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20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Osika: 50% chance the best AI model comes from China
“I do think there's like a fifty-fifty chance they will have the best model. We'll be using a Chinese model at some point, because...”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 0:31 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Osika: AI will replace traditional, detailed manual software design workflows
“The way of doing it right now with the design, what like one person does all the design very slowly, very detailed is going to be replaced by AI doing, you talk much more high level, and you talk about your design philosophy, and then the AI does the implement…”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 28:23 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Osika: AI will devalue knowledge work just as fine art lost profitability
“I think we're going to have, like, Maybe a shift away from some very glamorous jobs, which people will be get depressed by, like similarly to how being like an artist was like so fucking cool, but clearly you can't make any money as an artist. I think we're go…”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 1:11:16 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Partly supported
Osika: Lovable's 85% month-one retention outperforms ChatGPT
“We have month one retention that's better than ChatGPT's month one retention on paying customers, and so it's about 85%.”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 32:31 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: OpenAI has lost all of its best talent to Anthropic
“OpenAI lost all their best talent to Anthropic”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 38:12 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
CHEEKY PINT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Non-coders are making hundreds of thousands from prompt-built production applications
“That's what we're seeing with people making hundreds of thousands of dollars having built production-ready applications, but just by prompting, not looking at the code ever.”
Anton Osika Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 18:59 A conversation with Lovable CEO Anton Osika
CHEEKY PINT Prediction Not checkable as stated
Osika: AI agent failure rates will drop tenfold within a year
“I think the, like, agents, they often get confused and trip over themselves, and we're in a year going to see that happening, like, by an order of magnitude less often.”
Anton Osika Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 23:59 A conversation with Lovable CEO Anton Osika
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Osika: OpenAI will be a bigger competitor to Lovable than Anthropic
“OpenAI is doing that better than Anthropic. So I see them as a more serious competitor in, in, in 12 months.”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 16:39 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Osika: Lovable plans to spend $100M hiring top model-training talent
“And we have to do it both with like how we build this agentic chain and over time in building absolutely world-class paying a hundred million dollars for getting the people that train the models. So, so that's on the horizon for us to get it to like be hyper-p…”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 19:45 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Osika: General AI progress will plateau while bioengineering advances exponentially
“Yeah, we're going to see a plateauing. There's some sigmoid curves where I think we're still in this, like, exponential phase of the sigmoid curve, so it and those could be something like science and engineering, and like bioengineering, where AI is just going…”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 1:04:34 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2030
Osika: The best AI models will always remain closed-source
“I think the best ones will always be closed but if you want maximal flexibility and some kind of open ecosystem around it might be that open ones are the ones that most people choose.”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 1:07:18 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Osika: Lovable will be the most-used human-AI interface within 5 years
“We're the mostly used interface for humans to AI.”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 1:13:41 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Lovable generated $1M in ARR within its first week post-launch
“Once we launched that, that was the 21st of November, so that's almost three months ago. We just hit like one million ARR in a week, and then it kept growing at that pace. It's still growing at even faster than that pace.”
Anton Osika Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 26:28 Building Lovable: $10M ARR in 60 days with 15 people | Anton Osika (CEO and co-founder)
LENNY'S PODCAST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Osika: The skill of unblocking AI coding tools will soon become obsolete
“And the places where it gets stuck today is currently something that where you can use being very good at understanding and getting unstuck, but in the future, it won't be so important. This is just going to not get stuck.”
Anton Osika Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 29:33 Building Lovable: $10M ARR in 60 days with 15 people | Anton Osika (CEO and co-founder)
LENNY'S PODCAST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Osika: Perfect AI software creation and integration will arrive within two years
“The last piece of software, how I see that is that it's almost instant to go from what you want to change in a product or what you, what product you want to build. To having it fully working end to end, integrated with any of your existing systems or integrate…”
Anton Osika Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 36:47 Building Lovable: $10M ARR in 60 days with 15 people | Anton Osika (CEO and co-founder)
20VC Assertion Supported
Osika: Lovable is currently adding $2M in ARR every week
“Two million ARR per week.”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 20:49 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Partly supported
Osika: Anthropic's enterprise revenue has almost caught up to OpenAI's
“If you look at the enterprise revenue, like, Anthropik is almost caught up to open AI from nothing, from being absolutely dominated”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 37:57 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Osika: Giving AI models long-term memory and context will take years
“What you need to ramp is to decide what, like, the process for storing memory, I think is what you have to ramp and it has to store all of these things. Like my conversation with Harry has to be stored somehow into the system and all like my childhood almost h…”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 44:15 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2030
Osika: No single foundation model provider will win the AI market
“You don't need to be attached to one foundation model provider. They're all going to be amazing. You don't need to There's not going to be one winner here.”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 45:42 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2030
Osika: Per-seat SaaS companies will collapse as AI replaces human employees
“I'm not so read, well read on the public market. It would be a SaaS company. It would be like a SaaS company that has a per seat pricing where those, their ICP is going to be replaced by AI SaaS that just replaces the employees. So the seat, the number of seat…”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 47:51 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Businesses are generating over $1 million in revenue using Lovable
“Now what we're seeing is that people are running businesses making more than a million dollars of revenue on the, on this platform.”
Anton Osika Jul 15, 2026 ▶ 28:48 Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Nursa replaced ten internal tools with Lovable, saving over $1M
“They've now replaced more than 10 tools that they had. Bespoke applications. And I think in terms of your question, You can do that for multiple reasons. In their case, they're saving more than a million dollars per year.”
Anton Osika Jul 15, 2026 ▶ 38:26 Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding
CHEEKY PINT Prediction Not checkable as stated
Osika: Software development will transition to visual, conversational AI interfaces
“We're going to see a completely new type of experience and interface to build software products, and it's not going to be humans looking at the code, it's going to be something new, something more like visual, and driven by talking to an AI, and it's going to …”
Anton Osika Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 2:10 A conversation with Lovable CEO Anton Osika
20VC Prediction Held up
Osika: Lovable will expand into general business administration and finance
“Lovable today is your technical co-founder. We want it to be your co-founder in general that handles all the admin, setting up your finance operations”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 7:59 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Lovable reached 300K MAUs and 30K paying users in three months
“We launched Lavable less than three months ago, and now we have 300,000 monthly active users, and 30 of those, 30,000 of those are actually paying. And it is growing on this at the same rate, it's like, you just, almost only through organic word of mouth.”
Anton Osika Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 7:43 Building Lovable: $10M ARR in 60 days with 15 people | Anton Osika (CEO and co-founder)
LENNY'S PODCAST Prediction Held up
Osika: AI will soon automate product analytics, recommendations, and A/B tests
“AIs can do that on absolutely massive scale and propose changes to a human to say like, oh yeah, that sounds like a good change to make it a bit more intuitive. And it can also automatically run, spin out A-B tests so that you can see with data, all these impr…”
Anton Osika Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 37:53 Building Lovable: $10M ARR in 60 days with 15 people | Anton Osika (CEO and co-founder)
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Osika: Tech megacorps won't build the best products for years
“The big megacorps, they move very slowly in many domains. So they're never going to, in many years, they're not going to have the best product on the market.”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 38:40 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
MASTERS OF SCALE Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Vibe coding compresses six months of software development into hours
“You can take your idea to an application in what used to take people, like six months, going to be done in a few hours.”
Anton Osika Aug 11, 2026 ▶ 14:27 60% of today's jobs didn't exist in 1940. 5 leaders on what's next.
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: One million new projects are built on Lovable every week
“We're seeing a million new projects built every single week on the platform.”
Anton Osika Jul 15, 2026 ▶ 25:46 Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Applications built on Lovable receive over 700 million monthly visits
“We're actually seeing as a proof of that more than seven hundred million visits to the applications every month.”
Anton Osika Jul 15, 2026 ▶ 26:06 Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: More than 50 million apps have been built on Lovable
“More than fifty million apps built on the platform to date.”
Anton Osika Jul 15, 2026 ▶ 26:16 Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Lovable's hosting product is growing faster than its software builder
“What we've done since then is to have a new product line, basically the hosting part, which is both the AI And, you know, all the normal hosting, and that product line has been growing faster than the building thing.”
Anton Osika Jul 15, 2026 ▶ 35:13 Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding
CHEEKY PINT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Lovable users range from teenagers to funded serial founders
“Today it's used a lot for, as you said, like creating this first version of your startup by, both by teenagers or kids that are like, I want to make money and create something. And serial entrepreneurs that raised like fifty million dollars, but now they were …”
Anton Osika Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 4:01 A conversation with Lovable CEO Anton Osika
CHEEKY PINT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Lovable has reached 120,000 paying users
“Now we have a 120,000 are paying and it's a simple, simplest way to measure that.”
Anton Osika Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 8:02 A conversation with Lovable CEO Anton Osika
CHEEKY PINT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Almost all of Lovable's growth is driven by word of mouth
“Almost all of the growth is from word of mouth. So it's quite, it's like, it looks almost scary, like linear or like very predictable growth.”
Anton Osika Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 10:03 A conversation with Lovable CEO Anton Osika
CHEEKY PINT Prediction Not checkable as stated
Osika: Lovable will eventually be entirely built and edited using Lovable itself
“We still have not done this bootstrap where everything on lovable is edited with itself. And we are going to get there.”
Anton Osika Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 17:18 A conversation with Lovable CEO Anton Osika
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Lovable applications generate over $10M ARR for AI model providers
“We looked at, like, the number, this was a few months ago, but we looked at how much Revenue is flowing through the AI from lovable applications. Okay. And it was more than ten million dollars in ARR.”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 12:05 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2030
Osika: Hyper-personalization will eliminate detailed AI prompting within five years
“Yes, I think so, but maybe it will evolve in terms of how you do it. It will, like, hyper-personalization takes care of a lot of detailed prompting. That we have to do today.”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 31:19 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Osika: Lovable will act as a full-stack AI co-founder by 2026
“I mean, it's your perfect co-founder that you go to with your idea from the idea stage, but also all the way up to growing your business once you have customers and taking care of like what Elena is doing, optimizing the product for growth, optimizing the prod…”
Anton Osika Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 1:01:16 Lovable CEO, Anton Osika: The State of Foundation Models, Grok vs OpenAI, and Replit vs Bolt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: GitHub suspended Lovable after it generated 15,000 daily repositories
“Lovable Earlier was always creating new projects on GitHub when someone used Lavable, and it was, we asked them, is it fine? Like, how, what's the limits here? They said, are there no limits? But once we started creating 15,000 projects per day, so there were …”
Anton Osika Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 23:34 Building Lovable: $10M ARR in 60 days with 15 people | Anton Osika (CEO and co-founder)
20VC Assertion Supported
Osika: Users are building revenue-generating SaaS companies entirely via Lovable prompts
“When we went on to iterate over the coming year, we packaged together all of these things so that you can ask today lovable, I want to build a basically a SaaS business, and then people have built their entire SaaS companies and get made money by just promptin…”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 11:05 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Lovable has reached nearly 40,000 paying users
“So we have almost 40,000 paying users, and then that's the proxy for that.”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 35:08 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Enterprise is currently Lovable's fastest-growing customer segment
“Where we're actually growing fastest right now.”
Anton Osika Jul 15, 2026 ▶ 26:52 Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: 80% of Lovable users are non-technical
“About 20% are technical or some type of engineer, and they love that we're quite opinionated. We put all the best practices into how the software is architected, and we make it seamless to we want from get payments set up in a very secure way. And do things li…”
Anton Osika Jul 15, 2026 ▶ 28:04 Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding
CHEEKY PINT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Multiple Lovable-built apps have reached hundreds of thousands of users
“We have many apps that are like hundreds of thousands of users on their applications as well, or like visitors.”
Anton Osika Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 8:27 A conversation with Lovable CEO Anton Osika
CHEEKY PINT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Lovable's new team plan acquired 5,000 paying users in one month
“Yeah, so we launched the team plan a month ago, and we've already have more than four, I think, 5000 people who paid more to get on the team's plan where you collaborate, and that's done by a company, right?”
Anton Osika Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 11:40 A conversation with Lovable CEO Anton Osika
CHEEKY PINT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Lovable employs roughly 30 people, including 17 engineers
“So we're about 30 people now, and we've had to just increase our support side quickly, because they're still with this volume, there's always support the questions. We're 17 engineers, people working in operations, and now increasingly some people who like did…”
Anton Osika Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 12:59 A conversation with Lovable CEO Anton Osika
CHEEKY PINT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Osika: Most Lovable users build purely within the platform without exporting code
“Most of our users, they just build purely in Lavable.”
Anton Osika Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 31:20 A conversation with Lovable CEO Anton Osika
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