The Ledger, every show

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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STARTUP IDEAS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Urban: Humanity will likely solve the Fermi Paradox within fifty years
“It seems like it's something I suspect that we're going to get an answer to in the next, like, 50 years. Like, I think we're at the end of our, I think this is the, this is one of the last, not last, it's one of like the, it's the, it's one of the big question…”
Tim Urban May 12, 2022 ▶ 53:49 Are We Alone In The Universe? (with Tim Urban)
Urban: Convincing Smart People to Solve Big Problems Maximizes Impact
“If I can convince really smart people to turn their attention or their money or their time towards important things I think that that's about as big an impact as I could have as a human, because me going into it myself, that's one person.”
Tim Urban Jan 3, 2018 ▶ 2:30 Tim Urban of Wait But Why · Y Combinator
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Urban: Airplane technology has stagnated for 40 years
“So we basically haven't progressed in like 40 years with airplanes really.”
Tim Urban Feb 14, 2025 ▶ 53:14 How AI Might Solve the Alien Mystery: Thought Leader's Paradox · Joe Lonsdale
20VC Disclosure
Urban: Wait But Why speaking revenue can exceed Patreon and merch
“Patreon, trying to, it's hard to remember the exact percentages, but like, Patreon, you know, is bigger than merch, partially because we just haven't made that much new merch recently but there's always, you know, there's always patrons, new patrons and speaki…”
Tim Urban Aug 14, 2023 ▶ 9:08 Tim Urban: How "Wait But Why" Grew to 600k Readers; AI's Revolutionary Impact on Media | E1048 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Didn’t hold up
Tim Urban plans to launch a new podcast in 2023
“I am starting a podcast later you know, this year probably”
Tim Urban Aug 14, 2023 ▶ 12:13 Tim Urban: How "Wait But Why" Grew to 600k Readers; AI's Revolutionary Impact on Media | E1048 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Urban: Wait But Why's SpaceX post inspired readers to join the company
“That post, like, inspired some young people to go work at SpaceX and work in that industry, so I'm very happy about that”
Tim Urban Aug 14, 2023 ▶ 56:52 Tim Urban: How "Wait But Why" Grew to 600k Readers; AI's Revolutionary Impact on Media | E1048 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Disclosure
Urban sold his Tesla stock at $700 before the split
“I sold Tesla at like when it was at 700 before split. So it was like one, I don't know, eighth or 10th of what it is now. I made a couple of good ones along the way, but it's like just soul crushing.”
Tim Urban Aug 14, 2023 ▶ 1:10:42 Tim Urban: How "Wait But Why" Grew to 600k Readers; AI's Revolutionary Impact on Media | E1048 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Urban: Twitter is flawed but excels at making high-quality connections
“Twitter sucks in a hundred ways, but like the, it's like really like fantastically great for like three or four really important things.”
Tim Urban May 12, 2022 ▶ 0:57 Are We Alone In The Universe? (with Tim Urban)
Urban: Low stakes and zero perfectionism unlock productive creative output
“I was doing a creative pursuit that I wasn't being perfectionist about, because I didn't pride myself on being good at it, and I didn't, I wasn't trying to do anything big with it, and so that's often how you end up in a really kind of loose, carefree creative…”
Tim Urban May 12, 2022 ▶ 31:55 Are We Alone In The Universe? (with Tim Urban)
Urban: The Public Unfairly Reduces the Entire Tech Sector to Facebook
“People are pushing tech away, like in big quotes, because they think of tech as like just Facebook. But in reality, it's so, so, so much more.”
Tim Urban Jan 3, 2018 ▶ 7:12 Tim Urban of Wait But Why · Y Combinator
Urban: Bostrom's 'Superintelligence' Provides a Sufficient Foundational Base for AI
“One good book, like super intelligence in the case of AI, can give you a really, really great foundation right there, and then you can just kind of tack on information to that foundation or poke holes in that foundation, and then you end up with a solid unders…”
Tim Urban Jan 3, 2018 ▶ 29:41 Tim Urban of Wait But Why · Y Combinator
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Urban: Self-imposed deadlines drive output of 2,000 to 3,000 words daily
“If I have a deadline I've imposed on myself, and I say, this post is going to be up Friday, then I can, like, probably write two or 3000 words a day, Thursday and Friday, and get it up, you know.”
Tim Urban Aug 14, 2023 ▶ 37:16 Tim Urban: How "Wait But Why" Grew to 600k Readers; AI's Revolutionary Impact on Media | E1048 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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