People, every show

Matt Miller

Managing Partner & Founder, Grey Rock Investment Partners. On 2 shows, 2 appearances. The Shows tab opens the full record on each.

investorfounderexecutive

Miller co-founded Dallas-based Grey Rock Investment Partners in 2013, leading investments across natural resources, energy transition infrastructure, and carbon capture. In 2022, he helped take Grey Rock’s non-operated oil and gas platform public as Granite Ridge Resources.

2shows
2appearances
44statements
14resolved
9supported
3contradicted
64%fully supported
10said about them ↓

Everything Matt Miller said on any show that made the record, most notable first. Each card names its show and opens the statement there.

SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Miller: Top-quartile late-stage venture returns will soon match early-stage returns
“The returns in the private market at the late stage are actually going to start matching the returns at the early stage. If you look at top quartile performance of early stage funds versus late stage funds, I think they're going to be pretty close to each othe…”
Matt Miller Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 16:36 Accel: The Quiet Firm Behind Facebook, Cursor, Nebius, Lovable, Vercel · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Miller: Overcapitalized renewables will likely destroy multiples of shale capital losses
“I see renewables as just a massively overcapitalized space. It will likely torch capital on multiples of what happened to shale.”
Matt Miller Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 21:57 Matt Miller – Crossing the Energy Divide at Grey Rock (EP.412)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Miller: 100% battery backup for Germany's grid would cost $270T
“And the back of the envelope math says, well, in order for Germany to be a hundred percent renewables plus a hundred percent battery, the battery piece of that equation was 270 trillion dollars.”
Matt Miller Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 29:20 Matt Miller – Crossing the Energy Divide at Grey Rock (EP.412)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Miller: Coal-to-gas shift delivers 2.5x the environmental benefit of gas-to-renewables
“And when you look at the delta between, if I move from a coal plant to a natural gas plant, and a natural gas plant to a renewables plant, That first step has 2.5 times the environmental impact.”
Matt Miller Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 49:58 Matt Miller – Crossing the Energy Divide at Grey Rock (EP.412)
SOURCERY Disclosure
Miller: Accel moved slowly on AI apps due to foundation model risks
“We were admittedly slower than our peers on the application layer for AI because we were very worried about how fickle they were when the wakes of the models were getting wider and wider, and we spent a lot of time in infrastructure, and we're continuing to sp…”
Matt Miller Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 34:20 Accel: The Quiet Firm Behind Facebook, Cursor, Nebius, Lovable, Vercel · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Prediction Held up
Miller: Monthly AI token spend will go well above $500M
“I'm very bullish that we're going to go well above that.”
Matt Miller Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 44:30 Accel: The Quiet Firm Behind Facebook, Cursor, Nebius, Lovable, Vercel · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Miller: U.S. Shale Will Deplete, Forcing Reliance on Unstable Oil Regimes
“One is I think oil's off to the races. And I do say this to CIOs with a, Hey, think with your inflation hat on this thing is the input to almost every product and humanity. And the reason why is largely the world has lulled itself into a soft slumber on the ba…”
Matt Miller Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 25:02 Matt Miller – Crossing the Energy Divide at Grey Rock (EP.412)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Contradicted
Miller: 80% of Republicans Under 35 Prioritize Climate as Top-Five Policy Issue
“Currently, Republicans under the age of 35, 80% of them say climate should be in our top five list of policy issues.”
Matt Miller Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 26:36 Matt Miller – Crossing the Energy Divide at Grey Rock (EP.412)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Miller: Carbon Will Rival Oil and Gas in Commodity Scope and Scale
“Carbon will be a commodity that rivals oil and gas in scope and scale, and you need to be ready for that.”
Matt Miller Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 26:52 Matt Miller – Crossing the Energy Divide at Grey Rock (EP.412)
Miller: Point-source CCS yields PE returns only in pure-CO2 industries
“Really where you want to focus in carbon capture are in industries that emit pure CO₂ as an industrial byproduct. Industrial accident is a better way to think about it. So those are really ethanol plants, ammonia, so fertilizer, and then natural gas processing…”
Matt Miller Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 31:17 Matt Miller – Crossing the Energy Divide at Grey Rock (EP.412)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2034
Miller: Carbon capture will reach coal and gas plants within a decade
“We are gonna get to coal plants and natural gas plants, a hundred percent certain in the next decade.”
Matt Miller Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 39:46 Matt Miller – Crossing the Energy Divide at Grey Rock (EP.412)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2029
Miller: SEC emissions reporting rules will eventually lead to carbon taxes
“When the government's asking you to measure something, I got news for you. That thing's going to be taxed. That thing is going to be taxed at some point in time, which is a whole different revenue source for the energy transition over time.”
Matt Miller Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 45:52 Matt Miller – Crossing the Energy Divide at Grey Rock (EP.412)
SOURCERY Opinion
Miller: VCs making founders' funding rounds about themselves is 'cringeworthy'
“I mean, we always, I think we always kind of looked at the social media posts about a founder raising around and a VC making about themselves as like pretty cringeworth. Like, don't throw your shoulder out patting yourself on the back type of situation.”
Matt Miller Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 11:31 Accel: The Quiet Firm Behind Facebook, Cursor, Nebius, Lovable, Vercel · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Miller predicts AI agents will exponentially increase compute demand for inference
“Agents start using inference in an exponential way. The demand curve goes way up for what we, what we're going to need from an inference perspective.”
Matt Miller Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 24:28 Accel: The Quiet Firm Behind Facebook, Cursor, Nebius, Lovable, Vercel · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Insight
Miller: Full-stack vertical integration creates an edge in delivering AI inference
“When you control capacity by owning the data centers and the GPUs, and you control the software, you're in an advantageous position to be able to meet the moment and deliver inference for a market that, you know, we fundamentally believe is going to grow expon…”
Matt Miller Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 24:37 Accel: The Quiet Firm Behind Facebook, Cursor, Nebius, Lovable, Vercel · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Miller: Complex financial engineering in deals leads to participant misalignment
“I don't like complicated financial engineering. I don't like inserting puts and calls and preferred equity and ring fencing debt securities because maybe I'm too dumb to understand it, but I think that it just ends up with misalignment and transactions where e…”
Matt Miller Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 14:42 Matt Miller – Crossing the Energy Divide at Grey Rock (EP.412)
Miller: The global shift is an emissions transition, not energy transition
“It's not really an energy transition. It's an emissions transition. The emissions is what we're trying to get at.”
Matt Miller Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 23:08 Matt Miller – Crossing the Energy Divide at Grey Rock (EP.412)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Miller: Western Oklahoma wholesale power prices are negative 20% of the time
“Power prices in western Oklahoma are -20% of the time today. They will pay you to take the power.”
Matt Miller Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 27:57 Matt Miller – Crossing the Energy Divide at Grey Rock (EP.412)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Miller: Good carbon capture projects yield 20–30% unlevered IRR and 3–6x returns
“A good project in carbon capture might be an unlevered 20 to 30% rate of return might be somewhere around three to six times your money. These are competitive with traditional private equity economics.”
Matt Miller Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 34:37 Matt Miller – Crossing the Energy Divide at Grey Rock (EP.412)
Miller: Renewables Disrupt Grid Reliability and Cause Intraday Price Volatility
“We think there's too much capital chasing renewables, and renewables are actually disrupting our grid system. They're causing intraday price volatility. They're causing electricity to be less reliable.”
Matt Miller Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 41:40 Matt Miller – Crossing the Energy Divide at Grey Rock (EP.412)
Miller: Too much energy transition capital is concentrated in mega-funds
“I'd argue vehemently there's too much money in the energy transition. It's just concentrated in the hands of very large funds who can't get out of bed without writing a billion dollar equity check.”
Matt Miller Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 45:09 Matt Miller – Crossing the Energy Divide at Grey Rock (EP.412)
Miller: Electric vehicles are not suitable for the average US consumer
“I think one that I'm bearish on is electric vehicles. There's several things about EVs that are, when you dive in, they're just not a good fit for your average customer.”
Matt Miller Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 47:56 Matt Miller – Crossing the Energy Divide at Grey Rock (EP.412)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Miller: Hybridization of everything will be the US vehicle solution
“I actually think the solution set for the U.S. Is going to be hybridization of everything.”
Matt Miller Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 48:13 Matt Miller – Crossing the Energy Divide at Grey Rock (EP.412)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Contradicted
Miller: 99.9% of global lithium reserves are in four countries
“99.9% of the world's lithium reserves are in the hands of just four countries, China, Chile, Argentina, Australia, none of which are the United States.”
Matt Miller Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 48:46 Matt Miller – Crossing the Energy Divide at Grey Rock (EP.412)

Show 20statements(20 left)

The other half of the tape: Matt Miller's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 8 times in 2 episodes across the shows. 2 statements on the record name them. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Sloan Payne 7Jason Fiedler 1

Statements about Matt Miller, by other people (2)

Payne: A dedicated culture officer becomes essential once headcount reaches 50
“You need a dedicated person building into the culture, reminding people of good relationship habits, helping people interact in ways that reduce friction, that encourage connection and collaboration, and that's Matt's job. It probably would have been useful at…”
Sloan Payne May 4, 2026 ▶ 35:29 Sloane Payne and Dave Joerger – Why Culture Matters (EP.500)
SOURCERY Disclosure
Clements: Accel's $150M PIPE investment in Nebius is up 13x in 16 months
“16 months ago, a hundred and fifty million dollar investment that I think is up 13 x today, and the world is now awakened to this company and how special it could potentially be.”
Miles Clements Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 27:18 Accel: The Quiet Firm Behind Facebook, Cursor, Nebius, Lovable, Vercel · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea

Every mention by year

tap a year for its mentions
004181202420252026episodesmentions
011202420252026episodes it came up in
0040.581202420252026episodesmentions per episode

Capital Allocators 7Sourcery 1

2026 7 mentions in 1 episode
2024 1 mention in 1 episode

One line per show, most statements first. The link opens Matt's full record on that show: the calibration, argument clarity, speaking style and every statement made there.

ShowRole thereEpsStatementsRecord
CAPITAL ALLOCATORSLEDGER Managing Partner & Founder, Grey Rock Investment Partners 1 33 62% 8/13 full record on Capital Allocators →
SOURCERYLEDGER Managing Partner & Founder, Grey Rock Investment Partners 1 11 100% 1/1 full record on Sourcery →
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