Fed Funds

topic on 2 shows · 6 statements across 6 episodes

Capital Allocators All-In

6 statements about Fed Funds, every show

CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Multi-strategy SMAs let institutional allocators borrow at Fed funds plus 20bps
“The real unlock when you think of an overall plan like UTIMCO or SWIB, you're implicitly borrowing money at Fed funds plus like 20 basis points.”
Will England May 11, 2026 ▶ 13:30 Will England, Derek Drummond, and Tony Caruso – Disintermediating Pod Shops (EP.501)
ALL-IN Prediction Held up
Chamath predicts the Fed funds rate will reach or breach 5%
“I think you're going to see fed funds at or breaching five percent.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Sep 23, 2022 ▶ 27:53 E97: SPAC updates, public/private market overview, Putin's end game & more
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Chamath: U.S. CPI over 5% never dropped below 5% without Fed rate matching it
“We've never seen a moment in history, in American history, where when CPI has printed successively above five percent, that it got under five percent without fed funds getting to that same number.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Aug 5, 2022 ▶ 25:40 E90: Twitter subpoenas, market overview, Pelosi's Taiwan visit & more
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Chamath: Lowering CPI above 4.5% historically required Fed rate above 4.5%
“We've never in the history of America ever had CPI print above four and a half or five percent without inflation being brought down by having fed funds not also be greater than four and a half or five percent.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 29, 2022 ▶ 16:25 E89: GDP growth negative in Q2, $SHOP layoffs, Alzheimer's fraud, Ginkgo acquires Zymergen & more
Fitzpatrick: Soros leverages public equities at Fed funds plus 20 bps
“We can borrow against our public equities at Fed funds plus 20 basis points, lever up this safe but esoteric private credit, and it works really well.”
Dawn Fitzpatrick Nov 4, 2019 ▶ 35:39 Dawn Fitzpatrick – Multi-Faceted Investing at Soros Fund Management (Capital Allocators, EP.112)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Didn’t hold up
Federal Reserve Terminal Rate Will Hit at Least 300 Basis Points
“So Fed funds doesn't get to 525 basis points like it did in O six. It gets to something like, oh, let's say, 300, which I think would surprise some people if we got there, but that's where I think it's the minimum.”
James Aitken Jun 25, 2018 ▶ 1:10:15 James Aitken – Macro Strategist Extraordinaire (Capital Allocators, EP.58)

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