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Frank Chen

Partner, Andreessen Horowitz · 1 appearance on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

investoroperatorexecutiveanalysthost@withfries2 ↗LinkedIn ↗a16z.com/author/frank-chen ↗

At Andreessen Horowitz, Chen leads Early Stage Venture Programs and previously built the firm's deal and research team, becoming known for primers on emerging technologies. Prior to venture capital, he held senior product and user experience leadership roles at Netscape, Loudcloud, Opsware, and HP Software.

13statements → 12claims → 6claims resolved → 83%fully supported → 3.77/5average certainty → 2.31/5average debate potential → ≈4.5/5argument clarity, estimated → 3said about them ↓

5 supported 0 partly supported 1 contradicted 6 not yet assessed how the 12 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

6 predictions · 6 assertions · 1 insight · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 12 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 6 are resolved, 6 are not yet assessed. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Frank argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Prediction Held up
Chen: Legacy automakers will fail to transition into fleet operators
“I actually expect most of the manufacturers to not be able to make that transition, because if you think about every bonus that has ever been paid out at a car manufacturer, it's because you designed a car that people really wanted the three series.”
Frank Chen Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 17:55 20VC: a16z Partner Frank Chen on The Future of Car Ownership, Whether The High Employee Attrition Rate in The Valley Is A Feature or A Bug & His Biggest Lessons From Netscape, Loudcloud & Opsware

Their most notable contradicted claim

Assertion Contradicted
Chen: 14% of land in Los Angeles is dedicated to parking lots
“Today, 14% of all land in Los Angeles is parking lots”
Frank Chen Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 25:04 20VC: a16z Partner Frank Chen on The Future of Car Ownership, Whether The High Employee Attrition Rate in The Valley Is A Feature or A Bug & His Biggest Lessons From Netscape, Loudcloud & Opsware

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
100% certainty 3
100% certainty 4
50% certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: speaking style how? →

226 words/min while actually speaking · 1.3 um and uh per 1k words

No argument clarity score for Frank Chen: no usable question→answer exchanges on raw tape (a fair score needs 8+). We do not score a sample that small. Roundtable and news formats yield far fewer direct exchanges than interviews. Their coarse estimate from 24 exchanges on the produced feed is ≈4.5/5, shown at half point precision because the sample is small and produced tape scores higher.

Measured by listening to 4,588 words across 1 episode, but every recording we have of Frank Chen is the aired feed, and an editor cleaned that audio before release. Some of the hesitation was cut before we ever heard it, so read these as floors: the true rates are at least this high. These are measurements of speaking style, not scores. How it's measured →

How the interview went all their pushback → series average →

Across 1 rated episode:

host pushback ▾ 1/10
pushed back at the host ▾ 2/10
setup questions received 65%

Everything Frank Chen said on 20VC that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2024
Chen: Urban and suburban residents will stop owning private cars
“Yeah, I think that in most urban and most suburban settings, people will stop owning their cars.”
Frank Chen Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 16:12 20VC: a16z Partner Frank Chen on The Future of Car Ownership, Whether The High Employee Attrition Rate in The Valley Is A Feature or A Bug & His Biggest Lessons From Netscape, Loudcloud & Opsware
Prediction Held up
Chen: Legacy automakers will fail to transition into fleet operators
“I actually expect most of the manufacturers to not be able to make that transition, because if you think about every bonus that has ever been paid out at a car manufacturer, it's because you designed a car that people really wanted the three series.”
Frank Chen Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 17:55 20VC: a16z Partner Frank Chen on The Future of Car Ownership, Whether The High Employee Attrition Rate in The Valley Is A Feature or A Bug & His Biggest Lessons From Netscape, Loudcloud & Opsware
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2024
Chen: Driver-assist features will be phased out for full autonomy
“So I think from a skill atrophy point of view, and from an attention point of view, we're in this transition phase where all this driver assist Is going to get phased out in favor of complete driving.”
Frank Chen Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 20:52 20VC: a16z Partner Frank Chen on The Future of Car Ownership, Whether The High Employee Attrition Rate in The Valley Is A Feature or A Bug & His Biggest Lessons From Netscape, Loudcloud & Opsware
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Chen: Fintech ML found gambling apps correlate with better credit risk
“It turns out if you have gambling applications, you're a better credit risk. And I think if you had asked a million loan officers if they would have predicted that, they would have a million out of a million times said, no, of course, that makes you a worse cr…”
Frank Chen Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 30:24 20VC: a16z Partner Frank Chen on The Future of Car Ownership, Whether The High Employee Attrition Rate in The Valley Is A Feature or A Bug & His Biggest Lessons From Netscape, Loudcloud & Opsware
Insight
Chen: High employee attrition makes building startups significantly harder
“Having people leave every 18 months, that's not good for your company. And so I learned a lot about how to inspire loyalty and certainly taught me a lot about staying in place when things didn't look like they were going well, because it's hard enough building…”
Frank Chen Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 5:40 20VC: a16z Partner Frank Chen on The Future of Car Ownership, Whether The High Employee Attrition Rate in The Valley Is A Feature or A Bug & His Biggest Lessons From Netscape, Loudcloud & Opsware
Assertion Supported
Accenture CTO: Enterprise AI adoption is faster than internet or mobile transitions
“If you talk to Paul Doherty, who is the CTO of Accenture, and he's been at Accenture for three decades, he says he's never seen anything grow this fast inside big businesses, right? So if you think about headcount, think about budget, like any metric you can t…”
Frank Chen Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 8:46 20VC: a16z Partner Frank Chen on The Future of Car Ownership, Whether The High Employee Attrition Rate in The Valley Is A Feature or A Bug & His Biggest Lessons From Netscape, Loudcloud & Opsware
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2024
Chen: Autonomous vehicles will eliminate urban parking lots
“First, all the parking lots can go away because the cars will constantly be in motion. The fleet operators will need that to drive the efficiency and utilization out of their cars, and so if the car is not carrying you, it's carrying goods, and if it's not car…”
Frank Chen Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 24:30 20VC: a16z Partner Frank Chen on The Future of Car Ownership, Whether The High Employee Attrition Rate in The Valley Is A Feature or A Bug & His Biggest Lessons From Netscape, Loudcloud & Opsware
Assertion Supported
Chen: Academics credit employee mobility for Silicon Valley beating Boston's Route 128
“And actually academics who have studied why Silicon Valley beat route one, 28 in Boston, they will point to this as a feature, which is in Boston. You basically settled in a deck or Lotus, and you basically spent your entire career there.”
Frank Chen Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 6:34 20VC: a16z Partner Frank Chen on The Future of Car Ownership, Whether The High Employee Attrition Rate in The Valley Is A Feature or A Bug & His Biggest Lessons From Netscape, Loudcloud & Opsware
Assertion Supported
Chen: More white-collar jobs were created post-spreadsheet than in prior decades
“We've actually created more white collar jobs post the spreadsheet than we have in the decades before.”
Frank Chen Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 10:38 20VC: a16z Partner Frank Chen on The Future of Car Ownership, Whether The High Employee Attrition Rate in The Valley Is A Feature or A Bug & His Biggest Lessons From Netscape, Loudcloud & Opsware
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2024
Chen: Software and electronics will reach 50% of vehicle cost
“I think you're going to see, you know, half the price of a car go to hardware and software.”
Frank Chen Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 23:11 20VC: a16z Partner Frank Chen on The Future of Car Ownership, Whether The High Employee Attrition Rate in The Valley Is A Feature or A Bug & His Biggest Lessons From Netscape, Loudcloud & Opsware
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2024
Chen: Car dealerships will vanish from inner cities
“Therefore, car dealerships are going to start vanishing from inner cities.”
Frank Chen Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 26:04 20VC: a16z Partner Frank Chen on The Future of Car Ownership, Whether The High Employee Attrition Rate in The Valley Is A Feature or A Bug & His Biggest Lessons From Netscape, Loudcloud & Opsware
Assertion Supported
NeurIPS AI research conference tickets sold out in 11 minutes
“The biggest AI conference for researchers is called the Neuroinformation Processing Symposium. This year, it's sold out in a little over 11 minutes.”
Frank Chen Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 8:34 20VC: a16z Partner Frank Chen on The Future of Car Ownership, Whether The High Employee Attrition Rate in The Valley Is A Feature or A Bug & His Biggest Lessons From Netscape, Loudcloud & Opsware
Assertion Contradicted
Chen: 14% of land in Los Angeles is dedicated to parking lots
“Today, 14% of all land in Los Angeles is parking lots”
Frank Chen Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 25:04 20VC: a16z Partner Frank Chen on The Future of Car Ownership, Whether The High Employee Attrition Rate in The Valley Is A Feature or A Bug & His Biggest Lessons From Netscape, Loudcloud & Opsware

The other half of the tape: Frank Chen's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 3 times in 2 episodes on 20VC. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Harry Stebbings 3

Every mention by year

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
20VC: a16z Partner Frank Chen on The Future of Car Ownership, Whether The High Employee At Feb 25, 2019 21m
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