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20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
Freise: $0-$100M ARR AI Scaling Speeds Will Not Become the Norm
“So I'm making the bold prediction that you have just seen three of the incredible winners in the space, but they will be not the norm for whatever comes afterwards.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 21:03 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
Freise: Bitcoin and the Euro will gain share in a multi-currency reserve system
“I think Bitcoin will take a larger share as will the Euro, but it's going to be more of a mix.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 41:06 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Open · timeframe Jun 2025
Freise: KKR's $8B fund is Europe's largest standalone investment vehicle
“So Europe for KKR is an eight billion dollar fund. It's the largest standalone investment fund in Europe.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 12:50 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
Freise: KKR's investment in space firm OHB will be a big winner
“My space company in Bremen, which is OHP, we just did that investment. That's going to be a big winner given everything's going on.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 14:23 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Freise: 75% of KKR European PE deals are structured as partnerships
“In the last 1015 years, Three quarters of all the investments we have made are partnerships.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 16:05 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
Freise: KKR's DNA will never extend to early-stage venture
“I don't think that the DNA of KKR and of other later stage firms. It extends to what Insight does or what growth funds do. It will never extend to venture because it's a different skill set. It's a very different skill set.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 23:07 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Freise: Only 1% of $192T individual wealth is in alternatives
“I think it's one percent of the 192 trillion are invested in alternatives. If that only goes To five percent you suddenly have 10 trillion dollars.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 30:08 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2035
Freise: KKR Europe's assets under management will double or triple in 10 years
“If you ask me will KKR Europe's asset under management, ah, double and triple over the next 10 years, the answer is yes.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 33:07 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Freise: Other defense leaders will emerge alongside Helsing's founder within five years
“Torsten is, is the best, but in five years time, we look back and say, of course, Torsten couldn't have done it all by himself. There will be more, there will be others.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 43:52 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Freise: AI productivity gains will trigger a painful disruption phase
“It's too early to tell. I totally, I, well, I think it will. However, productivity gains, which will be extremely beneficiary to the world, don't mean that the challenges I just mentioned will be solved, because there will be this disruption phase where many, …”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 53:06 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2035
Freise: KKR aims to increase retail investor base to 50%
“We have six hundred seventy billion under management now. This number will go up massively, but what I want to see, I think historically the kind of individual retail type, broad based investor base is roughly 20%, maybe 30%. I want to see that to go to 50%.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 1:03:51 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Freise: Only 15% of KKR's exits over past 15 years were IPOs
“Over the last 15 years, only 15% of our exits were actually IPOs.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 27:14 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Freise: PE firms like KKR and Apollo acquired insurance capital for liquidity
“So basically we Apollo and others have now taken under our wings insurance companies that provide all this liquidity.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 32:39 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Freise: US directs 10% of defense spending to innovative startup ecosystem
“The US has done by saying 10% of the spend of the Department of Defense needs to go actually in the innovative ecosystem and space the same, right?”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 36:19 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Freise: Innovative European defense and hard-tech startups are emerging faster than expected
“Short answer to your question is, yes innovation, what, you know, what you know best Is the answer to these problems. But I wouldn't be so negative. They are coming now much faster than some people realize.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 36:53 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2035
Freise: US dollar's share of global reserves will decline slightly over ten years
“I do think in 10 years time, the percentage of reserves the US represents will probably have reduced slightly.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 40:18 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Freise: KKR limits single-company fund concentration to 10-15%
“So we are absolutely rock solid you know, disciplined on this. You wouldn't, normally you don't do more than 10% of one fund. You know, I think in terms of underwriting, the absolute maximum is 15%, but it's in that range.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 44:31 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Freise: Displaced European auto engineers immediately find jobs in defense and sensors
“When the automotive industry is shrinking because of some of the factors you mentioned, those people immediately find jobs in other industries which are growing. Whether that is censors, whether that is defense.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 46:45 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Freise: Interest on national debt exceeds healthcare and defense spending in many countries
“If you think about 20, 25, 30% of all of our budgets going to two sources. One, to just serve, serve as the interest of the existing debt stock. It's huge. I mean, in many countries, these are higher expenditures Than our healthcare or defense budgets.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 48:03 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Open
Freise: KKR made only one investment in 2009 (BMG)
“The only investment in 2009 we made was BMG.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 9:01 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Open · timeframe Jun 2028
Freise: KKR targets around 15 portfolio investments per $8B European fund
“In a fund of eight billion, typically you have around 15 investments, ok?”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 13:44 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Freise: KKR European PE average check size is $400M to $600M
“On average it's like, 400 to six hundred million.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 15:52 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Freise: KKR European PE holds 10% to 15% of capital for reserves
“Always do, but it's more like 10, 15% of the fund. So you would, of eight billion, you would retain, let's say, a billion or so as a reserve, because we do not need as much capital for follow-on rounds, because this is, you know, in terms of the maturity of th…”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 16:36 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Partly supported
Freise: KKR's European deal scale grew from $1.5B for BMG to $10B for Axel Springer
“When I did the BMG deal, that was a one and a half billion deal for a 50% stake In that music company, you fast forward 10 years, and we had a ten billion deal to buy half of Axel Springer, which again was a fifty-fifty deal with the family.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 33:18 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Freise: KKR portfolio production company co-produced Brad Pitt's F1 movie
“One of our production companies produced it”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 57:55 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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