The Ledger, every show

“It takes five years to train a radiologist, and in five years, deep learning will get better results than a trained radiologist, so we should stop training them right now.”

“Study one basically looks through electronic health records and based on the data in electronic health records is able to predict people who are likely to commit suicide. And these people might be two or three years away from that event, but they are able to p…”

“Most people that I talk to think definitely LiDAR. There's a couple of big outliers. I think Tesla is trying a system without LiDAR, but we'll see.”

“Yeah, I think that in most urban and most suburban settings, people will stop owning their cars.”

“I actually expect most of the manufacturers to not be able to make that transition, because if you think about every bonus that has ever been paid out at a car manufacturer, it's because you designed a car that people really wanted the three series.”

“So I think from a skill atrophy point of view, and from an attention point of view, we're in this transition phase where all this driver assist Is going to get phased out in favor of complete driving.”

“It turns out if you have gambling applications, you're a better credit risk. And I think if you had asked a million loan officers if they would have predicted that, they would have a million out of a million times said, no, of course, that makes you a worse cr…”

“And I think as we introduce machine learning into the doctor's office, two things will happen. One, most doctors will get very good at diagnosis because we're going to use machine learning algorithms to figure out what's wrong with you. And then most doctors w…”

“So being a gambler or using gambling apps actually makes you more likely to repay a loan, which might be counterintuitive.”

“Well, one of the big changes, especially if we're going to switch to fleet ownership, is the car manufacturers will start being a lot more like Boeing and Airbus than they will be like Ford and BMW today.”

“After the introduction of the ATM for banking, the total number of bank tellers in the country increased, right? Because what we did was we built banks with ATMs in convenient places and put tellers in them. So we expanded the reach of banks so that you're, yo…”

“The way to think about it is the data that insurance companies had will become less and less important over time as these new data streams get unlocked.”

“And I, one of the really interesting trends is this is going to extend to algorithms. In other words, there are going to be ethical programming that we have to do for our cars, right? So the protocol example is, look, you're building the self-driving car, and …”

“Why aren't I buying more insurance products at Costco or Amazon or through Facebook Messenger? And so, like, that will come.”

“So you're never, you're not going to see watch that works with an Android phone, right? Like, they're just not going to do that.”

“If most of us are driven around by fleet operators, we don't buy our own cars, which means, of course, that the car dealerships will vanish.”

“In particular, I believe that in a handful of years, we're gonna be driven around in electric cars rather than driving around in our own gas-powered cars. In other words, most of the miles driven on the planet will shift to self-driving electric car fleets as …”

“As a result, most people expect electric cars to last for 500,000 to a million miles compared to internal combustion engine cars which have an expected lifetime of closer to 200 or 300,000 miles.”

“And I'm convinced over the next 2030 years, dozens if not hundreds of billion dollar companies will get created building Jiminy Cricket.”

“Our thesis is actually that everything that moves will eventually go autonomous. So if there's a reason for a plane or a truck or a toy or a shopping cart to move by itself and get from destination A to B, it will because the cost will collapse and It'll be us…”

“Having a mixed mode, where sometimes a car drives itself and sometimes you drive it, is how do you design that user experience? How do you get the car to say, hey, I'm uncertain about what to do in this situation. You need to take over. And if you look at the …”

“In the short term, though, when we don't have full autonomous and we have a mix of self-driving and human drivers, the accident rate might actually go up.”

“We're going to see Hundreds and hundreds of startups over time getting to better than human performance on things that we used to think only the most trained humans could do.”

“All the serious applications from here on out need to have deep learning and AI inside in exactly the same way that all serious computing systems needed to have Intel chips inside them.”

“In particular, the quantum coherence time seems to be progressing very, very quickly these days, and in fact, faster than Moore's Law”

“And it turns out that if you do the math, packetizing mass transit in this fashion is an excellent idea, just like packetizing data for the Internet was. You can actually move more people from point A to point B, even during rush hour in these private one and …”

“Now, it's certainly possible that we can get to the smart coach on our current trajectory, which is more data fed to better machine learning algorithms, but this might be a shortcut. On the hardware side, this is called a neuromorphic chip, and it basically ex…”

“If you talk to Paul Doherty, who is the CTO of Accenture, and he's been at Accenture for three decades, he says he's never seen anything grow this fast inside big businesses, right? So if you think about headcount, think about budget, like any metric you can t…”

“First, all the parking lots can go away because the cars will constantly be in motion. The fleet operators will need that to drive the efficiency and utilization out of their cars, and so if the car is not carrying you, it's carrying goods, and if it's not car…”

“The robots aren't coming for your jobs. Skynet's not coming for your children. Machine learning is actually going to make us better humans.”

“China has a national top-down goal to be the number one country in AI by the year 2030.”

“90 Voice fraud attacks happen every minute in the United States.”

“These farms are generating 15 pounds of lettuce for every single square foot of growing space. Compare that to seven pounds in a greenhouse, which is already a controlled environment, and one pound in an open field. So 15 X the yield from the same space, and a…”

“And in that study, the algorithms find 92% of the cancer. Then we show them to the human pathologists who find 96% of the cancer. Go team human. But the fascinating thing is if we let the humans use the algorithms together, they find almost all the cancer.”

“The word ibuprofen is 14 times more likely to per, to predict suicide than the word suicide.”

“The crying face emoticon is 11 times more likely to predict that somebody is truly in crisis as opposed to any one of the words the human people had guessed.”

“The super active area of research right now, right, which is how do I make the deep learning models more transparent so that I can debug them, I can verify them, I can make sure there's no systematic bias in them, right? Because until that, you couldn't do imp…”

“So if you think, hey, I'm going to create a better development tool, I'm going to create a better Xcode, like, think again, because Apple is going to spend as much money as it needs to defend the complement universe.”

“I definitely believe they're not going to be driving. They'll be picked up and you know, whether it's, the big question will be two D or three D, right, getting you from .1.”

“I actually think, here's another interesting thing, which is if there were self-driving cars, trucks, robots, shopping carts, there will probably be a Cisco routing service on top of that that can calculate the best way to get object A from point A to B, which…”

“If you look at something like FB Learner Flow, which is Facebook's Automation workflow system for artificial intelligence. They've gotten it so good that 25% of their total software developer universe is writing deep learning. 25%, right?”

“It's fifty million dollars to tape out.”

“There are systems where robots are learning to cook food by watching YouTube videos of people cooking food. There's systems that can take photos and paint them in the style of Renoir or Van Gogh. There's algorithms that can create paintings that are indistingu…”

“It's gonna need startups to show the way of what insurance companies ought to do in their ongoing customer journey, as opposed to the existing companies doing it.”

“And so this is going to be one of the fastest growing categories of an entirely new type of insurance, which is I will insure you against cyber losses.”

“What we're moving towards is a world in which most of the video content will get crowdsourced, right?”

“Bloomberg's forecasts, even off the more pessimistic IEA base, are that we're going to reach peak petroleum demand in 2020 and we're never going to look back. That between efficiency gains for existing gas-powered cars and the introduction of electric vehicles…”

“The make and model of the car will become the least important, and in fact, you don't care about the decision in the same way that most of us don't care about whether we're riding in Boeing or Airbus or Embraer airplane.”