Polling

topic on 2 shows · 2 statements across 2 episodes

No Priors All-In

2 statements about Polling, every show

NO PRIORS Insight
Mansour: Prediction market odds move more than underlying polling shifts
“If Trump polls one percent higher than Kamala, or vice versa, prediction markets are more volatile. They're gonna move more than one percent, right? They're gonna give Trump a higher probability, or Kamala a higher probability based on the polling.”
Tarek Mansour Oct 31, 2024 ▶ 23:49 No Priors Ep. 88 | With Founder & CEO of Kalshi Tarek Mansour
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Kushner: Donald Trump's campaign operation overperformed its polling
“One thing with Trump, he won, you know, with his operation, we were able to overperform our polling.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 1:10:17 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI

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