commercial real estate

6 statements across 5 episodes · 0 bullish · 4 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement Jun 13, 2021 by Chamath Palihapitiya · across every show →

Everything said about commercial real estate, oldest first

Jun 13, 2021 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Remote work will lower commercial real estate utilization, not destroy it
“On your point of commercial real estate, Jake, I actually think it just brings the utilization down, but I'm not sure it destroys it because I think people need the physical plant.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jun 13, 2021 ▶ 47:51 E35: Biogen's controversial Alzheimer's drug approval, the billionaire space race, Bitcoin & more
Jul 8, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Commercial real estate is the next shoe to drop
“That's the next shoe to drop, just like the commercial real estate is the next shoe to drop.”
David Sacks Jul 8, 2022 ▶ 28:21 E86: Macro outlook: jobs, housing, inflation + Dutch farmers protests & EU climate missteps
Mar 24, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Commercial real estate and government debt are next crisis phases
“So I think there's three phases to this financial crisis. We're in phase one, and I think CRE and government debt are the next two phases.”
David Sacks Mar 24, 2023 ▶ 37:58 E121: Macro update, Fed hike, CRE debt bubble, Balaji's Bitcoin bet, TikTok's endgame & more
Mar 24, 2023 bearish
Assertion Supported
Sacks: San Francisco commercial real estate vacancy rate sits at 30-40%
“Take San Francisco, which has got to be the worst market for Siri in the country right now. That's something like 30 to 40% of the space is vacant.”
David Sacks Mar 24, 2023 ▶ 23:00 E121: Macro update, Fed hike, CRE debt bubble, Balaji's Bitcoin bet, TikTok's endgame & more
Apr 12, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sachs: Higher rates will trigger commercial real estate defaults and foreclosures
“But if rates are going to be higher longer, That strategy is not going to work, and you're going to see more and more real estate sponsors throwing in the towel, and banks are going to end up foreclosing on these properties, and you're going to see more and mo…”
David Sacks Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 35:34 E174: Inflation stays hot, AI disclosure bill, Drone warfare, defense startups & more
Sep 4, 2025
Insight
Sacks: Underwater office owners lack incentives to fund tenant improvements
“One of the reasons why a lot of these buildings are empty is because the equity holders don't have an incentive to put in more money to do the TIs necessary to sign new tenants. So you got these zombie buildings that even if there was a tenant who wanted the s…”
David Sacks Sep 4, 2025 ▶ 12:13 Why Are So Many Companies Going Bankrupt In 2025? - David Friedberg
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