2024 Election

topic on 3 shows · 4 statements across 4 episodes

Cheeky Pint No Priors All-In

4 statements about 2024 Election, every show

Lopes Lara: 2024 election showed prediction markets outperform traditional polling
“The polls were completely wrong and the markets were so much better at bringing that sort of information, and I think that it's the shining example of why these markets are forced for good, and we need to have them in the US and regulated”
Luana Lopes Lara Mar 17, 2026 ▶ 13:05 Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara
ALL-IN What-if
Calacanis: Democrats likely would have won without high inflation and with a primary
“If inflation hadn't been As bad as it was they probably would have won if they had a primary. I believe that.”
Jason Calacanis Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 1:54:36 All-In Inauguration Day Livestream with the Besties from Washington, DC!
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis predicts the border crisis could cost Joe Biden the 2024 election
“I think this could cost him the election.”
Jason Calacanis Oct 7, 2023 ▶ 38:04 E148: McCarthy ousted, border chaos, Cruise's robotaxi "accident" & more
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gil: 2024 election will be the pivotal moment driving AI regulation
“The big pivot point for regulation may actually come during the 20, 24 election. Because I think that's the moment that people will show examples of AI being used to influence the election or influence voting behavior, just like ads influence voting behavior, …”
Elad Gil Apr 27, 2023 ▶ 8:51 No Priors Ep. 14 | With Sarah Guo and Elad Gil

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