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Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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ALL-IN Disclosure
Friedberg: Respected public figures privately told him "all Muslims need to go"
“And I've heard friends of mine in the last week Who have said awful things like all Muslims need to go. Well-known, well-respected public people have said this to me in private.”
David Friedberg Oct 20, 2023 ▶ 41:04 E150: Israel/Gaza escalating or not? EU censorship regime, Penn donors revolt, GLP-1 hype cycle
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Friedberg: TED hosted zero talks explaining why people voted for Trump post-2016
“And what disturbed me the most was that in the three years after he was elected, every TED conference had plenty of subjects, plenty of talks, and plenty of conversations about why society is falling apart, why Donald Trump is a key root cause of that, why so …”
David Friedberg Sep 29, 2023 ▶ 10:49 E147: TED goes woke, Canada's Nazi blunder, AI adds vision, plus: who owns OpenAI?
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2043
Friedberg: 100% chance existing fusion portfolio yields low-cost power in 20 years
“I think there's a hundred percent chance that the portfolio of 70 fusion companies that exist today that are pursuing this technology will succeed. And that we will get low cost power in the next 20 years at scale, right?”
David Friedberg Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 32:03 All-In Summit: Nuclear fusion and the potential for energy abundance
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Friedberg: Federal government will launch structured lending program for CRE sector
“My prediction is the federal government is going to help to monetize that debt, and they're going to help to support that commercial real estate sector through some sort of structured lending program.”
David Friedberg Jul 9, 2023 ▶ 44:34 E136: Hacking the pod, Threads launches, Fed minutes, immigration, balloon farce, heart health
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
David Friedberg predicts GPT-4 training costs will drop 100x within 18 months
“If they spent four hundred million dollars in the last couple of years, you could probably assume that doing the same trading exercise could be done for five to ten million dollars, 18 months from now, to generate the same model.”
David Friedberg Jun 16, 2023 ▶ 1:35:25 E133: Market melt-up, IPO update, AI startups overheat, Reddit revolts & more with Brad Gerstner
ALL-IN Insight
Friedberg: Open-source AI models risk rendering $500M startups worthless
“You're going to invest in a company at a five hundred million dollar valuation and six weeks later, it's going to be worth zero because someone open source the exact same thing that you can now do for a hundred K.”
David Friedberg Jun 10, 2023 ▶ 1:30:21 E132: SEC goes after crypto giants, Sequoia splits, LIV/PGA, Messi's deal + LIVE Q&A!
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg warns rising debt service will inevitably force a US default
“And when you do the arithmetic on all this, it's going to balloon the cost to service the debt and without some degree of cutting across the board spending and entitlement programs, discretionary spending and entitlement programs, you can't make the interest p…”
David Friedberg May 12, 2023 ▶ 25:06 E128: Google enters AI wars, Druck’s warning, Trump crushes CNN & more
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: 70-80% of late-stage startups are below their preference stack
“In the private market, you've got to assume that something in that late stage market is on the order of 70, 80% is worth less than their preference stack.”
David Friedberg Apr 21, 2023 ▶ 49:49 E125: SpaceX launch, Fox News settlement, "Zombie-corn" exodus to AI, late-stage implosion
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Software publishing and startups could fade as users generate tools via AI
“I really do believe that at some point, the whole concept of publishers and publishing maybe goes away. Where, you know, much like we saw so much of the content on the internet today being user generated, you know, most of the content is made by individuals po…”
David Friedberg Apr 14, 2023 ▶ 17:06 E124: AutoGPT's massive potential and risk, AI regulation, Bob Lee/SF update
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Regulating autonomous AI will require restricting the open internet
“The only way to ultimately do that degree of regulation and restriction is going to be to restrict the open internet. It is going to be to have monitoring and firewalls and safety protocols across the open internet, because you can have a set of models running…”
David Friedberg Apr 14, 2023 ▶ 49:47 E124: AutoGPT's massive potential and risk, AI regulation, Bob Lee/SF update
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2028
Friedberg predicts US will see 70% tax rates on wealthiest people
“I still think I still think we'll end up seeing 70% tax rates on the wealthiest people.”
David Friedberg Apr 7, 2023 ▶ 47:57 E123: Trump indictment, de-dollarization, should VCs back Chinese AI? RIP Bob Lee
ALL-IN Opinion
Friedberg: Regulatory constraints and IP rules cannot contain AI
“I don't think you can contain it. I don't think that this idea that we can put in place some regulatory constraints and say it's illegal to do this, Or, you know, try and, you know, create IP around it or protections around it is realistic at this state.”
David Friedberg Mar 31, 2023 ▶ 59:08 E122: Is AI the next great computing platform? ChatGPT vs. Google, containing AGI & RESTRICT Act
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: US dollar will not undergo hyperinflation or fall to zero
“So it's really hard to kind of just say, hey, it's going to be hyperinflationary, and the value is going to go to zero, it's just not going to happen.”
David Friedberg Mar 24, 2023 ▶ 29:24 E121: Macro update, Fed hike, CRE debt bubble, Balaji's Bitcoin bet, TikTok's endgame & more
ALL-IN Opinion
Friedberg: Many university tech transfer offices operate on cronyism with preferred VCs
“Some of them are terrible, like, and some of them are cronyism. So like you go to some of the universities and the tech transfer offices have deep relationships with certain VCs and investors. That they'll only work. And they always get first picks and first d…”
David Friedberg Mar 17, 2023 ▶ 1:20:50 E120: Banking crisis and the great VC reset
Friedberg: Plant-based meat companies function like luxury goods brands
“So what I've told people is that these businesses are like luxury goods brands. You know, you can buy a purse that carries your stuff, or you can buy a Louis Vuitton or Gucci purse and then feel good about carrying a Louis Vuitton or Gucci purse and be like, l…”
David Friedberg Feb 15, 2023 ▶ 42:19 David Friedberg — How Technology Solves Our Climate Crisis
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Breaking up Google's ad business will cause publishers to earn less
“And if you try and break this up, and if you actually do try and, you know, get into the weeds of this whole system and change it, the publishers ultimately will make less money.”
David Friedberg Jan 27, 2023 ▶ 11:06 E113: DOJ tries to break up Google, vaccine questions, Ukraine escalation & more
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Moderna vaccine myocarditis risk up to 30x higher in young people
“The incidence rate is still typically less than two out of every 100,000 people that get the vaccine. But as you saw in the paper you just shared and others have validated it can be as high as 30 times more likely to happen in young people that take the Modern…”
David Friedberg Jan 27, 2023 ▶ 45:59 E113: DOJ tries to break up Google, vaccine questions, Ukraine escalation & more
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: COVID lockdowns yielded zero benefits while accumulating trillions in costs
“Ultimately, the benefit was zero, because we ended up accumulating, call it 10 trillion dollars of, you know, four trillion dollars of net costs that we have to pay off at some point, not to mention the economic consequences of the lockdowns. And, ah, you know…”
David Friedberg Jan 27, 2023 ▶ 59:26 E113: DOJ tries to break up Google, vaccine questions, Ukraine escalation & more
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg predicts the US dollar will lose its global reserve currency status
“It could be that the US dollar coming out of 2023 starts to trade more like a risk asset and less like a risk free asset. And so I think that that's my big contrarian bet is that maybe this year marks the beginning of the end of the US dollar as the kind of gl…”
David Friedberg Jan 6, 2023 ▶ 59:02 E110: 2023 Bestie Predictions!
ALL-IN Opinion
Friedberg: Elon Musk Suffered Major Reputational Damage From Buying Twitter
“I think his reputation has gotten really hurt because of, you know, that role. He's not making a lot of friends, and he's not, he's causing a lot of reputational damage.”
David Friedberg Dec 24, 2022 ▶ 2:11:15 E109: 2022 Bestie Awards Live from Twitter HQ
ALL-IN Opinion
Friedberg: Musk suspending jet-tracking account shows deep hypocrisy
“I think it was a bad decision, and I think that it represented on the least generous statement would be that it represents deep hypocrisy in that not just a few weeks ago did he say he would never delete that account, but he also said he was buying Twitter to …”
David Friedberg Dec 16, 2022 ▶ 2:43 E108: Doxing debate, Nuclear fusion breakthrough, state of the markets & more
ALL-IN Opinion
Friedberg: Google could cut 75% of its headcount and keep operating
“I had said that there could probably be a significant headcount reduction of like, 75% at Google, and the business could keep operating.”
David Friedberg Dec 16, 2022 ▶ 47:54 E108: Doxing debate, Nuclear fusion breakthrough, state of the markets & more
ALL-IN Insight
Friedberg: Crypto businesses lack fundamental drivers and depend solely on belief
“The crypto ecosystem and the model that so many kind of crypto businesses have engaged in over the years, which is if you can fester the belief, then there is a business. If you cannot fester the belief, there is no business that there isn't a fundamental prod…”
David Friedberg Dec 10, 2022 ▶ 1:04:37 E107: The Twitter Files Parts 1-2: shadow banning, story suppression, interference & more
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: 2020 Georgia Senate runoff cost the US $10 trillion
“I think the Georgia Senate runoff race that we had. In the 20 20 election cost the US 10 trillion dollars.”
David Friedberg Nov 12, 2022 ▶ 13:54 E104: FTX collapse with Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong + election results, macro update & more
ALL-IN Opinion
Friedberg: Elon Musk's Twitter cuts set a new standard for tech layoffs
“This is what I think the Elon action this week really sets a standard. He shows the entirety of Silicon Valley that you can cut deep and you can turn a profit and you can do it fast. And it could set a new standard for how folks are managing this.”
David Friedberg Nov 5, 2022 ▶ 46:44 E103: Tech layoffs surge, big tech freezes hiring, optimizing for profits, election preview & more
ALL-IN Opinion
Friedberg: Zuckerberg should buy Epic Games for $50B instead of building metaverse
“If Zuck was a smart guy, he would go to Tencent and cut him a check and buy the whole thing for fifty billion and, you know, buy those guys.”
David Friedberg Oct 29, 2022 ▶ 44:23 E102: Elon closes Twitter deal, $META uncertainty, Zuck's historic bet, big tech decline & more
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2042
Friedberg: US federal tax rates on the wealthiest will exceed 60%
“I don't see a world where we don't have over 60% tax rates on the wealthiest people in this country at a federal level.”
David Friedberg Oct 22, 2022 ▶ 1:26:10 E101: Ye acquires Parler, Snap drops 30%, macro outlook, VC metrics, valuing stocks & more
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Tens or hundreds of millions will starve due to supply crisis
“There's some number of people, some number of tens of millions, maybe hundreds of millions of people who are going to starve between here and there that otherwise weren't going to be starving.”
David Friedberg Sep 17, 2022 ▶ 1:21:02 E96: Adobe acquires Figma for $20B, TPB SPAC, FedEx CEO's recession warning, macro picture & more
ALL-IN Prediction Partly held up
Friedberg predicts lack of energy resolution will trigger European civil unrest
“If there isn't a resolution in the next few weeks, there will be civil unrest. There will be a really cataclysmic concerning economic effect.”
David Friedberg Sep 10, 2022 ▶ 34:41 E95: Winter is Coming, Europe's energy crisis, Kim Kardashian's new PE firm & more
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2027
Friedberg predicts peace deal trading Ukrainian territory for Russian gas
“And so my guess is huge amount of money from the West and EU going into Ukraine. Ukraine agrees to let Putin keep some regions, some assets, Putin agrees to remove himself from certain regions and give up certain assets. Sanctions are partially lifted, but the…”
David Friedberg Sep 10, 2022 ▶ 35:25 E95: Winter is Coming, Europe's energy crisis, Kim Kardashian's new PE firm & more
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg predicts all traditional consumer brands will die within 30 years
“In the next 30 years or so, all traditional brands are gonna die.”
David Friedberg Sep 10, 2022 ▶ 54:03 E95: Winter is Coming, Europe's energy crisis, Kim Kardashian's new PE firm & more
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Content creation will replace all traditional advertising and marketing
“In the future, all advertising and marketing gets replaced by content creation and content creation direct to consumers through the social media platforms becomes the mechanism by which people are aware of and buy goods and services.”
David Friedberg Sep 10, 2022 ▶ 56:06 E95: Winter is Coming, Europe's energy crisis, Kim Kardashian's new PE firm & more
ALL-IN Insight
Friedberg: Probiotics fail because single strains cannot survive the gut
“And this is why probiotics do not work. Probiotics are single microbes, single bacterial strains or fungal strains that we put into a pill, and we swallow it. And just because that microbe happens to have some beneficial effect, you know, on its own in a petri…”
David Friedberg Aug 26, 2022 ▶ 1:15:56 E93: Twitter whistleblower, cloud security vulnerabilities, student debt forgiveness & more
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Market evolution will resolve all major drivers of climate change
“It is a matter of time and a matter of natural evolution that we will resolve all of the factors that are driving climate change from animal agriculture to transportation systems to energy systems.”
David Friedberg Jul 29, 2022 ▶ 49:01 E89: GDP growth negative in Q2, $SHOP layoffs, Alzheimer's fraud, Ginkgo acquires Zymergen & more
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Dutch government fired shots at protesting farmers
“The government started shooting at them. They got shot.”
David Friedberg Jul 8, 2022 ▶ 49:35 E86: Macro outlook: jobs, housing, inflation + Dutch farmers protests & EU climate missteps
ALL-IN Opinion
Friedberg: TED content declined after being overtaken by social justice talks
“I stopped going to TED, because I thought the content went to shit, and it basically got overtaken with, like, social justice talks”
David Friedberg Jun 7, 2022 ▶ 49:13 #AIS: Bestie AMA with Valor's Antonio Gracias
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Cutting federal student loans would reduce college tuition costs
“If we actually saw the federal loan program cut back or put these standards in place, the cost of tuition would actually decline and profiteering would decline.”
David Friedberg Apr 30, 2022 ▶ 53:49 E78: VC fund metrics that matter, private market update, recession, student loans, Bill Hwang arrest
ALL-IN Opinion
Friedberg: Most venture capitalists add negative value to startups
“There are most VCs, as Vinod has said publicly, add negative value. And I totally agree with him on this. Because they, many VCs, particularly the ones who aren't, you know, valuable and don't really have much to add, try to add stuff, try to say stuff, and th…”
David Friedberg Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 31:55 E75: Fast shuts down, board culpability, Elon buys 9% of Twitter, deplatforming's evolution & more
ALL-IN Opinion
Friedberg: Carbon markets and sequestration mechanisms are absolute BS
“These carbon markets are absolute BS. Carbon sequestration mechanisms are absolute BS. I mean, none of this stuff is real right now.”
David Friedberg Apr 1, 2022 ▶ 1:03:23 E74: Market update, inverted yield curve, immigration, new SPAC rules, $FB smears TikTok and more
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Late-stage VCs reinvest in existing portfolio to delay write-downs
“A lot of VCs, as you know, have marked up their investments and marked up their books of Private companies significantly over the last couple of years with these later stage rounds and ballooning values, and they don't want to take a write down. So they're mor…”
David Friedberg Mar 14, 2022 ▶ 6:46 20VC: David Friedberg on The Framework for Business Value Creation, The Bifurcation in Venture Today That No One Talks About, The Impact of Interest Rate Hikes on Venture and Step by Step; How TPB Incubates, Funds and Exits The Next Generation of Companie
20VC Opinion
Friedberg: Traditional VC fee structures align incentives around AUM over returns
“I wasn't the biggest fan of when I invested my money in venture capital firms, all the fees that they took. And I thought that it, like, created a significant misalignment of incentives that VCs are incentivized effectively to raise more capital and make more …”
David Friedberg Mar 14, 2022 ▶ 14:47 20VC: David Friedberg on The Framework for Business Value Creation, The Bifurcation in Venture Today That No One Talks About, The Impact of Interest Rate Hikes on Venture and Step by Step; How TPB Incubates, Funds and Exits The Next Generation of Companie
ALL-IN Opinion
Friedberg: Outside forces cannot defeat Russia due to its nuclear arsenal
“Any sort of assumption that leads to our belief that an alternative intervention or some other force can ultimately win against Russia is, is completely false because Russia has thousands of nuclear warheads.”
David Friedberg Mar 5, 2022 ▶ 54:34 E71: Russia/Ukraine deep dive: escalation, risk factors, financial fallout, exit ramps and more
ALL-IN Insight
Friedberg argues board-seat VCs more often than not add negative value
“The problem is VCs, they join a board, and they think that they have to quote add value. So they come in and they make a bunch of suggestions and recommendations and push you to do a bunch of things. And as Vinod has said correctly many times, they more often …”
David Friedberg Feb 19, 2022 ▶ 51:42 E68: Trudeau invokes emergency powers, Bitcoin vs. government, Tiger Global's new strategy and more
ALL-IN Insight
Friedberg: Internet platforms are de facto publishers, not neutral access tools
“And in all these cases, from Google, to YouTube, to Twitter, and now to Spotify, the idea of being just an access, a platform for access is proving to be wrong. All of them are de facto publishers.”
David Friedberg Feb 5, 2022 ▶ 1:12:35 E66: $FB's big drop, Rogan/Spotify mess, Xi/Putin meetup & supply chain issues with Ryan Petersen
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Xi-Putin summit marks beginning of end for US global dominance
“This is the beginning of the end of U.S. Cultural and economic influence globally, or dominance, rather, influence globally”
David Friedberg Feb 5, 2022 ▶ 1:31:18 E66: $FB's big drop, Rogan/Spotify mess, Xi/Putin meetup & supply chain issues with Ryan Petersen
ALL-IN Opinion
Friedberg: 20 companies on top startup lists are total scams
“As you go down that list, This, 20 companies are total scam companies. They're fraud. They're not going to work. They're grifters.”
David Friedberg Jan 8, 2022 ▶ 9:08 E62: Elizabeth Holmes verdict, fraud origins & takeaways, navigating "The Great Markdown" & more
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
David Friedberg predicts Vladimir Putin will strengthen his geopolitical position against NATO
“And I think Putin will become a stronger player on the global stage, particularly as it relates to his relationship with NATO. Over the next year and he's been a little bit quiet the last few years. He was kind of, I'd say, suppressed with sanctions and all th…”
David Friedberg Dec 29, 2021 ▶ 8:25 E61: 2022 Predictions! Business, politics, science, tech, crypto, & more
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
David Friedberg predicts 90% of crypto projects will collapse in 2022
“I'd say 90% of them are probably going to start to blow up next year.”
David Friedberg Dec 29, 2021 ▶ 27:01 E61: 2022 Predictions! Business, politics, science, tech, crypto, & more
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