Arm

also referred to as: arm shares

16 statements across 6 episodes · 1 bullish · 6 bearish · 5 people on the record · first statement Jun 16, 2023 by Chamath Palihapitiya · said 92 times in 16 episodes since 2023 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Jason Calacanis (26), Chamath Palihapitiya (26), Rene Haas (17), David Friedberg (14), Andrew Feldman (3), Thomas Laffont (2), Adena Friedman (2), David Sacks (1)

tap a year for its mentions
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0482023202420252026episodes it came up in
00541082023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 3 mentions in 2 episodes 2 per episode
2025 43 mentions in 5 episodes 9 per episode
2024 14 mentions in 2 episodes 7 per episode
2023 32 mentions in 7 episodes 5 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Arm, oldest first

Jun 16, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Chamath Palihapitiya estimates Arm is worth no more than $25 billion
“It's a mid twenties billion dollar company. No more.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jun 16, 2023 ▶ 12:01 E133: Market melt-up, IPO update, AI startups overheat, Reddit revolts & more with Brad Gerstner
Aug 26, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Arm revenue fell 1% in FY2023 to $2.7B
“Arm's revenue last quarter, six hundred seventy five million down two percent year over year. Up seven percent quarter over quarter. Fiscal full year, 20, 23, 2.7 billion ish, down one percent year over year.”
Jason Calacanis Aug 26, 2023 ▶ 37:46 E143: Nvidia smashes earnings, Arm walks the plank, M&A market, Vivek dominates GOP debate & more
Aug 26, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Friedberg: Arm's IPO is forced with little pent-up demand
“This arm thing is, you know, pretty forced. It seems it's not like there's a ton of pent up public demand to buy these arm shares.”
David Friedberg Aug 26, 2023 ▶ 43:51 E143: Nvidia smashes earnings, Arm walks the plank, M&A market, Vivek dominates GOP debate & more
Aug 26, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Chamath values Arm at $15B to $20B, missing IPO expectations
“And so I think this is a very tough valuation to get right. And trying to stretch to a 60 or seventy billion dollar print, I think is really tough. This is a Honestly, a 15 to twenty billion dollar company.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Aug 26, 2023 ▶ 39:10 E143: Nvidia smashes earnings, Arm walks the plank, M&A market, Vivek dominates GOP debate & more
Sep 22, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Instacart, Klaviyo, and Arm floated under 10% in IPOs
“Instacart's float was 6.7%, and Klaviyo's float 7.6. Arms float almost hit the 10%, 9.4”
Jason Calacanis Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 30:04 E146: Did the Fed break the VC model? Plus IPOs, M&A, revaluing unicorns & more
Sep 22, 2023 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Palihapitiya: Arm, Instacart, and Klaviyo breached issue prices within days
“All three IPOs within a few days have breached their issue price.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 29:10 E146: Did the Fed break the VC model? Plus IPOs, M&A, revaluing unicorns & more
Feb 17, 2024 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Arm's stock surge was driven by an enormous short squeeze
“Now on Arm specifically, the thing that I would keep in mind is that those guys floated, I think about fifteen million shares. So there's about a hundred and forty-five, hundred and fifty million shares outstanding, 90% owned by them. So there's about 10 or fi…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Feb 17, 2024 ▶ 6:46 E166: Mind-blowing AI Video: OpenAI launches Sora + Is Biden too old? Tucker/Putin interview & more
Sep 30, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Haas: China's software ecosystem still mirrors Western platform standards
“Now today the China ecosystem actually follows the global ecosystem which is good from the standpoint that every mobile phone in China, it doesn't run Google Android, but it runs a version of Android, and it leverages the app ecosystem that comes off of Androi…”
Rene Haas Sep 30, 2025 ▶ 10:54 Arm CEO Rene Haas on AI: Nvidia Lessons, Intel’s Decline and the US-China Chip War
Sep 30, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Haas: Intel competition drove Nvidia's early pivot to Arm architecture
“That was the genesis of starting to pivot to ARM in a very big way inside NVIDIA, because at that time, Jensen looked at what was going on with SoCs and ARM-based architecture and moved everybody on to the SoC program.”
Rene Haas Sep 30, 2025 ▶ 2:48 Arm CEO Rene Haas on AI: Nvidia Lessons, Intel’s Decline and the US-China Chip War
Sep 30, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2030
Haas: Physical AI chip market will surpass data center volume
“Yeah, I think so because I think they're gonna, today, they largely use repurposed automotive chips, right? Things that have functional safety compliance around ADAS, but they're not specific for actuators or specific for smaller parts of the joint. So, physic…”
Rene Haas Sep 30, 2025 ▶ 9:30 Arm CEO Rene Haas on AI: Nvidia Lessons, Intel’s Decline and the US-China Chip War
Sep 30, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Haas: Restricting chip access will force foreign nations to build parallel ecosystems
“If you shut off supply of a computing architecture into other parts of the world, what will happen? Certain parts of the world that have the capabilities, either in terms of people, technology innovation, they will find a way and they will find a way around, a…”
Rene Haas Sep 30, 2025 ▶ 20:57 Arm CEO Rene Haas on AI: Nvidia Lessons, Intel’s Decline and the US-China Chip War
Sep 30, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Haas: Arm is hiring fewer finance and legal workers due to AI
“Our business is not one yet where I can say I'm hiring less people because of AI. I'm certainly hiring less finance people and legal people.”
Rene Haas Sep 30, 2025 ▶ 23:08 Arm CEO Rene Haas on AI: Nvidia Lessons, Intel’s Decline and the US-China Chip War
Sep 30, 2025
Disclosure
Haas: Arm is considering expanding beyond its traditional IP licensing model
“I hinted in the last conference call that we're looking at going a little bit further than we do today.”
Rene Haas Sep 30, 2025 ▶ 7:44 Arm CEO Rene Haas on AI: Nvidia Lessons, Intel’s Decline and the US-China Chip War
Sep 30, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Haas: Nvidia is an Arm customer rather than a direct competitor
“NVIDIA is a customer of ours, so I'm not gonna say Jensen is my competitor today.”
Rene Haas Sep 30, 2025 ▶ 1:12 Arm CEO Rene Haas on AI: Nvidia Lessons, Intel’s Decline and the US-China Chip War
Jun 6, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Feldman: Intel and AMD captured zero market share in mobile chip compute
“Share changed when cell phone compute emerged, and Intel and AMD who had fabs and the best architects got zero share, and it all moved to ARM.”
Andrew Feldman Jun 6, 2026 ▶ 22:04 The IPO Comeback: Why Tech Giants Are Finally Going Public | All-In Liquidity IPO Panel
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