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WTF Opinion
EVs reduce emissions even on a 100% coal-based electricity grid
“Even if it was a hundred percent coal based, it will still make sense.”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 39:01 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Insight
Tarun Mehta: Dealership distribution is no longer a moat in India
“Long term distribution is not really a moat in India.”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 2:01:33 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Assertion Supported
Ather's auto hill-hold feature lasts 10 minutes while Ola's lasts one
“The way we implemented and the way Ola implemented I think Ola's same capability would last a much shorter time. So if you engage this hill hole feature on a steep slope after a minute or so, the motor would be like, okay, now I can't support this. It'll start…”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 2:34:21 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
NEON SHOW Opinion
Mehta: No global two-wheeler market matches India's EV tech standards
“Not a single country, not a single two-wheeler market competes with the technology standards of India today.”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 14:04 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2027
Mehta: India's electric scooter volumes will catch up to China by 2027
“Volumes, they are ahead, but volumes will catch up in the next three, four years. But in terms of just sheer technology, and product quality, and product the feature list. No, I'm not just speaking for Aether. I'm just, I'm speaking actually about the entire e…”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 14:17 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2033
Mehta: Electric scooters will decimate India's commuter motorcycle market within 10 years
“So my belief for the last several years has been electric scooters will decimate the Commuter entry motorcycle market in India over the next 10 years. What will be left as motorcycles is the premium and the high performance category, one 8200 cc and beyond, wh…”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 19:23 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Opinion
Mehta: Tesla open-sourcing its patents was mostly a PR stunt
“So I think, ah, open sourcing the patents was more, ultimately served more PR purpose than genuine accelerate the industry purpose.”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 30:19 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
WTF Assertion Not checkable as stated
EV usage and buying patterns are identical across Indian city tiers
“I think tier one daily usage is 31 kilometers, tier two is like, 32, tier three is like, 29. There is no meaningful difference of usage, daily usage. There is no meaningful difference of buying patterns. Tier one, tier two, tier three.”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 1:48:53 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Assertion Supported
Tarun Mehta: Ather's charging connector is India's national standard
“Charging standard has become the national standard.”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 2:00:24 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mehta: Viable cell manufacturing in India requires at least 4,000-5,000 crore investment
“The challenge of setting up cell manufacturing in India for a while now has been demanding. And the minimum investment required is pretty high. Like if you're not putting, if you're not bringing four, 5000 crores to the table, practically, it'll be very diffic…”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 2:05:11 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Insight
Cell manufacturing combines high technical complexity with poor commodity margins
“So I've really considered cell manufacturing is this really complexly bad combo. Very high tech with commodity margins. So it only makes strategic sense. It generally doesn't make cost sense.”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 2:06:24 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mehta: Ather projects 8-10 year battery pack life, rivals will struggle past 5
“So for example, our oldest battery packs are now five years in the field. And we have, they are still at 90% plus health, which means we are now internally starting to project eight to 10 year battery life. We know in the industry that I think most of our comp…”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 2:17:24 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Insight
Mehta: EV range is a cost and spec decision, not breakthrough technology
“Range is a cost. Range is a product spec decision. How much range is? Obviously, it gets missold as like, you know, somebody's cracked this amazing battery that'll do thousand kilometers in a car. It's only two batteries. It doesn't crack any amazing technolog…”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 2:18:46 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Opinion
Entering the electric two-wheeler market requires at least $100 million
“So your entry, entry point to building an e-to-wheeler in the market today, your table stakes of just entering this business, in my opinion, is about a hundred million. If you're bringing a hundred million, you can enter the game, and then you'll have to raise…”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 2:43:24 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Assertion Contradicted
Mehta: Ather has the world's largest electric two-wheeler R&D team
“Yes, that's why I said it's the world's largest R&D for two wheelers, electric two wheelers.”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 2:43:57 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Assertion Not checkable as stated
Every EV subscription startup quietly pivoted into an auto-financing company
“Every company who's talked about cracking subscription, quickly, quietly became a financing company. Everybody.”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 3:06:28 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
NEON SHOW Opinion
Mehta: In 2013, auto OEMs dismissed EVs or imported from China
“We realized OEM signed two camps, Either they're very smart, and they know that we won't have EV. Ok. EV is still like a 10 year old story, later story. Or they're idiots, and they think importing from China is a brilliant strategy.”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 7:42 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mehta: EVs cannot profit on servicing and must monetize software upgrades
“Long term, I do think that electric vehicles are not going to make money on servicing. They just can't. And as quality improves for each of, each one of us, their number will drop even further. I think long-term electric vehicles will have to make money on som…”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 24:52 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW What-if
Tarun Mehta: Lithium-ion would not be affordable without Tesla's cell packaging
“In the absence of it, there's no way lithium-ion prices would have become affordable because it changed the underlying economics of the industry radically. The small form factor sales were very affordable, but the small form factor sales would have never, neve…”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 29:15 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Insight
Mehta: Stabilized hardware platforms create moats internet businesses cannot match
“Once you build hardware, once you've stabilized your platform, you've got a really powerful lead. You've got a really powerful moat that internet businesses can never deliver on. Almost never. SaaS maybe. Internet powered businesses, almost never.”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 33:22 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Insight
Tarun Mehta: Founders must build operational muscle before hiring senior leaders
“It's best to build a muscle in the company yourselves first and fail a little bit at it before you bring in the real leadership and before you bring in the big guns. Every time we've attempted something as a lazy approach, let's just hire a solid VP for this a…”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 45:51 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Insight
Mehta: Auto brands in India need mass marketing, not just Twitter
“We are not a country where you can sell stuff on Twitter to a meaningful audience. You can sell stuff to Twitter for like five crore people, but tool is about by like 30 crore people. So you have to, you should almost consider, which actually we've not been su…”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 51:29 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Insight
Tarun Mehta: Front-page newspaper ads deliver the best retail ROI
“I love newspapers. Front page ads. Nothing works better. Like the amount of football they bring in, I kid you not. They pay themselves back over a weekend. Like the best ROI.”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 53:53 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mehta: Ather's Bangalore store beats Apple's global revenue per square foot
“Indranagar on many months beats Apple global averages quite, quite comfortably. I think on a regular month, I think it also beats, but on a good month, festive months, I think it's like double that of Apple global average.”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 1:00:19 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
WTF Insight
Tarun Mehta: Good founders ignore Y Combinator advice and follow internal conviction
“Most good founders will be largely driven by their own thoughts. Most good founders are never doing the, what is the current advice or what is the current YC yarn to people. That's for mass consumption. That's content strategy. That's not a good advice on aver…”
Tarun Mehta Jan 28, 2026 ▶ 0:24 17 Young Founders | 8 Startups | 20 Lakh Grants | Third WTFund Cohort · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Assertion Supported
Mehta: Electric scooters emit 40% less than petrol scooters on current grid
“In scooters at least, our math was, it is. It is 40% less emission than a petrol scooter. You're at least reducing emission to 40%. Even if the grid does not become greener at all.”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 41:24 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Assertion Supported
Tarun Mehta: Ather operates India's largest two-wheeler fast-charging network
“Actually in two wheelers, it's the largest fast charging network in the country.”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 1:57:35 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Prediction Didn’t hold up
Tarun Mehta: Ather will reach 1,000 touchpoints within 2.5 years
“We'll go from 200 touch points to a thousand touch points in the next two and a half years. At which point you've crossed oil and field scale already.”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 2:02:32 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Assertion Partly supported
Mehta: Giant battery cell makers operate at thin 4-6% PAT margins
“Most cell manufacturing companies, the really enormous ones, like LG Chem, Panasonic, all these guys, even in the best times that they made cells and sold cells, had like crazy ability to sell price at any point. They can sell at any price, like last year basi…”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 2:05:57 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mehta: Indian EV battery recycling will have guaranteed demand in 10-15 years
“So you set up recycling. I think it is such a stable business. It's two fifty million vehicles going to go to three fifty million vehicles and annually out of that three, thirty million is going to come back. And 1015 years later, a very large chunk of that wi…”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 2:30:47 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Insight
Mehta: High-end EVs over ₹40 lakh lack ROI unless driven 100km daily
“The problem is the asset cost of an electric car is so high, that the kilometer saving is only worth it if you buy a car in the 10 to 20 lakh range. If you buy like a 80 lakh, 40, even a 40 lakh electric car, you don't have an ROI. Unless you run it like a hun…”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 2:52:33 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Disclosure
Ather's battery subscription failed because Indian consumers prefer vehicle ownership
“We attempted a variant of it. So I do believe in it, and I still do, and I'm hoping that we learn how to crack it. But back in twenty-twenty ... We said you could take a battery on subscription. ... Enormous, massive community pullback, like pushback, like, be…”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 2:53:59 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
NEON SHOW Assertion Supported
Tarun Mehta: Ather 450 was world's first scooter with touchscreen and Google Maps
“This was the world's first aluminum frame, bolted aluminum frame on a scooter in production. This was the first scooter anywhere in the world to deploy a touchscreen dashboard, and the first one to have Google Maps.”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 12:15 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Disclosure
Mehta: Software upgrades account for 15% of Ather's vehicle revenue
“So in a sense, our revenue is, I would say about 85% is hardware. 15% is already software.”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 25:52 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Insight
Mehta: India is a supply-constrained hardware market, not demand-constrained
“India has never been historically, actually, really, if you think about it, it's not really been a demand-constrained market. We've been a sub, genuinely, we've been a supply-constrained market. We don't get the good stuff. We get the good stuff at a ridiculou…”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 38:43 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Assertion Supported
Mehta: Ather's 14,000 monthly sales matches the Royal Enfield Bullet
“Bullet. It's a famous product. Yeah, we all know about it. It does, I think, 14,000 units a month. Pan India. Wow. We do 14,000 today.”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 53:21 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Insight
Tarun Mehta: Mass TV ads provide customer social air cover, not footfall
“TV, I don't think TV drives immediate footfalls. I think TV is more salient, more long-term salience. You kind of want to be that brand that, yes, I've seen TV on the TV. I mean, we'll have money. We'll have something to think about. Basically, setting up an e…”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 54:47 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
WTF Assertion Supported
Mehta: Ather is the only EV player without fast-charging restrictions
“For example, right now we are the only player where we don't put any restriction on fast charging. So we tell our customers, if you want to fast charge practically every day, be my guest, right?”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 2:19:11 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Assertion Supported
Mehta: No Indian electric two-wheeler OEM uses liquid cooling due to costs
“Yeah, but none of us in India does liquid cooling for a two-wheeler. Crazy cost structure. Doesn't make sense today.”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 2:20:16 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Prediction Partly held up
Mehta: Carbon Tax Is Headed to India
“I'm almost certain a carbon tax is headed our way in India.”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 2:58:06 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
NEON SHOW Assertion Contradicted
Mehta: Ather 450 was India's fastest accelerating scooter at launch
“When we launched in 2018, Ather four 50 was the fastest accelerating scooter ever produced in the country. I mean, all scooters, all petrol scooters included.”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 12:02 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Disclosure
Mehta: Ather's first scooter had negative 300% gross margins
“It was minus -300% negative gross margin. Yeah, -300% gross margin. That was the cost.”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 12:50 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Assertion Partly supported
Mehta: Ather, Ola, and TVS captured 50% of EV sales in FY23
“So, last year, I think about six, seven lakh vehicles were sold, ah, electric. us, Ola, TVS were about, I think, 50% of it. I think we did one lakh, I think Ola did 1.5 lakhs, and TVS did, again, just under a lakh. So about three, three and a half lakh betwee…”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 20:05 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Assertion Supported
Mehta: India's two-wheeler category leaders routinely capture over 50% market share
“In India, the market leader, In two wheelers. Always gets to 50% plus market share. Splendor. Dominating market share. More than 50%. Activa. Winner. 55% market share. Pulsar. Winner. In the commuter sports category. I think more than 50% market share. Royal E…”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 22:41 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Assertion Partly supported
Mehta: Ather's revenue grew from ₹75Cr in FY21 to ₹1,800Cr in FY23
“FI. 20, 21 was 75 crores. FI. 21, 22 was 410 crores. And 20 to 23 was 1800.”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 32:08 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Insight
Mehta: Building hardware in India is no longer an art
“There, I think is a pretty fast expanding hardware ecosystem in the country, and it's no longer an art to do hardware. I think there's an ecosystem of engineering talent coming out now that's kind of seen these systems built out.”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 36:53 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mehta: EV Sector Will Build India's First Real Hardware Platform Talent
“In fact, I think electrification, electric vehicles, because of the amount of lead India has, Is going to create one of the first waves of genuine platform builders on hardware in India after a very long time.”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 42:10 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
NEON SHOW Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Mehta: Two-wheelers on Indian roads will reach 400 million by 2030
“That, two hundred and fifty million two-wheelers on Indian roads, this number I think will become close to about four hundred million by the end of this decade, including exits of old vehicles.”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 1:01:13 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
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