The Ledger, every show

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Prediction Held up
Streaming will eventually cost consumers exactly as much as their old cable bundles
“What's going to happen is people are going to end up paying about the same amount of money every month they do for content today. There should be paying different people. And I think that that's going to be the case. This idea that there's going to be this, yo…”
Ben Thompson Sep 5, 2018 ▶ 1:13:26 #40 Ben Thompson: Thriving in a Digital World
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Thompson: Tech giants blew through debt markets in a year for AI
“Then, like, the speed with which the tech companies blew through the debt markets is kind of incredible. Like, it took, like, a year, and now Google's issuing equity.”
Ben Thompson Aug 18, 2026 ▶ 8:39 What Happens When the AI Boom Runs Out of Money · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Thompson: Google agreed to sell about 20% of its TPUs to Anthropic
“Google already made a deal to sell, like, 20% of their TPUs to Anthropic.”
Ben Thompson Aug 18, 2026 ▶ 1:18:20 What Happens When the AI Boom Runs Out of Money · Invest Like The Best
TBPN Assertion Supported
Thompson: Xbox Game Pass has 30M subscribers and is decreasing
“And they, I think the, you know, the recent reporting was they expected to have seventy-five million Game Pass subscribers by this year. They have like thirty million, and that number is actually decreasing. It's not going up.”
Ben Thompson Jul 8, 2026 ▶ 17:56 Ben Thompson Explains the XBOX Disaster
CHEEKY PINT Assertion Partly supported
Ben Thompson: TSMC cut capex for two years following ChatGPT's release
“ChatGPT comes out. Every hyperscaler starts investing like crazy. What does TSMC do? They actually decreased their capex year over year, two years in a row. They did, they, there was no market response from TSMC to the ChatGPT moment.”
Ben Thompson Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 1:09:59 Ben Thompson from Stratechery on AI ads, the end of SaaS, and the future of media
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Thompson: AWS was not built from spare Amazon compute capacity
“AWS, contrary to sort of popular thought, was not spare Amazon capacity. Actually, it took a long time to get Amazon.com onto AWS, but the, what it drove was the understanding that we need to have a scalable, we can't be having so many meetings. Like, we need …”
Ben Thompson Aug 18, 2026 ▶ 47:57 What Happens When the AI Boom Runs Out of Money · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Thompson: Apple has never issued an iPhone recall
“Apple's never had an iPhone recall.”
Ben Thompson Aug 18, 2026 ▶ 54:12 What Happens When the AI Boom Runs Out of Money · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Thompson: Meta Has Cumulatively Spent Over $100 Billion on Oculus
“The other problem is they've spent Cumulative hundred some billion dollars on Oculus”
Ben Thompson Aug 18, 2026 ▶ 1:12:20 What Happens When the AI Boom Runs Out of Money · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Thompson: Google built its infrastructure moat on cheap dot-com dark fiber
“Google built its business by buying up dark fiber. They had the killer search engine, but they, so much of the power, what they do is because they bought up all this dark fiber. That was basically free after the.com era.”
Ben Thompson Aug 18, 2026 ▶ 1:22:57 What Happens When the AI Boom Runs Out of Money · Invest Like The Best
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Prediction Didn’t hold up
Ben Thompson predicts music streaming will soon surpass CD-era peak revenues
“It turns out the music industry is actually in fantastic shape, and their revenue has been increasing a lot, and they're actually going to have, they're on pace to have like their best year ever in like the next couple of years, like even more than like the CD…”
Ben Thompson Sep 5, 2018 ▶ 1:19:58 #40 Ben Thompson: Thriving in a Digital World
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Thompson: BNSF generated more cash in one year than See's Candies lifetime
“Like BNSF in twenty-twenty-five or something, they're, the amount of free cash they've threw off in one year was more than these candies that throw off its entire lifetime. Even though you're talking about a low margin business compared to a very high margin b…”
Ben Thompson Aug 18, 2026 ▶ 12:00 What Happens When the AI Boom Runs Out of Money · Invest Like The Best
ACQUIRED Assertion Supported
Thompson: Stratechery tokenizes internal email links one level deep
“Every link to myself in a strategy email is tokenized and that token goes one link deep. So even if that email is forwarded to you can go read old stuff.”
Ben Thompson Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 57:57 Stratechery (with Ben Thompson) · Acquired
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