per episode
2020 2 mentions in 2 episodes 1 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about European Union, oldest first

Sep 10, 2022
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2027
Friedberg predicts peace deal trading Ukrainian territory for Russian gas
“And so my guess is huge amount of money from the West and EU going into Ukraine. Ukraine agrees to let Putin keep some regions, some assets, Putin agrees to remove himself from certain regions and give up certain assets. Sanctions are partially lifted, but the…”
David Friedberg Sep 10, 2022 ▶ 35:25 E95: Winter is Coming, Europe's energy crisis, Kim Kardashian's new PE firm & more
Dec 24, 2022 negative
Opinion
Chamath: The EU was the biggest international political loser of 2022
“Yeah, and I think that the biggest political loser outside of the United States was probably the European Union.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Dec 24, 2022 ▶ 10:40 E109: 2022 Bestie Awards Live from Twitter HQ
Jul 14, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Inflation and spending will drive higher interest rates in U.S. and EU
“Over time that translates into a way to manage the inflation, but also to raise the capital, which means you have to pay higher rates. And this is in the EU and the U S that it seems this is going to be the case.”
David Friedberg Jul 14, 2023 ▶ 20:10 E137: Inflation cools, market rips, Ripple/MSFT beat regulators, NATO summit, cocktails of youth
Oct 20, 2023 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Tech companies will likely apply EU censorship policies in the US
“There is a risk that these same policies get applied in the US. That is what happened with privacy. Remember, Europe went first with GDPR, and then a lot of those regulations came to America. Now, the first amendment may stand in the way here, but there is som…”
David Sacks Oct 20, 2023 ▶ 59:06 E150: Israel/Gaza escalating or not? EU censorship regime, Penn donors revolt, GLP-1 hype cycle
Feb 15, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: China's GDP will scale while EU's stagnates under techno-pessimism
“China's GDP will scale while the EU's will stagnate if that's where they go.”
David Friedberg Feb 15, 2025 ▶ 37:43 JD Vance's AI Speech, Techno-Optimists vs Doomers, Tariffs, AI Court Cases with Naval Ravikant
Mar 8, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: EU imposes 10% tariff on US cars versus 2.5% US tariff
“When we send cars to the EU, they get a 10% tariff, but when we get their cars, it's a two and a half percent tariff.”
Jason Calacanis Mar 8, 2025 ▶ 23:26 Tariffs, Trump's Economic Endgame, Market Chaos, Bitcoin Reserve, CoreWeave IPO
Mar 8, 2025 negative
Opinion
Chamath: EU regulatory overreach harms European companies and citizens
“The European Union itself was created almost without any real teeth, and so what happened is the folks there started to pass inordinate numbers of laws. And that has made it really complicated to be a European company, a European citizen”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 8, 2025 ▶ 1:19:09 Tariffs, Trump's Economic Endgame, Market Chaos, Bitcoin Reserve, CoreWeave IPO
Aug 1, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: US-EU trade deal includes zero tariffs and $600B US investment
“The EU is going to open its markets to U.S. Products, no tariff on U.S. Products, but they will pay a 15% tariff coming into the U.S. They're going to be investing six hundred billion in the U.S. They're going to be buying seven hundred fifty billion of U.S. E…”
David Sacks Aug 1, 2025 ▶ 1:07:06 Trump AI Speech & Action Plan, DC Summit Recap, Hot GDP Print, Trade Deals, Altman Warns No Privacy
Aug 22, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: EU and Germany will never buy Russian oil again
“These people are never going to buy his oil again. Not after what happened here.”
Jason Calacanis Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 1:04:26 AI Bubble Pops, Zuck Freezes Hiring, Newsom’s 2028 Surge, Russia/Ukraine Endgame
Sep 15, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Robinhood offers public and private tokenized securities in the EU
“We've made both available to some extent in the EU.”
Vlad Tenev Sep 15, 2025 ▶ 12:50 Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev on tokenizing stocks, expanding access to private shares, fintech's future
Dec 24, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: European Union fined Elon Musk 120 million euros
“They fined him a hundred, twenty million euro yesterday.”
David Friedberg Dec 24, 2025 ▶ 34:27 All-In x Kill Tony: A Hilarious Holiday Special
Jan 22, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Rogers: US sanctioned former EU official over Elon Musk enforcement threat
“We recently issued some sanctions, which we'll get into, and one of the individuals we sanctioned, ah, was a former EU official who threatened Elon Musk with enforcement action because X within the United States had said that it was going to host on a live, ah…”
Sarah B. Rogers Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 7:18 Europe's Free Speech Failure and the "Censorship Industrial Complex" with Sarah B. Rogers
Jan 23, 2026 negative
Opinion
Sacks: EU AI strategy suffers from regulatory 'main character syndrome'
“When the EU talks about AI leadership, they're talking about the regulators, and they think their value-add is, well, we're gonna show the whole world the regulatory model for AI. So It's kind of a bad case of main character syndrome where you know, where like…”
David Sacks Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 41:21 Inside America’s AI Strategy: Infrastructure, Regulation, and Global Competition
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