COVID-19 vaccine

also referred to as: covid-19 vaccines

17 statements across 13 episodes · 2 bullish · 5 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Apr 11, 2020 by Chamath Palihapitiya · across every show →

Everything said about COVID-19 vaccine, oldest first

Apr 11, 2020 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Without a vaccine, economy won't reach 100% for two years
“Getting back to work is going to be much, much more difficult than people think. I think that In the absence of a vaccine, which looks like at best, 18 to 24 months from now, we will never get to a hundred percent of where we were before, or at least the poten…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 11, 2020 ▶ 42:47 E2: Rebooting economy, understanding corporate debt, avoiding a depression & more with David Sacks
Jun 20, 2020
Prediction Held up
Friedberg: Staged release of COVID-19 vaccines will likely start in Q4 2020
“So there's gonna, I think there's gonna be a staged release of vaccines that'll probably believe it or not, start in Q four of this year.”
David Friedberg Jun 20, 2020 ▶ 1:03:41 E4: Politicizing the pandemic, Police reform, Twitter vs Facebook with David Sacks & David Friedberg
Nov 25, 2020 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: US economy will bounce back strongly in 2021 due to vaccines
“If I do think the economy is going to bounce back really strong next year because of the vaccines, right? I think you've got to say that if these vaccines and COVID in the next three, four, five months, 20, 21 is going to be a great year.”
David Sacks Nov 25, 2020 ▶ 1:04:14 E13: SPACsgiving Special! Vaccine news, innovation vs regulation, fixing higher ed, challenge trials
Jan 8, 2021 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: 40% to 60% of COVID vaccine recipients experience side effects
“When you get a you know, a vaccine, if you get one of these vaccines, a 40% to 60% of people are gonna have some sort of reaction, you're gonna have a fever, because these are, these produce a ton of proteins in your body, relative to what you would normally, …”
David Friedberg Jan 8, 2021 ▶ 1:03:33 E16: Reflecting on the riots at the US Capitol, plus: Georgia runoffs, vaccine distribution & more
Feb 20, 2021
Assertion Contradicted
Friedberg: US produces and delivers 3 to 4 million vaccine doses daily
“The U.S. Has enough supply to vaccinate pretty much anyone that wants to get vaccinated, because we are producing and delivering three to four million doses per day in the U.S. Right now.”
David Friedberg Feb 20, 2021 ▶ 47:44 E23: Radical DAs, breaking down FB/Google vs. Australia, sustained fear post-vaccine & fan questions
Feb 20, 2021
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Friedberg predicts people will fly without masks by June 2021
“It feels to me like we're probably May, June, when enough people are vaccinated that we can have, you know, a circumstance where people are going to fly without masks and be comfortable doing so.”
David Friedberg Feb 20, 2021 ▶ 48:47 E23: Radical DAs, breaking down FB/Google vs. Australia, sustained fear post-vaccine & fan questions
Apr 1, 2021 neutral
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Zero documented cases globally of fully vaccinated individuals transmitting COVID
“Besides the statistics on this you know, there is no documented proof that someone was fully vaccinated and transmitted COVID to someone else out of four hundred million total vaccinations globally.”
David Friedberg Apr 1, 2021 ▶ 1:14:24 E28: Current state of public & private markets, Archegos debacle, US debt issues, wealth tax & more
Jul 23, 2021 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Palihapitiya: Future COVID variant will overcome vaccines and shut down economy
“At a certain amount of time, you're going to have a variant that that is, you know, basically will overcome all the vaccines we have, will kill enormous numbers of people, including the vaccinated will literally shut the economy down. And that's a probabilisti…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 23, 2021 ▶ 13:33 E41: Vaccine policy, Big Tech, DeepMind's latest breakthrough, wealth creation, opportunity & more
Jul 23, 2021
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Massive COVID-19 vaccine stockpiles are going to waste in US
“There's huge stockpiles of vaccine in the US that are going to waste right now.”
David Sacks Jul 23, 2021 ▶ 14:36 E41: Vaccine policy, Big Tech, DeepMind's latest breakthrough, wealth creation, opportunity & more
Jul 30, 2021 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sacks: COVID-19 vaccines provide spectrum of protection, but vaccinated people transmit Delta
“Delta variant has slipped the vaccine. It still prevents the most serious cases. Generally speaking, we need to see it as a spectrum of protection rather than completely binary. But yeah, absolutely. You can get it and pass it on if you're vaccinated.”
David Sacks Jul 30, 2021 ▶ 2:39 E42: China's tech crackdown, CRISPR breakthrough, practical climate change solutions & more
Sep 4, 2021 negative
Assertion Supported
Friedberg notes COVID vaccines do not seem to eliminate virus transmission
“The vax doesn't seem to eliminate transmission right now.”
David Friedberg Sep 4, 2021 ▶ 12:29 E45: Theranos & VC fraud risks, China bans video games, Texas SB8, Apple app store, CA fires, Rogan
Oct 16, 2021 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
David Sacks: The COVID-19 vaccine is what will end the pandemic
“I genuinely think it's a great thing that it got done so quickly. It's a miracle of science, and I think it's helped a lot of people. I mean, all of us. I mean, it's the thing that's going to end the pandemic. Largely already has.”
David Sacks Oct 16, 2021 ▶ 1:21:38 E51: Supply Chain Shortages, Inflation, DeSantis, Ted Sarandos Netflix Memo, Cancel Culture, Fan Q&A
Jan 27, 2023 neutral
Opinion
Palihapitiya: A commission should probably investigate COVID vaccine data
“Because of all this, it probably is reasonable to take a step back and have a commission that just uncovers all of this stuff.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 27, 2023 ▶ 57:29 E113: DOJ tries to break up Google, vaccine questions, Ukraine escalation & more
Jan 27, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Friedberg estimates Pfizer making $10B-$15B from COVID vaccine in 2023
“I think they're making 10 to fifteen billion dollars on this vaccine this year.”
David Friedberg Jan 27, 2023 ▶ 43:17 E113: DOJ tries to break up Google, vaccine questions, Ukraine escalation & more
Jan 27, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: COVID transmission rates among vaccinated people rose as virus mutated
“As this virus evolved and mutated, it became pretty evident pretty fast that the rate of Transmission in vaccinated people continue to go up.”
David Friedberg Jan 27, 2023 ▶ 43:34 E113: DOJ tries to break up Google, vaccine questions, Ukraine escalation & more
Jul 21, 2023 negative
What-if
Ramaswamy says he would not get COVID vaccine today with current data
“Had I had the facts that I do now as a young, thankfully healthy male, I would not have actually chosen to get vaccinated.”
Vivek Ramaswamy Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 1:37:41 In conversation with Vivek Ramaswamy
May 31, 2024 negative
Assertion Contradicted
COVID vaccines were modestly effective and designed to manipulate DNA
“We caused billions of people all around the world to take immaturely tested drugs. They were called vaccines. We found out that they were modestly effective at best, and then some of them were designed in some ways to manipulate our DNA, and we just don't know…”
Chamath Palihapitiya May 31, 2024 ▶ 31:27 Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
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