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AMERICAN OPTIMIST Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2035
Andreessen: General-purpose robotics will scale massively over the next decade
“These human robots, like the general purpose robotics thing is going to happen, and it's going to happen in the next decade, and it's going to happen at giant scale, and I think there's a plausible argument, which Elon also believes, that robotics is going to …”
Marc Andreessen Jul 3, 2025 ▶ 20:27 From ChatGPT to Billions of Robots: Marc Andreessen’s Prediction · Joe Lonsdale
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2028
Andreessen: AI will expand entertainment and tech industry jobs and output
“On the other side of this kind of change, typically what happens is a much larger industry with like way more employment, way more output. And I, I'm a hundred percent convinced that's what's going to happen for sure in the tech industry and for sure in, in, i…”
Marc Andreessen Oct 1, 2023 ▶ 1:24:22 What is the Future of Hollywood?
LATENT SPACE Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2030
Andreessen: AI hardware supply chain faces chronic shortages for next 3-4 years
“In the next three or four years, it's like somewhere between three or four years out, basically everything is selling out. So like the entire supply chain is, is, is, is sold out or selling out. And so there, there's no, like, we're just gonna have like chroni…”
Marc Andreessen Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 22:04 Marc Andreessen introspects on Death of the Browser, Pi + OpenClaw, and Why "This Time Is Different"
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2031
Andreessen: 5 billion people will use smartphone AI within years
“We're not that many years away from five billion people in the world having AI running on five billion people who have smartphones and internet access.”
Marc Andreessen Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 57:41 Marc Andreessen: Will a16z Go Public & Why Labour Displacement with AI is Wrong? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Andreessen: a16z will 100% not pass on defense tech deals again
“And so you'll notice that like we are now extremely enthusiastic investors in defense tech and in you know, things involving law enforcement, national security, public safety and, you know, say a hundred percent, we would not make that same mistake again.”
Marc Andreessen Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 1:12:54 Marc Andreessen: Will a16z Go Public & Why Labour Displacement with AI is Wrong? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
LENNY'S PODCAST Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2126
Andreessen: Many countries including China will depopulate over the next century
“Many, many countries around the world, by the way, including China, Which is a really big deal. Are actually going to depopulate over the next century.”
Marc Andreessen Jan 29, 2026 ▶ 10:25 Marc Andreessen: The real AI boom hasn’t even started yet
LENNY'S PODCAST Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2056
Andreessen: Shrinking populations will put human workers at a premium over 10–30 years
“Human workers in many, many, many countries over the next, you know, 10, 2030 years are going to be at more and more of a premium literally because you're going to have shrinking population levels.”
Marc Andreessen Jan 29, 2026 ▶ 24:11 Marc Andreessen: The real AI boom hasn’t even started yet
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2030
Andreessen: Extreme AI infrastructure shortages will abate within five years
“NVIDIA has like, you know, the best position probably anybody's ever had in chips, but notwithstanding that, I find it hard to believe that there's going to be this level of pressure on infrastructure in five years.”
Marc Andreessen Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 34:14 Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz on the State of AI
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2030
Andreessen: AI will eventually generate a full movie adaptation of Atlas Shrugged
“Maybe what we need is the AI system where you feed the novel and it makes the movie. You know, which, by the way, first, you know, now, now that I say that, like, for sure that's gonna happen.”
Marc Andreessen Oct 17, 2025 ▶ 1:03:18 Marc Andreessen on the State of Film and Hollywood
TBPN Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2030
Andreessen: AI training data disputes must be solved by Congress
“In the case of training data, I think that there, I mean, there's a bunch of these copyright, you know, kind of lawsuits happening right now. There's, you know, the big New York Times opening, I won, and there's, you know, been a bunch of others. I think in th…”
Marc Andreessen Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 1:30:45 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
TBPN Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2030
Andreessen: Supreme Court will decide if AI chats get Fourth Amendment protection
“On the on the privacy thing. I think that, that one feels like it's a Supreme court thing. To me, it feels like that's the kind of issues that the Supreme court and the, in other words, like whether, for example, your Transcripts are considered your property a…”
Marc Andreessen Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 1:31:50 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2029
Andreessen: Training future frontier AI models will cost $1 billion
“We all think that the big models are going to end up costing a billion, you know, and up in the, in, in the future.”
Marc Andreessen Apr 2, 2024 ▶ 1:05:01 Politics & the Future of Tech
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2034
Andreessen: University tuition will reach $1 million per student within 10 years
“We'll, we'll have a follow-up to this podcast, you know, five or 10 years from now, and it'll have crossed the million dollar mark, right? Per student.”
Marc Andreessen Jan 23, 2024 ▶ 24:10 Fixing Higher Education & New Startup Opportunities
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2026
Andreessen: AI desktop software will generate full movies directly from screenplays
“Within some number of years here, short, I think relatively short number of years, you're gonna have a tool on your laptop, right, that basically is, is like, you work with it, you basically write your script, you know, kind of with AI, and then as you're writ…”
Marc Andreessen Oct 1, 2023 ▶ 30:28 What is the Future of Hollywood?
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2028
Andreessen: Producing full-length movies on laptops will be viable within five years
“It ought to be possible here within a couple years you know, to make entire full-length movies, you know, basically on your laptop, completely produced, you know, with, like, whatever actors superimposed into the thing, like, a couple years I don't know, I'd s…”
Marc Andreessen Oct 1, 2023 ▶ 1:39:34 What is the Future of Hollywood?
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2028
Andreessen: AIs will not get certified as doctors or lawyers anytime soon
“And my, the point in that essay is what Joe just said, which is like, it will be illegal to do that. Like, it's not going to happen because it's going to be illegal. Like AIs are not going to get certified as doctors and lawyers anytime soon. Like that, that I…”
Marc Andreessen Jul 18, 2023 ▶ 10:44 Ep 65: Marc Andreessen and the Case for AI Optimism · Joe Lonsdale
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2028
Andreessen: Wearable sensors will predict heart attacks within 5 to 10 years
“I think we'll have a full complement of medical grade sensors on, you know, on our bodies in a way that we have chosen to over the next five or 10 years. And I think we're, I think we'll get to the point where we're gonna be able to do things like predict hear…”
Marc Andreessen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 13:49 a16z Podcast | Talent, Tech Trends, and Culture -- with Ben, Marc, and Tyler Cowen
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2038
Andreessen: Winning tech companies in 20 years will be 100x larger than Google
“The winning companies, you know, the winning entrepreneurial companies 20 years from now that win are going to be Staggeringly large. Like, they're going to be like, I don't know, 10 or a hundred times the size of Google and Facebook.”
Marc Andreessen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:35 a16z Podcast | Talent, Tech Trends, and Culture -- with Ben, Marc, and Tyler Cowen
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2020
Andreessen: Hedge funds will buy and own autonomous car fleets
“I think self-driving cars are actually gonna be, I think they're actually gonna be owned by hedge funds. So I guarantee they're not going to want to take responsibility. So I think what's going to happen is hedge funds are going to spend a billion dollars and …”
Marc Andreessen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 27:57 a16z Podcast | Security's Painful Prominence and Why There is No Turning Back
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2064
Andreessen: Future top tech companies will almost certainly be new startups
“The expectation of Detroit is that 50 years from now the three big car companies will be Ford, GM, and Chrysler, right? The expectation of Silicon Valley is the opposite. Like we don't know who the big three tech companies are going to be, but they're almost c…”
Marc Andreessen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 28:30 a16z Podcast | What Makes the Valley Work
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2029
Andreessen: GPT-2 scale AI models will run on smartphones within five years
“I think within five years, you're going to have models of this size on your phone.”
Marc Andreessen Jul 16, 2024 ▶ 48:16 Trump Vs. Biden: Tech Policy
a16z Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2029
Andreessen: Local hardware devices like doorknobs will run onboard LLMs
“There's just gonna be such a giant number of like local use cases. Like, you know, your doorknob is gonna have an LLM in it that's gonna control whether or not people get through the door, right?”
Marc Andreessen Jun 19, 2024 ▶ 34:40 Marc Andreessen & Andrew Chen Talk Creative Computers
a16z Assertion Open · timeframe Jan 2029
Andreessen: Research output, not teaching, determines academic tenure and hiring
“Professors get hired and get tenure in large part of the basis of their research in contrast to their teaching.”
Marc Andreessen Jan 13, 2024 ▶ 14:50 Crisis in Higher Ed & Why Universities Still Matter
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