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Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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NO PRIORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stability AI Has More Compute Available Than Microsoft or Google
“The reality is we have more compute available to us than Microsoft or Google.”
Emad Mostaque May 3, 2023 ▶ 9:33 No Priors Ep. 3 | With Stability AI’s Emad Mostaque
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2028
Mostak: Only 5 or 6 Foundation Model Companies Will Exist in 3-5 Years
“I think that there's only going to be five or six foundation model companies in the world in three years, five years.”
Emad Mostaque Jun 2, 2023 ▶ 3:56 20VC: Who Wins the AI Race; Startups or Incumbents & Does Having Proprietary Data Really Matter For Startups Today?
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe May 2028
Mostaque: AI Will Eliminate All Outsourced Programming Jobs in India
“India, all of the outsourcing jobs in programming will go, because GPT-IV can go level three Google programmer exam and pass it.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 23:45 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe May 2028
Mostaque: AI Will Build Software Automatically, Eliminating Human Coders
“Why would you need a human for that if the AI gets better and better at coding? Just tell it what you want. I want to create an app for 20 minute VC that has these features. Of course it will go and build it automatically. Where is the human coder in that?”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 44:05 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe May 2028
Mostaque: Only five or six foundation model companies will survive
“I think that there's only going to be five or six foundation model companies in the world in three years, five years. ... I think it's going to be us, NVIDIA Google, Microsoft OpenAI, and Meta and Apple probably are the ones that train these models.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 45:46 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe May 2029
Emad Mostaque: Only 5 or 6 foundation model companies will survive
“I think that there's only going to be five or six foundation model companies in the world in three years, five years. I think it's going to be us, Nvidia, Google, Microsoft, OpenAI, and Meta, and Apple probably are the ones that train these models.”
Emad Mostaque May 24, 2024 ▶ 10:19 Sam Altman, Arthur Mensch and more discuss:Which Startups Are Threatened vs Enabled by OpenAI?|E1156 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Didn’t hold up
Mostaque: Only 5 or 6 foundation model companies will exist in 3-5 years
“I think that there's only going to be five or six foundation model companies in the world in three years, five years. I think it's going to be us, Nvidia, Google, Microsoft OpenAI, and Meta and Apple probably are the ones that train these models.”
Emad Mostaque Nov 24, 2023 ▶ 0:55 The Ultimate AI Roundtable: What Happens Now in AI, Why Google are Vulnerable | E1085 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Didn’t hold up
Mostaque: No AI models available today will be used in a year
“The reality is no models that are out today will be used in a year.”
Emad Mostaque Nov 24, 2023 ▶ 2:56 The Ultimate AI Roundtable: What Happens Now in AI, Why Google are Vulnerable | E1085 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Didn’t hold up
Emad Mostaque: No Current AI Models Will Be Used in a Year
“The reality is no models that are out today will be used in a year.”
Emad Mostaque Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 16:21 20VC: The Biggest AI Leaders on What Matters More; Model Size or Data Size & Where Does The Value in AI Accrue; to Startups or to Incumbents
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mostaque: Google will be a primary winner in the AI race
“Google will be one of the main winners here. They have the LLMs, they have the hardware.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 10:37 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mostaque: Next year AI investment will be everywhere, causing chaos
“The reason I signed that letter, because I think there's a six month pause to get all of our shit together before things go completely insane, and next year this is everywhere, and everyone's investing in everything, and it's just absolute chaos.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 16:59 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mostaque: AI will have a larger economic impact than COVID-19
“And so, like, I think this will be a bigger economic impact than COVID.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 40:05 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Mostaque: 50% of All Code on GitHub Is AI-Generated
“50% of all code on GitHub is AI generated now.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 43:09 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mostaque: European policy will regulate all technology innovation out of Europe
“Because they're going to regulate all innovation out of Europe, and not embrace this technology to drive them forward.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 1:08:53 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
NO PRIORS Prediction Open · timeframe May 2028
All Base Foundation Models Will Ultimately Open Source Their Pre-Training Phase
“So my take is that foundation models will all be open source for the deep learning phase.”
Emad Mostaque May 3, 2023 ▶ 10:19 No Priors Ep. 3 | With Stability AI’s Emad Mostaque
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Emerging Market AI Systems Will Outperform the West Within Five Years
“I am certain that system will outperform anything in the West within five years.”
Emad Mostaque May 3, 2023 ▶ 19:11 No Priors Ep. 3 | With Stability AI’s Emad Mostaque
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Small Hive Architecture AI Models Will Massively Outperform Large Monolithic Models
“I think that small models will outperform large models massively, like I said, the Hive model aspect”
Emad Mostaque May 3, 2023 ▶ 44:38 No Priors Ep. 3 | With Stability AI’s Emad Mostaque
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2028
Emad Mostaque: Only Five Foundation Model Companies Will Survive by 2028
“I think that there's only going to be five or six foundation model companies in the world in three years, five years.”
Emad Mostaque Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 27:37 20VC: The Biggest AI Leaders on What Matters More; Model Size or Data Size & Where Does The Value in AI Accrue; to Startups or to Incumbents
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mostak: Generative AI will have a bigger economic impact than COVID
“I think this will be a bigger economic impact than COVID.”
Emad Mostaque Jun 2, 2023 ▶ 7:37 20VC: Who Wins the AI Race; Startups or Incumbents & Does Having Proprietary Data Really Matter For Startups Today?
20VC Prediction Didn’t hold up
Mostak: No AI models available today will be used in a year
“The reality is no models that are out today will be used in a year.”
Emad Mostaque Jun 2, 2023 ▶ 12:49 20VC: Who Wins the AI Race; Startups or Incumbents & Does Having Proprietary Data Really Matter For Startups Today?
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mostaque: Stability AI sees zero failure rate training on Google TPUs
“TPUs are the most scalable architecture, like we have zero failure rate with our TPU language model training, whereas with GPUs it's like there's an ECC error”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 10:53 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Didn’t hold up
Mostaque: Governments will not run on black-box AI models
“Governments will not run on black boxes.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 14:32 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Mostaque: Chinese tech companies paying $1.2M salaries to AI PhDs
“Certain Chinese companies paying 1.2 million dollar salaries for PhDs.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 15:10 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Mostaque: AI startups getting $100M funding rounds with zero traction
“Already you're seeing GitHub stars leading to a hundred million dollar funding rounds with zero traction and zero business model.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 16:02 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mostaque: Every nation needs its own open AI models and data sets
“As part of that, every nation will need their own data sets, which again have from broadcaster data. They will need their own open models that can stimulate innovation internally as well.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 18:13 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mostaque: India and Emerging Markets Will Adopt AI Faster Than UK
“Realizing that India and other nations will leapfrog to intelligence augmentation, just that they leapfrog to mobile, they will embrace this technology far quicker than we will in the UK even.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 23:34 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Mostaque: Financial institutions cannot use AI models with web-crawled data
“If you're a financial services institute, you can't have a single piece of crawl data in there.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 26:24 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Partly supported
Mostaque: DataComp outperforms OpenAI CLIP at one-fourth the parameter count
“We had datacomp, which is the next generation lion that we funded the compute for, whereby at a quarter of the parameters of OpenAI's clip, it outperforms for the beta data quality.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 26:46 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Held up
Mostaque: AI-synthesized search results will destroy digital media ad revenue
“I think he is right to be worried. Like, again, you look at Google's announcements yesterday, they were talking about this day after Palm Two, You suddenly look at the new Google page where they've got the language model, and it's just text, and where are the …”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 29:56 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Didn’t hold up
Mostaque: No AI models in use today will survive a year
“The reality is no models you that are out today will be used in a year.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 37:27 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Didn’t hold up
Mostaque: AI will deflate US inflation by disrupting healthcare and education bureaucracy
“It's massively deflationary. The biggest drivers of CPI inflation in the US were education and healthcare. And that was almost all administrative and bureaucratic. In the next few years, guess what gets disrupted? Those. But they don't get disrupted this year …”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 49:13 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mostaque: Every Child Will Have Their Own AI in a Few Years
“Assume that every child will have their own AI in a few years, because that will change the nature of schooling.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 57:34 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mostaque: Meta holds the best training data for conversational AI
“But who is best for a chatbot? Who has the most data for a chatbot? Meta.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 1:05:15 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Governments Will Eventually Pour Hundreds of Billions Into AGI Model Scaling
“When governments decide, and I don't believe they've decided yet, that having an AGI is the number one thing, tens of billions, hundreds of billions will go into building bigger models.”
Emad Mostaque May 3, 2023 ▶ 39:38 No Priors Ep. 3 | With Stability AI’s Emad Mostaque
NO PRIORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Malicious Actors Already Possess Advanced AI Models and Thousands of A100 GPUs
“I think the bad guys, I'm going to put that in quotes have access to these models already and thousands and thousands of A-one hundreds.”
Emad Mostaque May 3, 2023 ▶ 42:51 No Priors Ep. 3 | With Stability AI’s Emad Mostaque
NO PRIORS Prediction Held up
ChatGPT-Level AI Models Will Run Locally on Smartphones by 2028
“You will see ChatGPT level models running on the edge on smartphones in five years, which will be crazy.”
Emad Mostaque May 3, 2023 ▶ 44:38 No Priors Ep. 3 | With Stability AI’s Emad Mostaque
20VC Assertion Supported
Emad Mostaque: Google DeepMind's annual salary budget is $1.2 billion
“DeepMind's salary budget is 1.2 billion a year.”
Emad Mostaque May 24, 2024 ▶ 10:44 Sam Altman, Arthur Mensch and more discuss:Which Startups Are Threatened vs Enabled by OpenAI?|E1156 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Emad Mostaque: Every Nation Will Need Sovereign Datasets and Open Models
“As part of that, every nation will need their own data sets, which again, have from broadcaster data. They will need their own open models that can stimulate innovation internally as well.”
Emad Mostaque Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 15:35 20VC: The Biggest AI Leaders on What Matters More; Model Size or Data Size & Where Does The Value in AI Accrue; to Startups or to Incumbents
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Emad Mostaque: Google Spends $20 Billion per Year on AI
“Google spend twenty billion dollars a year on AI.”
Emad Mostaque Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 28:03 20VC: The Biggest AI Leaders on What Matters More; Model Size or Data Size & Where Does The Value in AI Accrue; to Startups or to Incumbents
20VC Assertion Partly supported
Emad Mostaque: DeepMind's Annual Salary Budget Is $1.2 Billion
“DeepMind's salary budget is 1.2 billion a year.”
Emad Mostaque Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 28:06 20VC: The Biggest AI Leaders on What Matters More; Model Size or Data Size & Where Does The Value in AI Accrue; to Startups or to Incumbents
20VC Assertion Supported
Mostak: DeepMind's annual salary budget is $1.2 billion
“DeepMind's salary budget is 1.2 billion a year.”
Emad Mostaque Jun 2, 2023 ▶ 4:25 20VC: Who Wins the AI Race; Startups or Incumbents & Does Having Proprietary Data Really Matter For Startups Today?
20VC Assertion Supported
Mostaque: Google's Med-PaLM 2 AI model exceeds doctor performance levels
“Now we have MedPOM-II that exceeds doctor levels. So that was a Google announcement yesterday.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 5:08 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mostaque: AI will redefine doctors' roles by providing continuous personal health data
“I think that you can change the nature of a doctor because a lot of this stuff is kind of very basic. I think, you know, you had Babylon Health and others trying that chatbot. It wasn't ready. Now you've got this. Everyone should have their own AIs looking out…”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 8:27 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Partly held up
Stability AI to build language models in the open starting next week
“From next week, we're going to build our language models in the open and share what works and what doesn't work.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 13:25 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Held up
Mostaque: Google will spend $20 billion annually on AI
“Google will spend twenty billion dollars a year on AI.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 46:20 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Mostaque: DeepMind spends $1.2 billion annually on salaries
“DeepMind's salary budget is 1.2 billion a year.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 46:25 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Mostaque: Stability AI currently has 7,000 NVIDIA A100 GPUs
“You need these chips lined up with interconnect, and we've got 7000 A-one hundreds now.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 48:04 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Mostaque: Character.AI Sees Two Hours of Engagement Per Session
“Character AI has something like two hours a day of engagement per session”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 59:08 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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