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SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: SaaS metrics cannot be calculated from nature-based P&Ls
“They produce a nature-based PNL, not a function-based PNL, and you can't do SAS metrics off a nature-based PNL.”
Dave Kellogg Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 26:59 15 Signs You Have A SaaS Metrics Problem (and How to Fix it) with Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Standardized reporting templates build trust by preventing data cherry-picking
“Templates build trust. Why? Because there's no cherry picking, and the most common form of misleading is cherry picking.”
Dave Kellogg Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 28:05 15 Signs You Have A SaaS Metrics Problem (and How to Fix it) with Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Startups should aim to raise capital every two years
“If you step back and take a more kind of macro view on it, you should try to raise money about every two years.”
Dave Kellogg Sep 3, 2023 ▶ 2:37 "The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With Dave Kellogg, ex-CEO Host Analytics": SaaStr Classic
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Divide competitor funding rounds by 8 to 10 to estimate burn
“You know, one interesting thing about this phenomenon is you can often take the size of somebody's round and divide it by eight to 10 and get a pretty good approximation of their burn rate.”
Dave Kellogg Sep 3, 2023 ▶ 3:40 "The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With Dave Kellogg, ex-CEO Host Analytics": SaaStr Classic
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Large Horizontal Categories Inevitably Face Massive VC Spending Arms Races
“The perverse thing about this is, the better your category, the more likely that is to happen. If you're selling some very Focused vertical SaaS app, you're unlikely to find a spending arms race, right? But if you're in some horizontal platform category, peopl…”
Dave Kellogg Sep 3, 2023 ▶ 6:10 "The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With Dave Kellogg, ex-CEO Host Analytics": SaaStr Classic
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: A CEO's Reluctance to Meet Direct Reports Signals Serious Problems
“That's how you lose interest in meeting with a direct report, and I view the non-desire to meet with one as a huge warning sign that you should inspect.”
Dave Kellogg Sep 3, 2023 ▶ 9:26 "The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With Dave Kellogg, ex-CEO Host Analytics": SaaStr Classic
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Idle VC board members will pattern-match startup CEOs to death
“And one of the things VCs do is pattern match, and if you don't channel their energy, you are likely to be pattern matched to death.”
Dave Kellogg Sep 3, 2023 ▶ 13:08 "The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With Dave Kellogg, ex-CEO Host Analytics": SaaStr Classic
SAASTR Insight
Dave Kellogg: Board misalignment is the leading cause of CEO termination
“The number one cause of CEO death is misalignment with the board.”
Dave Kellogg Sep 3, 2023 ▶ 21:17 "The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With Dave Kellogg, ex-CEO Host Analytics": SaaStr Classic
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Process-Driven Hires Quickly Quit Startups Under $10M ARR
“And the people who got you from zero to 10 are almost by definition figure it outers, right? If a scale it upper joined your company at zero million dollars, they probably quit pretty quickly.”
Dave Kellogg Jul 20, 2022 ▶ 22:34 5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Diversification is an investor's job, not a startup's goal
“Investors get diversification by investing in 20 of you. You don't have to be diversified, right? Diversification is their problem, not your problem.”
Dave Kellogg Jul 20, 2022 ▶ 31:34 5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Mitigate tech debt with independent architects and periodic trust releases
“The way to avoid it is three things. One, Well, really two things. Hire and empower strong architects. Too few companies have an independent architect, not the VP of engineering, who keeps an eye on technical debt and the architecture. Critical role to have on…”
Dave Kellogg Jul 20, 2022 ▶ 34:37 5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Startups Expanding to the US Should Segment Vertically by Geography
“The U.S. Has geography and vertical industry, right, they're correlated. Like, if you're focused on pharma, you go to New Jersey, finance New York City, entertainment LA, and sometimes for a company, I actually recommend, even if you don't have to be verticall…”
Dave Kellogg Jul 20, 2022 ▶ 36:39 5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kellogg: Consulted for a startup that missed targets despite 100x pipeline coverage
“I literally did a consulting gig with a company that had 100 X pipeline coverage. Can you imagine? So their pipeline was a hundred times bigger, and they still missed their numbers. So, so think about that. And the answer is they don't have what I call pipelin…”
Dave Kellogg Jul 20, 2022 ▶ 42:18 5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Free Bundled Services Destroy SaaS Partner Ecosystems
“If I bundle in free services into my subscription, I suck the air out of the room for the partners, right? Who's going to want to work with me? Because you give it away for free.”
Dave Kellogg Jul 20, 2022 ▶ 48:05 5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: VCs targeting billion-dollar returns will block hundred-million-dollar sales
“You don't want to raise money from a VC who wants you to be a billion dollars, and you want to sell it a hundred million. I've had friends who wanted to sell it a hundred million. VCs wouldn't let them, right? Because they'll say, no, we're blocking the sale b…”
Dave Kellogg Jul 20, 2022 ▶ 50:57 5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Assertion Partly supported
Kellogg: Monday.com spends 5x more on sales and marketing than R&D
“Monday.com, the Work OS, aren't they kind of a PLG company, product-led growth? Doesn't the product kind of sell itself? Well, they spend five times as much on sales and marketing as they do in R&D.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 6, 2022 ▶ 2:34 A CEO's Guide to Marketing with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Unformed categories require value selling; established ones need differentiation
“If the category hasn't formed yet, you're probably in a why-buy-one mode. Hey, I know there's this thing you never heard of. Let me tell you why you should buy one. If there is a category, and there's five vendors in it, and there's a magic quadrant, you're pr…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 6, 2022 ▶ 10:14 A CEO's Guide to Marketing with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Technology pioneer references fail to persuade pragmatic enterprise buyers
“People want references who remind them of themselves. So, this is a large part of the whole Crossing the Chasm book, is you can't take a, you know, technology pioneer and reference them against a pragmatist. It doesn't work.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 6, 2022 ▶ 14:16 A CEO's Guide to Marketing with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Strategic alliances drive 10-30% of pipeline and close faster
“Alliances, which can easily account for 10 to 30% of your pipeline, usually that closes faster and with a higher rate”
Dave Kellogg Jan 6, 2022 ▶ 17:57 A CEO's Guide to Marketing with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: SaaS companies should conduct quarterly third-party win-loss analyses
“The way to solve that is two things. One, quarterly win-loss analysis at your QBR, right, hire a third-party firm, To analyze wins and losses, to bring reality back into the room, and second, this is done far less often, but I think even more important, a win-…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 6, 2022 ▶ 22:13 A CEO's Guide to Marketing with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Tech messaging requires adding 'how different' to the 5Ws and 2Hs
“They teach journalists in journalism school that for any story it's about five W plus two H, right? Who, what, where, when, why are the five W's? How and how much are the two H's? I add a Third H for how different, because in tech, differentiation matters so m…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 6, 2022 ▶ 23:07 A CEO's Guide to Marketing with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Product messaging should be black-and-white on offense, gray on defense
“And I like messaging to be black and white, particularly when we're on offense, we want to be black and white. Only we have this. When we're on defense, we want gray. Right? Well, you have consolidation. Well, they have consolidation. You don't. Well, actually…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 6, 2022 ▶ 24:07 A CEO's Guide to Marketing with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Use multi-level ternary trees to structure complex, memorable messaging
“So this is the key to building simple, memorable messaging. I still, I launched Business Objects version six in 1996. I still remember the messaging. P-D-E. Why? Because it's in a ternary tree, right? So I firmly, firmly recommend using ternary trees to struct…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 6, 2022 ▶ 26:26 A CEO's Guide to Marketing with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Assertion Partly supported
Kellogg: Chief Marketing Officers typically last 1.5 to 2.5 years
“CMOs last one and a half, two, two and a half years. You're gonna be hiring one soon, whether you just hired one or not.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 6, 2022 ▶ 26:46 A CEO's Guide to Marketing with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Net dollar retention measures customer base health better than churn
“Net dollar retention, which I think is actually a more effective way to get at what churn is trying to measure.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 0:30 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Ending ARR and growth rate suffice for rough SaaS valuation
“In fact, if you only had two numbers to give you the value of a SAS company, it would be ending ARR and growth rate. I could then tell you roughly what that company is worth kind of a first order valuation.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 13:22 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Expansion ARR should represent 20% to 40% of new ARR
“To me when it's less than 20%, maybe you're not exploiting your expansion opportunity much, as much as you should be. When it's over 40% maybe you're not getting as much new logo as you should be, right? So, so I personally like it running in the twenties and …”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 13:51 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kellogg: SaaS CAC ratio averages 1.3; over 3.0 becomes uninvestable
“So I like the CAC ratio very important SAS metric, you know, typically runs around 1.3, you know, below 1.3 is getting to be quite good. Below one is really good. Best I've ever seen was .4. Anything between 1.5 and two people start to scratch their eyebrows a…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 16:00 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Operators prefer unbundled metrics over CAC payback to isolate issues
“VCs in general kind of like all-in-one metrics because they're trying to make an investment decision. I always feel like operators don't love these metrics as much because if it's too high, I don't know which side of it is broken, right? If my CAC payback peri…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 18:40 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kellogg: PE firms recalculate all SaaS metrics from raw data
“In the VC side, frankly, I don't see as much recalculation, but when you meet PE people, they will literally take all your financials and just recalculate everything. You know, you're going to say your churn is, you know, only 10%. They're like, well, we'll fi…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 19:37 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Assertion Supported
Kellogg: ASC 606 flattens price ramping into straight-line GAAP revenue
“It will drive on an ARR basis, epic net dollar retention, but on a revenue basis, ASC. So six will flatten it out. It will see right through this trick and you will just end up with a 120 K per year in gap revenue.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 46:41 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kellogg: Private SaaS companies will start tracking Remaining Performance Obligations
“I think the next metric we're going to see private companies start to look at is now kind of second billing in public companies, RPO remaining performance obligation.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 47:16 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: A Good SaaS Net Dollar Retention Rate Is Around 115%
“A good rate is around a 115%.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 48:46 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Employees who excel at one startup phase may fail in the next
“Some people are good at different phases of the company. That, that's a reality we must deal with, and just because someone was a right member of the team last year, doesn't mean they're a right member of the team next year.”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 3:06 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Asking a board what to do next quarter gets a CEO fired
“First, you're working for a committee, not a person, and second, if you ever went to that committee going, gosh, I wonder what we should do next quarter, right? They would look at you and say, I think you should help us find a new CEO, right? Because you're su…”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 3:54 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Dave Kellogg: CEOs must separate company vision from operating strategy
“We need to separate kind of vision, which is kind of an end state goal for the company, from strategy, which is kind of a systematic path to get there.”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 4:54 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Choosing top-tier venture firms over unknown equivalents eases future fundraising
“All other things being equal in a financing round, you can have somebody who's very nice and very smart from a no-name firm, or somebody who is equivalent from a big-name firm, your future fundraising will be much easier if you pick the second person.”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 7:26 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Startups should aim to raise venture funding approximately every two years
“If you step back and take a more kind of macro view on it, you should try to raise money about every two years.”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 7:50 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Divide a startup's funding round by 8 to 10 to calculate burn
“One interesting thing about this phenomenon is you can often take the size of somebody's round and divide it by eight to 10 and get a pretty good approximation of their burn rate.”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 8:53 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
A CEO dreading a one-on-one meeting is a major executive warning sign
“That's how you lose interest in meeting with a direct report, and I view the non-desire to meet with one as a huge warning sign that you should expect.”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 14:39 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
CEOs must quickly eliminate executive team infighting and warring princes
“And if you're CEO of the company, you cannot allow warring princes in your company. Everybody sees it. The whole company knows if two E staffers are at war.”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 14:58 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Startup boards expect CEOs to hire executives more experienced than themselves
“What the board wants is for you to be a little bit uncomfortable with your team. The board wants you to be challenged by your team, right? The board wants you to hire people, quote unquote, better than you, or more experienced than you. Why? Because by and lar…”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 16:39 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Financially focused VC board members care exclusively about numbers and people
“The more financial, i.e. Less operational they are, the more they care about two things, numbers and people.”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 18:33 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Sending startup board slides under 24 hours in advance looks terrible
“If you're getting the board slides out 24 hours or less before the board meeting, you're not looking good, almost regardless.”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 19:27 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Board misalignment is the primary cause of startup CEO firings
“The number one cause of CEO death is misalignment with the board.”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 26:29 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
EPM software seat counts depend on centralization philosophy, not company size
“Corporate finance departments don't actually scale that much with the size of a company, and the number of users of our kind of software actually varies much more with the corporation's centralization philosophy. So some big companies are super centralized, an…”
Dave Kellogg Sep 10, 2017 ▶ 4:29 778: SaaS: With $80M Raised, He Left Salesforce to Bring Finance Departments to The Cloud
Startups can hit $1M ARR with bad ideas, but rarely $10M
“You can get to one million with a bad idea. It's hard to get to 10 with a bad idea, right? So, so it's kind of a rite of passage to say there's a lot of risks taken out of it. If you can, you know, get to order a magnitude ten million in ARR there's a lot of r…”
Dave Kellogg Sep 10, 2017 ▶ 10:36 778: SaaS: With $80M Raised, He Left Salesforce to Bring Finance Departments to The Cloud
TOP FOUNDERS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Host Analytics won CFO deals using 75-cent 'I heart EBITDA' stickers
“And we've won business literally for the cost of a 75 cent sticker. I met a CFO of a public company in a restaurant. One of my guys met a CFO of a public company in a bar. People just come up and start talking to you and wow, 75 cents.”
Dave Kellogg Sep 10, 2017 ▶ 12:44 778: SaaS: With $80M Raised, He Left Salesforce to Bring Finance Departments to The Cloud
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