Futures Market

topic on 3 shows · 5 statements across 5 episodes

No Priors the Paul Morris Podcast Capital Allocators

5 statements about Futures Market, every show

PAUL MORRIS Assertion Partly supported
Morris: Futures market prices 70% odds of a September Fed hike
“The futures market currently puts it at roughly a seven in 10 odds on a quarter point hike By September. Not a cut. A hike.”
Paul Mark Morris Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 5:42 You Can Secure Your Future—Here's How to Navigate the Fed's Uncertainty!
PAUL MORRIS Assertion Supported
Morris: Futures Market Priced One-in-Three Odds of Fed Rate Hike
“Last week, futures market put the odds at one in three of a quarter point hike.”
Paul Mark Morris Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 17:05 MARKET STANDOFF: Delayed Deals, Fed Uncertainty, and How to Make Money Anyway
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jain: Physical oil realizations exceed futures by ten to twenty dollars
“We talked to so many oil companies that our realizations are running 10 to 20 dollars, in a lot of cases, above what is trading in the futures market.”
Rajiv Jain Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 40:06 Contrarian Quality at GQG Partners – Rajiv Jain (EP.505)
NO PRIORS Insight
Mansour: Derivatives exist for risk transfer rather than capital allocation
“The futures market, the derivatives market is a bit different. It's not capital allocation. It's risk transfer. And I love that notion. I love that notion so much. It's like, it's even more neat. It's like you're transferring risk from people that like have it…”
Tarek Mansour Oct 31, 2024 ▶ 10:15 No Priors Ep. 88 | With Founder & CEO of Kalshi Tarek Mansour
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Braga: Post-2008 PCA on liquid futures reflects risk-on, risk-off moves
“So for example, since the financial crisis, if you pick up the securities, the generic macro securities, the hundred or 150 liquid futures markets, and if you do a bit of principal component analysis on them, the first principal component looks like a risk on,…”
Leda Braga Sep 9, 2021 ▶ 29:24 Leda Braga – Systematica Investments (Manager Meetings, EP.10)

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