polling

1 statements across 1 episodes · 0 bullish · 0 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Oct 31, 2024 by Tarek Mansour · across every show →

Everything said about polling, oldest first

Oct 31, 2024 neutral
Insight
Mansour: Prediction market odds move more than underlying polling shifts
“If Trump polls one percent higher than Kamala, or vice versa, prediction markets are more volatile. They're gonna move more than one percent, right? They're gonna give Trump a higher probability, or Kamala a higher probability based on the polling.”
Tarek Mansour Oct 31, 2024 ▶ 23:49 No Priors Ep. 88 | With Founder & CEO of Kalshi Tarek Mansour
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