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Congressional Budget Office

also referred to as: cbo

9 statements across 9 episodes · 1 bullish · 5 bearish · 5 people on the record · first statement Mar 6, 2021 by David Friedberg · said 80 times in 28 episodes since 2021 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by David Friedberg (23), Chamath Palihapitiya (22), Senator Ron Johnson (7), Jason Calacanis (6), David Sacks (6), Scott Bessent (3), Rand Paul (2), Steve Bannon (1)

tap a year for its mentions
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0815202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
0027.5415202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 8 mentions in 2 episodes 4 per episode
2025 51 mentions in 14 episodes 4 per episode
2024 3 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode
2023 5 mentions in 4 episodes 1 per episode
2022 6 mentions in 2 episodes 3 per episode
2021 7 mentions in 3 episodes 2 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Congressional Budget Office, oldest first

Mar 6, 2021 bearish
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: CBO projects US national debt will hit 202% of GDP by 2051
“Yesterday, the CBO put out a projection. This is the budget office I think Congress, and they said that the US national debt is likely to reach 202% of GDP by 20 51.”
David Friedberg Mar 6, 2021 ▶ 17:58 E24: Markets trend down, political pandemic manipulation, stimulus breakdown, biological Patriot Act
Dec 11, 2021 negative
Assertion Supported
David Sacks cites CBO report stating Build Back Better costs $5 trillion.
“Just today, we got a report from CBO saying that this Build Back Better bill wasn't going to cost two trillion, like the administration said. It's going to cost five trillion and add three trillion to the deficit.”
David Sacks Dec 11, 2021 ▶ 9:49 E58: November's CPI, preparing for a downturn, macro outlook, Better.com's botched layoffs & more
Aug 23, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Proposed tax hikes would cover only 20% of current US deficit
“Best case scenario, what the CBO estimated Is that would raise about four hundred billion a year for all these tax hikes, right? That's only 20% of the deficit we're running right now.”
David Sacks Aug 23, 2024 ▶ 1:26:40 Massive jobs revision, Kamala wealth tax, polls vs prediction markets, end of race-based admissions
Mar 19, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Bessent: CBO budget scoring rules drive government spending growth
“It's very gameable, and one of the most gameable parts of it In normal CBO scoring, that, so we, we're calling, we're saying that we want to renew the tax cuts. We're actually just renewing the current tax regime. That, that somehow, after they expire, Then th…”
Scott Bessent Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 30:59 The Shocking Truth About DC Spending & Corruption - Scott Bessent
May 24, 2025
Assertion Partly supported
CBO baseline budget models assume U.S. interest rates of 3.6%
“In the CBO estimates, they assume in all of their models that interest rates are at 3.6%.”
David Friedberg May 24, 2025 ▶ 6:32 Bond crisis looming? GOP abandons DOGE, Google disrupts Search with AI, OpenAI buys Jony Ive's IO
May 25, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Sen. Johnson notes CBO projects a $22 trillion ten-year deficit
“We're not talking about the numbers we should be talking about, which is a ten-year deficit projected by CBO of 22 trillion dollars Averaging 2.2 trillion dollars a year.”
Senator Ron Johnson May 25, 2025 ▶ 7:46 Senator Ron Johnson on the Senate showdown over Trump's Big Beautiful Bill | All-In Interview
Sep 7, 2025
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: CBO projects $4 trillion in tariff revenue over next decade
“The CBO Has now increased their projection of what tariffs will raise to four trillion over the next decade.”
David Sacks Sep 7, 2025 ▶ 32:23 Inside the White House Tech Dinner, Weak Jobs Report, Tariffs Court Challenge, Google Wins Antitrust
Sep 17, 2025 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Chamath claims CBO revised Trump bill score to $300B surplus
“When the CBO originally priced the big, beautiful bill, They thought it was minus three trillion. They just updated it because they have to, and it's actually a surplus. It's like three hundred billion.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Sep 17, 2025 ▶ 12:37 Oval Office Tour with President Trump
Mar 3, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
David Sacks: CBO estimates 2026 US deficit-to-GDP ratio at 6%
“Today, the CBO estimates that the 2026 deficit to GDP is about six percent.”
David Sacks Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 0:54 Ray Dalio: "AI Is Eating Everything - and It Might Eat Itself"
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