The Ledger, every show

“Like, I think we're quite close to digital superintelligence. It may happen this year, and if it doesn't happen this year, next year for sure. Digital superintelligence is defined as smarter than any human at anything.”

“I mean, AI really within the next few years will be able to do any cognitive task. Like, it obviously begs the question, what are we all gonna do? You know, I'd say max three or four years. Maximum.”

“Almost every conspiracy theory that people had about Twitter turned out to be true. So far, they've all turned out to be true, and if not, more true than people thought.”

“The lowest cost place to put AI will be space. And that'll be true within two years. Maybe three. Three at the latest.”

“So what I've tried to do is just restore it to be balanced and centrist. So there haven't been any left-wing voices that have been suspended or, you know, banned or de-amplified or anything like that.”

“I think it will turn out to be true that in less than 20 years, that maybe even as little as, I don't know, 10 or 15 years the advancements in AI and robotics will Bring us to the point where working is optional.”

“I think long term, I think money disappears as a concept, honestly. It's kind of strange, but in, in a future where anyone can have anything I think you no longer need money as a database for labor allocation. If there's, if AI and robotics are big enough to s…”

“There's an argument that companies that do AI and robotics, and maybe space flight, are gonna be overwhelming, overwhelmingly all the value, almost all the value. So the output of goods and services from AI and robotics is so high that it will dwarf everything…”

“But AI and humanoid robots will actually eliminate poverty.”

“They have, in a lot of cases, released people who have committed violent crimes in order to imprison people who have simply made posts on social media.”

“He called me a speciest like racist or something for being pro human intelligence instead of machine intelligence.”

“I think that we might have AI smarter than any single human at anything as soon as next year.”

“And then probably within five, like say, 2030, probably AI is smarter than the sum of all humans.”

“I think it can be done in, in 30 years. Provided there's an exponential increase in the tonnage to Mars, with each successive Mars transfer windows, which is every two years. So every two years, the planets align, and you can transfer to Mars. So I think in, R…”

“I think we'll have enough mass transferred to Mars within like roughly 30 years to make Mars self-sustaining, such that Mars can continue to grow and prosper, even if the resupply shifts from Earth stop coming.”

“I think it most likely will be a good outcome. I guess I'd sort of agree with Jeff Hinton that maybe it's a 10 to 20% chance of annihilation. But look on the bright side, that's 80 to 90% probability of a great outcome.”

“Anything that is a manufactured good or provided service will, I think, with the advent of AI plus robotics, that the cost of goods and services will be, will Trend to zero. Like, I'm not saying it'd be actually zero, but it'll be, everyone will be able to hav…”

“It would be fair to say that, therefore, as a leader of the company, I've done more for the environment than everyone else, any single human on Earth.”

“At the time this happened, the region around, you Crimea was actually turned off. Now, the reason it was turned off was, actually, originally, was because the United States had sanctions and we're not allowed to actually, and that includes Crimea in the sancti…”

“We saw, ah, a 60% drop in advertising.”

“If one is to take China's policy literally, and probably one should then there will be some forceful force will be used for, you know to incorporate Taiwan into China.”

“I think it's some number that is probably at least four or five times that number. I'd say at if you did sort of the lowest estimate would be probably 20%. And this is a bunch of quite smart outside firms have done analysis of Twitter and looked at the sort of…”

“It's a meaningful number of people going to Mars I. I think this is potentially something that can be accomplished in about 10 years maybe sooner , maybe nine years.”

“I'm confident that if AI and robotics continue to advance, which they are advancing very rapidly, Like I said, working will be optional and people will have any goods and services that they want. if you can think of it, you can have a type of thing.”

“So I think that probably We probably won't have money, and probably we'll just have energy, you know, power generation as the de facto currency.”

“It's certainly, it would be accurate to say that there's, you know, like some of the outsourcing companies have kind of gamed the system on, on the H-one B front, and we need to stop the gaming of the system, you know”

“Once Twitter broke ranks, the others had to it became very obvious what the others were doing. And so they had to mitigate their censorship substantially as because of what Twitter did.”

“My understanding is that in the UK, there's something like two or 3000 people in prison for social media posts.”

“Effectively, Glass Lewis and ISS control the vote of half the stock market.”

“He came to visit me at the Tesla Gigafactory in Austin, and was telling me that it's impossible to have a long-range, ah, semi-truck. And I was like, well, but we literally have them and you can drive them, and Pepsi is literally using them right now”

“The reality is that, in my opinion, is that we've got at least 50 years before it's a serious issue.”

“I am confident that the current chips AI, AI four chips that are in the cars will achieve self-driving safety that is at least two to three times that of human and maybe even X and the software that will be released for that is, is coming out over the next few…”

“Your car is going to feel like it is sentient by the end of the year.”

“Unless we have some very major setbacks SpaceX will demonstrate full reusability next year catching both the booster and the ship and being able to deliver over a hundred tons to a useful orbit.”

“Now human, because of population declines and low birth rate, human intelligence is, is somewhat plateauing and will actually decline.”

“There's gonna be so many humanoid robots, and robots of all sizes and shapes, but my prediction is that there will be more humanoid robots by far than all other robots combined, by maybe an order of magnitude, like a big difference.”

“Human intelligence, even assuming a significant increase in human population and intelligence augmentation, like massive intelligence augmentation, where like everyone has an IQ of a thousand type of thing. Even in that circumstance collective human intelligen…”

“Tesla has done more to help the environment than all other companies combined.”

“You know, the suspensions of Candidates, or interests, or voices, was really at least 10 times the rate of suppression of left-wing voices on, you know, on old Twitter.”

“And this is despite, you know, showing repeated, ah, analysis of the system, including third-party analysis of the system, which actually showed that, ah, the number of views of hateful content, ah, declined.”

“There will come a point if, you know, probably not, in the not too distant future, where China's military strength in that region far except exceeds US military strength in that region.”

“The miles we see driven under the FSD beta currently are much safer than the miles that are driven without it.”

“A fusion earth fusion is not competitive economically. I think that is I would say it's probably not competitive economically by an order of magnitude.”

“The environment is going to be fine. They're going to be fine. Even if we doubled the size of the humans this is, and I know a lot about environmental stuff.”

“What we're going to see was trying to for the first time that anyone can remember who is alive is an economy that is Twice the size of the U S possibly three times the size of the U S”

“In three years or less, my guess is goods and services output will exceed the rate of inflation. Like goods and services growth will exceed money supply growth in about three years.”

“Will these skills be necessary in the future? [4402] Elon Musk: Probably not. [4404] Elon Musk: Because we're going to be in, like, a post-work society.”

“I mean, I think it's going to be overwhelmingly AI generated. Yeah. Like, yeah, real, real time movies and video games. Real, real time video generation, I think, is where things are headed.”