Everything Alex Clayton said on any show that made the record, most notable first. Each card names its show and opens the statement there.
Braze will win marketing automation over legacy giants Salesforce, Adobe, and Oracle
“Braze. It's an incredible team and product in the marketing automation space. They are helping company large brands figure out how to engage with their customers and giving them a single view of their business across channel. And that's something that Salesfor…”
Clayton: Annual SaaS IPO capacity is capped at 20 companies
“And only 20 SaaS companies per year can actually make it public. We don't think this number is going to go higher than this anytime soon.”
Clayton: Modern SaaS IPOs demand $400M ARR and 30% growth
“We think that you need to be at least four hundred million of ARR. You have to be growing at least 30% a year. You're probably going to be worth three to five billion dollars and trade anywhere from that eight to 12 X range.”
Clayton: SaaS companies cannot expect public valuations above 10x ARR today
“And regardless of private market valuation, at least in today's interest rate environment, companies cannot expect to be worth more than 10 times ARR.”
Clayton: Down-round IPOs do not matter long-term with durable growth
“And the down round IPO is actually irrelevant over the long term. You've seen companies like SPS Commerce that are up almost 20 X from when they went public because they grew durably over time.”
Capital is only a temporary competitive advantage in enterprise software
“It's certainly a competitive advantage, but I think it's only temporary. But it can still have big impacts on markets. So in the early days, for sure, but I think at some point, the rubber meets the road. These companies are going to have to go public. They're…”
Top growth-stage software companies do not need venture capital
“At the end of the day, the best companies in growth don't need the money, and so that makes it pretty tough”
Realistic SaaS payback periods are 15 to 18 months, not 12
“15 to 18 months for high growth businesses is what we like to see. Very rarely, everyone talks about 12, it's very hard to get it down to that level.”
The 'move fast and break things' philosophy fails in enterprise SaaS
“I think for SaaS companies, moving fast and breaking things, you can't break things for your customers. You don't get many opportunities. You've got to deliver a great customer experience from the onset.”
Clayton: Public SaaS companies beat and raise guidance 80% of the time
“Irrespective of all market conditions, 80% of the time, SaaS companies are beat, are beating current quarter guidance and raising the subsequent quarter guidance.”
Early-stage SaaS companies cannot hide fast growth from LinkedIn headcount tracking
“So if you're an early stage SaaS company, you can't really hide if you're growing fast. People can check your LinkedIn headcount, see how fast you're hiring on the website, what type of people.”
Founders should limit non-fundraising meetings to investors who add tangible value
“And I think for founders, they shouldn't always be raising, but they should only typically meet with investors if they're going to actually give them tangible business value, whether that's intros, customer intros, or prospect intros, recruiting.”
SaaS growth stalls at $10M to $30M ARR without sufficient market depth
“Companies can reach 10, 20, thirty million of ARR, but if the market depth isn't there, they can really slow down.”
Absence of competition indicates a B2B SaaS market isn't large or interesting
“I think at a very high level, if there's no competition, it's not really a large, interesting market. I don't think there's any free lunch in B to B or SAS anymore. Every large market, every large company is going to have competitors.”
ServiceNow grew to $43B market cap by launching new products annually
“They went public in 2012, one hundred sixty million dollar in run rate. It was a single product company. Fast forward to today, they have five plus products. They committed to launching one to new products every year and new products are 30% of new business. A…”
Growth investors should prioritize software that is critical to business continuity
“At the end of the day, it's like, is this product core to business continuity? So what does that mean? If you ask the customer or stakeholder, If you rip this thing out or if it shuts off, what's going to happen to their business? I think the best products are…”
Best-in-class SaaS companies need 75% of ramped reps hitting quota
“I think you want to have at least 75% of your ramp reps at a hundred percent of quota.”
Best-in-class $5M to $20M ARR SaaS grows 7.5% to 10% monthly
“Let's just say you're kind of between five and 15, 20 of ARR. I think you want to be growing seven and a half to 10% month over month. That would be best in class.”
High-growth SaaS companies should target 130% plus net dollar retention
“I think on a net expansion or net dollar retention, which is kind of the North Star number that we focus on, you want to be a 130% plus.”
Median 2018 SaaS IPO took 15 years and reached $200M ARR
“You had to be around about 15 years. You're about two hundred million plus in ARR, growing around 40%, have 75% gap gross margins, are losing money, have at least 120% net dollar expansion rate, sell a thirty-k product per year on average, Have about a thousan…”
Public cloud penetration is only 7% of the $600B enterprise IT market
“We're only about seven percent penetrated in what is a six hundred billion dollar plus enterprise IT market.”
Clayton: Top-quartile SaaS IPOs since 2018 averaged over $400M ARR and 60% growth
“A top four tile company since 2018 was over four hundred million of ARR, growing at almost 60%, worth about seven and a half billion dollars, and as you can see, had very strong metrics, and still took about 10 years for them to get there.”
Clayton: CrowdStrike sustained nearly 50% ARR CAGR post-IPO to $4B
“They've continued on a very high growth rate through 20 24 and have been growing at a 50%, almost a 50% ARR growth CAGR since going public in 2019, and they're approaching four billion dollars.”
Clayton: SPS Commerce grew at a 20% ARR CAGR for 15 years
“SPS Commerce went public in 2010 at around fifty million of ARR. And for 15 years, they've grown their ARR at a 20% CAGR.”