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INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2029
Kushner: Saudi-Israel normalization is inevitable and will happen
“I think over time it's inevitable. Again, I thought it would happen four years ago, but I'm pretty confident it will happen now that we'll have the Saudi Israel normalization, hopefully under president Trump. And I think that that will lead to a lot of the inn…”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:36:20 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Trump and Witkoff Will Successfully Resolve the Gaza Conflict
“We need to get the Gaza issue resolved, and I know President Trump and Steve Wyckoff are working incredibly hard on that, and I do believe that they will be successful, and then big progress will be made soon thereafter.”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 43:35 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Partly supported
Kushner: Biden eased sanctions, allowing Iran $150B in oil sales
“And then the Biden team was worried about the global oil prices. They stopped enforcing the sanctions. They've sold over a hundred fifty billion of oil, which has allowed them to refill their coffers.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 36:00 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Most White House press coverage about us was not accurate
“I was in the most covered building in the world, yet most of what they wrote was not accurate about us”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 42:27 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Trump's policies will strengthen Mexico's economy if it collaborates
“I think that with what could happen with President Trump, I think that the things that he's focused on, which is figuring out how to curtail the migration and curtail the power of the cartels, I see that only as a net positive for Mexico over time. So I think …”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 47:52 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Kushner: US government was unprepared for COVID-19, CDC made testing errors
“We were faced at a situation where the government was just very unprepared for what was occurring, and there'd been a lot of mistakes done by the CDC with the testing”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:07:36 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kushner: DOGE will operate guerrilla-style and produce incredible long-term benefits
“I get the sense this will be much more guerrilla style. I think it's gonna be fascinating what it's gonna uncover, and I think the benefits to our country in the long term Will be incredible.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:17:18 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kushner: MBS will be seen as a great world leader for decades
“I think that when people see the depth and the range on what he is able to talk about and the way he thinks about things, I think people will realize that he's truly gonna be one of the great leaders of the world, I think, for the next 3040, 50 years, God will…”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:47:07 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Kushner: Qatar Funded and Hosted Hamas at US and Israeli Request
“And then the other criticism is that they were helping fund Hamas and they have the office there. But the reality is, is that that was always done at the request of the US government and the Israelis were working hand in hand with them in order to work that th…”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:50:27 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Mideast extremism dropped significantly since 2017 MBS reforms
“It's already a massive shift of not having all of the Islamic extremism that was as prevalent in 2017 based on the reforms that MBS worked on with president Trump on his first visit to Saudi Arabia.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 2:38:48 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Kushner: Iran received $150 billion in cash from Obama administration JCPOA deal
“Iran was on a glide path to a nuclear weapon, having just been given a hundred and fifty billion dollars in cash through the disastrous JCPOA deal that that Kerry and Obama negotiated.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 34:25 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kushner predicts a one-state Israeli-Palestinian solution will never happen
“So number one is I don't think there's any viability to a one state, and I don't think that that's something that will ever occur.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 1:01:55 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Middle East Will Co-Create Global AI Tools, Not Just Fund Them
“I actually think they're gonna become a very significant, not just investor, but also partner in creating AI tools and capabilities that can then go from there to the rest of the world.”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 31:48 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
NO PRIORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Israeli firm Phoenix is exploring investments in Saudi Arabia and UAE
“The next phase of that is, is Phoenix, which is a monster company, is now looking at investments in Saudi Arabia, investments in UAE, and basically thinking, how can they start deploying their huge amounts of capital into infrastructure projects In the region …”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 46:05 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
NO PRIORS Assertion Contradicted
Kushner: Antonio Gracias saved over $10B annually on Social Security
“I know Antonio Gracios has done amazing work helping figure out how to get, you know, make sure we're only paying social security. I think he saved over ten billion a year so far from that.”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 51:10 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Trump eliminated diplomatic status quos to force new alternatives
“In some cases with President Trump, he would just eliminate the status quos and then force people to try different status quos.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 31:58 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Saudi-Israel normalization was nearly ready when Trump left office
“You want to tie everything together with Saudi-Israel. That was pretty much ready when President Trump was leaving office.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 36:22 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Trump could finalize Saudi-Israel normalization very quickly
“It's a shame it didn't happen in the last years, but that's something that I believe President Trump could bring to fruition very quickly.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 36:27 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kushner: DOGE will uncover far more inefficiency than Musk found at X
“I think that what Ilan and Vivek will find at Doge is way more inefficiency than what he found at X, and I think the fact that they're building a lot of popular support for people to go in and find ways to make our government run more efficiently, I think ther…”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:16:33 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Trump's second administration will be a nonstop push for transformational change
“And I think that this time he has a lot more confidence. He knows what he wants to do. I think he'll have an exceptional team. So I think it's going to be a really around the clock nonstop effort towards bringing transformational change.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:21:15 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Saudi Arabia Tied Israel Normalization to Resolving the Qatar Dispute
“The reason I got into it was basically because my conversations with Saudi, they said that they couldn't normalize with Israel until the Issue with Qatar was resolved.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:39:18 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Partly supported
Kushner: Israeli strikes eliminated all of Iran's air defenses
“In the raid that Israel did in retaliation, they took out all of their air defenses and a lot of their Long range missile making capability, which means they don't have the ability necessarily to sustain a long conflict.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:56:31 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Held up
Kushner: Trump presidency will likely reduce Iran's oil sales
“And with Trump coming in, there's a super high probability that their ability to sell oil in the future is going to go down.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:56:44 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Partly supported
Kushner: Iranian oil exports fell under Trump and rebounded under Biden
“So to give you a sense, when Obama left office, they were selling 2.6 million barrels of oil a day. When Trump left office, they were selling about a 100,000 barrels of oil a day. The Biden administration didn't enforce the sanctions, and now they're selling o…”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:56:51 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Kushner: Affinity Partners Received an SEC No-Action Letter After Examination
“We had our first exam from the SEC and we got a no action letter.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 2:00:03 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Trump administration will not work with vocal critics
“If you're going to go and criticize and say nasty things, they're not going to work with you and they don't have to.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 2:05:36 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Biden Administration Has Failed to Implement First Step Act
“Ironically, Biden has done nothing with the First Step Act. They have not implemented it the way that it should be,”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 2:34:22 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2029
Kushner: Saudi Deal Will Prompt 10 More Countries to Normalize
“I think getting Saudi done will be key because there's another 10 countries that will happen Right after that, whether it's Pakistan, Indonesia, we had a whole bunch of countries that really wanted to go, and I think there's a lot more work to do there, which …”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 2:37:07 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Trump AI Policy Will Be the Most Impactful Issue Over Next Four Years
“But ultimately I think the topic that will probably Be the most impactful of the next four years will be how president Trump deals with artificial intelligence and what could be AGI or super intelligence and how this is coming very rapidly.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 2:39:52 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Kushner explicitly states that Israel is a nuclear power
“Israel's a nuclear power.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 22:04 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Palestinian state concept did not emerge until 1987-1988
“So the notion of a Palestinian state really didn't emerge till about 1987, 1988 which is the same time that Hamas actually, you know, came about and they came about really from, they were in offshoot of the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 27:59 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Kushner: Iranian oil exports fell from 2.6M to 100k daily barrels under Trump
“Under Obama, when he left, they were selling about 2.6 million barrels of oil a day. Under Trump, when he left office, they were selling a 100,000 barrels of oil a day.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 57:51 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Kushner: Iran generated over $100B in oil revenue after Trump left
“They were dead broke. Now they're back up to three million barrels a day of sales. They've done over a hundred billion dollars of oil revenue since we left office.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 58:01 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
NO PRIORS Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Kushner: Jared Kushner pushed TSMC to build Arizona semiconductor fabs under Trump.
“When I was in the White House the first time under President Trump this was part of the efforts that, that he was saying he wanted to focus on, and at his direction, actually, I reached out to TSMC and was in touch with them then to Push them to try and start…”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 26:59 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
NO PRIORS Assertion Partly supported
Kushner: Affinity saw nearly 9x return on Phoenix Holdings in a year
“We invested then at about 37 dollars a share. Today, the stock's almost 120 dollars a share. Because we needed a approval from the regulator, we bought 4.9 then, and then another 4.9 later. So we're able to use better leverage because the shares went up quite …”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 45:27 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Resolving Russia-Ukraine war will make Iran situation much more manageable
“If the Ukraine-Russia situation is dealt with, I think the Iranian situation becomes much more manageable as well.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 36:15 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Kushner: Elon Musk Faced Backlash for Proposing Ukraine Peace Plan
“You saw when Elon Musk put out an idea for how to navigate the situation in Ukraine, he got blasted by a lot of people.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 38:33 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Trump's China work aimed at getting them to acknowledge rule-breaking
“A lot of the work that President Trump did with China in his first term was about having them acknowledge that they were not following the rules that were set in the global trading sphere.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 39:18 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Early COVID Task Force Had a Fact Problem, Not Messaging
“And I said, with all due respect sir, you don't have a messaging problem. You have a fact problem.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:09:45 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Team Pushed Bureaucrats Aside for Rapid COVID Decisions
“And we just basically pushed all the bureaucrats out of the way. And started figuring out how to make decisions as quickly as possible.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:09:59 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ken Griffin advised Kushner to pre-manufacture vaccines during Phase 3 trials
“One of the coolest things, which actually led to, I think some of the success we had with Operation Warp Speed was I got a call one night at about 10 o'clock from Ken Griffin, who basically called and said, Jared, one of the best investments you could ever mak…”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:10:06 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Contradicted
Kushner: Federal Team Planned 400 Retail COVID Testing Sites in Five Days
“And so through that, we were actually making great progress where we basically were going to get about 400 testing sites up from nothing in about four or five days.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:11:03 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Moncef Slaoui Was Only Warp Speed Finalist Projecting Sub-Year Vaccine
“And we did four finalists, and there was only one person we interviewed who said they could do it in under a year. All the experts said it would take us two to three years to do it. It was a guy, Dr. Monsef Slaoui.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:13:16 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Second Trump administration will bring far more business pragmatists to Washington
“And one thing also that I loved about the first Trump administration, I think will be about a hundred X in the second Trump administration, is that Trump is a businessman, and he was a pragmatist, and he brought a lot of businessmen with him to Washington.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:18:31 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Saudi Arabia's economic turnaround will be studied for centuries
“I think that people for the next couple centuries will really study the economic turnaround that they're doing in their country, and it doesn't come without risk.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:46:02 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Kushner: Qatari University Funding Primarily Backs Local Branch Campuses
“The controversies you hear about them are around, they're funding a lot of these colleges and universities, but From what I've looked into that, it shows that they're basically funding the universities that have built campuses in their country because they car…”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:50:12 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Kushner: Affinity Partners Raised $1.5B Extra and Extended Fund to 2029
“They all agreed, and so over the last year, we closed a billion and a half extra capital and extended the investment period of the fund to 2029.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 2:00:31 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Kushner: Trump enters second term more popular than his first
“Now he's coming in much more popular than last time, way more accepted than last time.”
Jared Kushner Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 2:05:12 Jared Kushner - The Mechanic · Invest Like The Best
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