The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 171 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 9 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Figma is shifting sales onboarding back to in-person, classroom-style training
“We're also moving to classroom style. In person. And, you know, in the COVID days, we kind of got away from that, but we're going back to classroom style. We're going back to in person.”
Sean Boscanian Mar 21, 2026 ▶ 42:28 This is why I don't believe in sales quotas | Figma CRO · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Demos test candidate perseverance while discovery reveals curiosity, says Boscanian
“And personally, I'm much more interested in how they do, frankly, on the discovery side of that, because I think, you know, it's probably a little bit unfair to expect someone to be doing this amazing demo of your product with just a few days of playing around…”
Sean Boscanian Mar 21, 2026 ▶ 31:09 This is why I don't believe in sales quotas | Figma CRO · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Figma shifted its SDR team to manage small transactional renewals
“Recently we made a new shift, and we said even that we're gonna kind of take the focus away from, and we're using them now in a more pointed way on existing customers and managing small you know, transactional renewals to get those off the plates of some of th…”
Sean Boscanian Mar 21, 2026 ▶ 15:12 This is why I don't believe in sales quotas | Figma CRO · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Figma's net dollar retention rate recently increased from 131% to 136%
“We added five points on our net retention, pretty significant when I think went from 131% to 136%.”
Sean Boscanian Mar 21, 2026 ▶ 11:54 This is why I don't believe in sales quotas | Figma CRO · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Figma reported $1.2B ARR and 40% YoY growth in Q4
“Figma came out with their Q four, 20, 25 earnings. They were very good. Accelerating growth at 1.2 billion in ARR, growing 40% year on year versus 38% year on year in Q three, so up there. Amazing retention of 10,000 dollar plus customers, 97% GRR, a 136% NDR.…”
Harry Stebbings Feb 26, 2026 ▶ 1:00:08 Citrini Research Breakdown: Agents, "Ghost GDP", Consumer Spend | Figma Earnings Beat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Figma trades at 10x forward sales with over 30% growth
“It's still a twelve billion dollar market cap company. It's still growing. Yeah, it's still trading at 10 times forward sales, growing at 30% plus.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 4:17 Elon Musk vs Sam Altman | The Implosion of Thinking Machines | Can VC Survive Public Pricing? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jason Lemkin: Figma's public valuation is 30-40% below Adobe's acquisition offer
“I think it's like 30 or 40% lower than Adobe deal adjusted for time dilution and risk, 30 to 40% lower.”
Jason Lemkin Nov 27, 2025 ▶ 1:20:28 Anthropic Raises $30B from Microsoft & NVIDIA & NVIDIA’s Core Business Faces TPU Threat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Randle: Mamoun Hamid's top wins combine B2B software with consumer engagement
“If you think about his huge, huge winners, whether it's Figma, Glean, Rippling, they all have like a common through line of the, you know, it's B to B software, but it's almost like consumer like software that, that demands really high user love and engagement…”
Everett Randle Nov 10, 2025 ▶ 9:48 Benchmark's GP, Everett Randle on Why Mega Funds Will Not Produce Good Returns · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Open · timeframe Oct 2026
O'Driscoll: Carta data shows 18% of 2018 Series Bs returned over 5x
“What it told people for listeners is they looked at all 547, 2018 series B investments, and then they did a histogram of where they come out in less than a one X, you know, one to a two X. Oh, that was series B. So 547, and then, you know, 20, 18% of them grea…”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 45:36 OpenAI Restructuring: Who Wins and Who Loses & Mercor Raises $350M at a $10BN Valuation · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
O'Driscoll: Netskope won't see a massive first-day IPO pop like Figma
“The answer, of course, is no, because I believe, as I said earlier, in reversion to the mean, and Figma had the largest bounce of any large cap IPO since, I think, 2000. So I sincerely doubt they'll copy that.”
Rory O'Driscoll Aug 28, 2025 ▶ 58:15 Anthropic's $10B Round, Klarna's IPO, Inside a16z's 72 Deal Seed Investment Machine ft. Marc Benioff · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Halligan: Zendesk never secured long-only investors due to shaky IPO timing
“Zendesk at the time went out. And it was just, it was timing, and it was just a shaky week that they went out, and they just didn't get, they didn't get the big long onlys, and they had a good story, and they didn't get them, and they never really got them. Th…”
Brian Halligan Aug 7, 2025 ▶ 17:07 Figma's 250% Pop - The Greatest IPO Mispricing Ever? Meta & Microsoft Blowout Quarters: Broken Down · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2028
Figma Will Likely Price Between $20B and $25B
“It's probably going to, we'll see where it prices, call it 20 to twenty five billion.”
Miles Dieffenbach Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 46:02 Miles Dieffenbach: Inside Carnegie Mellon’s $4BN Endowment & The Math Behind DPI, TVPI, Illiquidity · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Four VC firms will each return $1B from Figma
“The reality of four VC firms, each making a billion dollars, that'll focus the mind.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 31, 2025 ▶ 1:07:02 Why Apple Needs a Management Overhaul & Why Google is Catching Up with Hyperscalers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
O'Driscoll: Figma was uniquely positioned to execute a direct listing
“It's actually one of the few companies that could have done it, it's profitable, so it's not sitting there. I mean, one of the reasons you don't do a direct listing is either you need the capital, they don't, or you have this existential dread of screwing up y…”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 24, 2025 ▶ 43:02 How Do All Providers Deal with Anthropic Dependency Risk & Figma IPO Breakdown: Where Does it Price? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Figma reached Rule of 80 with 40%+ free cash flow margins
“And you didn't even mention one of the more impressive ones, which is kind of the profitability and free cash flow margins last quarter, like, 40% plus. So, upping positive, free cash flow positive, growing 46%. So, again, rough math on an iPhone on a small sc…”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 3, 2025 ▶ 1:31 Figma’s IPO: The Full Breakdown & Why Melio’s $2.5BN Acquisition is “Discouraging” · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
O'Driscoll: Figma will IPO soon rather than stay private
“My guess is it totally makes sense for them to get a great IPO under their belt. In a way that, and not do the strike thing of stay private for another three or four years.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jun 12, 2025 ▶ 11:48 Elon’s Empire: SpaceX, Tesla, Neuralink After the Storm & Anduril’s $2.6BN Power Move · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Mohan: Windsurf skips early Figma design stages when building apps
“Internally right now, when we build apps, we're not very, very quickly going to Figma at the very beginning if the app can be built Very fast inside.”
Varun Mohan Jun 2, 2025 ▶ 35:14 Windsurf CEO & Co-Founder, Varun Mohan: AI's Biggest Acquisition to Date! · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
What-if
Hacker: Duolingo would have rejected chess course without working AI prototype
“If it had just been a Figma design, we probably was like, ah, you know, ah, maybe, maybe not. But the prototype was. So good that it convinced everyone.”
Severin Hacker May 19, 2025 ▶ 41:28 Duolingo Co-Founder, Severin Hacker: How AI Impacts the Future of Work and Education · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Yamashita: Designers present idealized mocks in portfolios instead of production screenshots
“There's still a strong disconnect between what people design and what ends up in users hands. And for me, a thought experiment is next time a designer shares a portfolio with you, are they sharing the designs that were beautiful mocks? Are they sharing the des…”
Yuhki Yamashita May 16, 2025 ▶ 45:08 20Product: Figma CPO on How Figma Builds Products: What Works, What Does Not | How Figma Does Testing and Product Reviews | The Future of Design, Engineering and Product with Yuhki Yamashita
Insight
Yamashita: Polish core user paths first, skip perfecting speculative features
“If you're perfecting details for a critical part that it's going to help you understand how well this product is going to do in the market, then by all means. But if you're starting to kind of perfect these areas that are much more speculative or areas of the …”
Yuhki Yamashita May 16, 2025 ▶ 37:16 20Product: Figma CPO on How Figma Builds Products: What Works, What Does Not | How Figma Does Testing and Product Reviews | The Future of Design, Engineering and Product with Yuhki Yamashita
Insight
Yamashita: Tangible prototypes convince stakeholders far better than theoretical pitches
“Building something tangible that people can use convinces people more that this idea is tenable.”
Yuhki Yamashita May 16, 2025 ▶ 8:45 20Product: Figma CPO on How Figma Builds Products: What Works, What Does Not | How Figma Does Testing and Product Reviews | The Future of Design, Engineering and Product with Yuhki Yamashita
Disclosure
Yamashita: Figma's perfectionist culture requires pushing teams to ship
“For example, at Figma, we have a culture of everyone wants to get the details right, so sometimes we have to encourage people to be comfortable getting something shipped.”
Yuhki Yamashita May 16, 2025 ▶ 36:53 20Product: Figma CPO on How Figma Builds Products: What Works, What Does Not | How Figma Does Testing and Product Reviews | The Future of Design, Engineering and Product with Yuhki Yamashita
Disclosure
Yamashita: Figma's internal culture relies heavily on undocumented tribal knowledge
“It's still a very tribal knowledge. You know, you kind of have to know this random nuance here, which is why, you know, this backstory, which is why we can't do this. And sometimes that prohibits some of the new people from being able to get to a better soluti…”
Yuhki Yamashita May 16, 2025 ▶ 56:26 20Product: Figma CPO on How Figma Builds Products: What Works, What Does Not | How Figma Does Testing and Product Reviews | The Future of Design, Engineering and Product with Yuhki Yamashita
Assertion Supported
Yamashita: Figma tracks user reliance via ND7s, targeting 5 days weekly
“Our first product, Figma Design, has always set the bar for what it means to be a kind of tool that people are deeply, deeply reliant on. That's kind of the golden standard... We call it ND sevens, like how many days in a week? That people are using your produ…”
Yuhki Yamashita May 16, 2025 ▶ 37:53 20Product: Figma CPO on How Figma Builds Products: What Works, What Does Not | How Figma Does Testing and Product Reviews | The Future of Design, Engineering and Product with Yuhki Yamashita
Insight
Yamashita: Adding headcount does not solve product integration challenges
“It's not always the case that throwing more people or resources at a problem makes something go faster, and I say this because we just launched a bunch of new products, and perhaps the hardest problem still is how do we make them connect better, and making the…”
Yuhki Yamashita May 16, 2025 ▶ 48:10 20Product: Figma CPO on How Figma Builds Products: What Works, What Does Not | How Figma Does Testing and Product Reviews | The Future of Design, Engineering and Product with Yuhki Yamashita
Assertion Supported
Yamashita: Dylan Field mapped design Twitter graphs to recruit early users
“One of the first things he did was he took design Twitter, he visualized it as a graph, and then figured out which people designers are following the most, and then went to those designers to get feedback on Figma and get them excited about Figma. And that was…”
Yuhki Yamashita May 16, 2025 ▶ 38:47 20Product: Figma CPO on How Figma Builds Products: What Works, What Does Not | How Figma Does Testing and Product Reviews | The Future of Design, Engineering and Product with Yuhki Yamashita
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Yamashita: Users created 3.5M presentation decks in Figma before Slides launched
“Before our Slides product, three and a half million decks were being made in Figma design, even though it wasn't intended for it.”
Yuhki Yamashita May 16, 2025 ▶ 7:57 20Product: Figma CPO on How Figma Builds Products: What Works, What Does Not | How Figma Does Testing and Product Reviews | The Future of Design, Engineering and Product with Yuhki Yamashita
Insight
Yamashita: Software Tools Differ From Consumer Apps Due to Unpredictable Behavior
“Some of these are pretty sophisticated products, and the kind of interesting thing about building a tool is a tool is very different from, like, a typical consumer product where, you know, there's a funnel and you're trying to optimize the metric. Like, you're…”
Yuhki Yamashita May 16, 2025 ▶ 42:55 20Product: Figma CPO on How Figma Builds Products: What Works, What Does Not | How Figma Does Testing and Product Reviews | The Future of Design, Engineering and Product with Yuhki Yamashita
Insight
Goldberg: Great companies expand TAM by increasing product surface area
“I mean, if you look at, you know, I was very fortunate to see some amazing companies from index from the early days, whether it was a Figma, whether it was a whiz, whether it was a data dog companies that, you know, have been able to build TAM by just increasi…”
Mark Goldberg Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 44:57 Mark Goldberg: Why Politics is Rife & Decision-Making is Broken in Large VCs | E1219 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Hamid shares entry valuations for Slack, Figma, and Rippling
“Probably Slack, I would say, you know, even at the 250 post that's, you know, with all the dilution over time and, If you take the twenty-seven billion or some other number that's a, obviously, a good, great multiple. Figma, you know, the initial investment wa…”
Mamoon Hamid Oct 21, 2024 ▶ 30:24 Mamoon Hamid: AI - Where Value Accrues, Startups vs Incumbents & Scaling Laws | E1217 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hamid: Slack and Figma created entirely new software market categories
“Slack created a market. In some ways, Figma created a market. There wasn't a notion of collaborative design software.”
Mamoon Hamid Oct 21, 2024 ▶ 38:33 Mamoon Hamid: AI - Where Value Accrues, Startups vs Incumbents & Scaling Laws | E1217 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Hamid: Early Figma data showed designers using the product 15-18 days monthly
“You just saw that designers were using the product 1516, 1718 days out of a month.”
Mamoon Hamid Oct 21, 2024 ▶ 36:30 Mamoon Hamid: AI - Where Value Accrues, Startups vs Incumbents & Scaling Laws | E1217 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Hamid: Sketch and InVision were significantly larger than Figma early on
“But Sketch and InVision are way bigger than Figma for a while.”
Mamoon Hamid Oct 21, 2024 ▶ 38:09 Mamoon Hamid: AI - Where Value Accrues, Startups vs Incumbents & Scaling Laws | E1217 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Grady: Kleiner Perkins partner Mamoon Hamid is an exceptional deal picker
“Somebody who I really admire is Mamoon at Kleiner. I think Mamoon has an exceptional track record of investing in companies that are not at all obvious at the time. And I think about the series B in Figma, which is a round that we looked at and passed on. I th…”
Pat Grady Jul 8, 2024 ▶ 24:59 Pat Grady: Sequoia Partner on Investing Lessons from Doug Leone, Roelof Botha and Alfred Lin | E1174 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Grady: Figma had $4.6M ARR at Sequoia's Series C
“So the series C and Figma, when Figma had, I think, 4.6 million of ARR, that was not at all obvious, but Andrew had spent three years Studying the design market and had a real point of view.”
Pat Grady Jul 8, 2024 ▶ 27:58 Pat Grady: Sequoia Partner on Investing Lessons from Doug Leone, Roelof Botha and Alfred Lin | E1174 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rauch: Next-gen apps like Notion and Figma will look completely different
“So if I have to create the next notion, the next superhuman, the next figma, My bet is that it certainly is going to look completely different because before I would reach for what I would call like software one point no solutions.”
Guillermo Rauch Oct 6, 2023 ▶ 39:34 Guillermo Rauch: Why Great Companies are Defined by How Many Things They Say No To | E1069 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Figma was at $4M ARR when Sequoia invested at $400M valuation
“I remember when they, it's public, but they were at four million in ARR when Andrew did them at 400.”
Harry Stebbings Sep 18, 2023 ▶ 50:52 Miles Grimshaw: The 5 Pillars of Venture Capital & Why Co-Pilot is an Incumbent Strategy | E1061 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Late-stage startups spend roughly 3x more per seat on Figma than Slack
“And so how that actually plays out is probably a third of the company from my surveying has paid seats inside of Figma, and they pay about three times as much as they would for something like Slack.”
Miles Grimshaw Sep 18, 2023 ▶ 51:33 Miles Grimshaw: The 5 Pillars of Venture Capital & Why Co-Pilot is an Incumbent Strategy | E1061 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Grimshaw regrets missing early investments in Figma, Plaid, and Scale AI
“Dylan at Figma, Zach at Plaid and Alex at Scale, and I have enormous respect for all three of them got to know all three of them really early, and I just, I struggled with it.”
Miles Grimshaw Sep 18, 2023 ▶ 48:19 Miles Grimshaw: The 5 Pillars of Venture Capital & Why Co-Pilot is an Incumbent Strategy | E1061 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Startups with network effects should hire growth talent earlier to engineer loops
“If your product has a social collaboration, network effect, that kind of thing, think about Slack, LinkedIn, right, or anything like, or Airtable, Figma, hiring for growth early on, a little bit earlier, will allow you to engineering those growth loops into th…”
Hila Qu Jan 18, 2023 ▶ 19:16 Hila Qu: The Ultimate Guide to Product Growth at Your Startup | 20VC #967 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Early sales leaders should meet weekly with founders and own the agenda
“So what I learned early that I think the founder and that sales leader should be meeting at least weekly is my expectation for an hour, you know, at minimum, I think going into that, and this is a general framework that I follow for all the people in my team i…”
Kyle Parrish Dec 8, 2021 ▶ 29:13 20 Sales: When To Hire Your Head of Sales/ First Reps, What To Look for in 10x Sales Candidates, How To Structure The Hiring Process, How To Onboard New Reps Efficiently, How To Set First Quotas and more with Kyle Parrish, Figma's VP Sales
Prediction Not checkable as stated
George: Front-end engineers doing design expands Figma's market by 10x
“Our view was that all front end engineers in the future will engage in design, and this is 10 X plus bigger in terms of market opportunity than just defining what they do in the design space.”
David George Jul 19, 2021 ▶ 6:31 20VC: a16z's David George on Leading a16z's Growth Fund Today, The Biggest Misconceptions of Growth Investing, How a16z Think Through Portfolio Construction, Investment Decision-Making and Scenario Planning & How The Entrance of New Players Has Changed Th
Insight
Libin: Digital collaboration tools unlock productivity from introverted team members
“When we went from being in person to doing all of these things, you know, we no longer do brainstorming in a big conference room with, you know, stick stickies, post-it notes, you know, now we do it all on Figma, and actually I started noticing, man, I'm just …”
Phil Libin Jan 25, 2021 ▶ 21:47 20VC: Evernote & mmhmm Founder Phil Libin on Why We are Beginning a Multi-Trillion Dollar Restructuring of the World, Why Shortcuts are the Biggest Mistakes Startups Make & The Future of Video and The Unbundling of Zoom
Insight
Dylan Field: Cross-platform plugins must perform best on your platform
“That said, a lot of the plugins that we're seeing are across many different tools. And so it's not just enough to make it so that a plugin exists on your platform and people use it. But you also need to make it so that the plugin works best in your platform.”
Dylan Field Dec 14, 2020 ▶ 15:31 20VC: Figma Founder, Dylan Field on How Leadership Needs To Evolve with Scale, The Transition from Application to Platform & The Future of Remote Work, Education and Digital Spaces
Insight
Dylan Field: Power-user features should never compromise basic user experience
“You keep things simple, and I think that especially later in your product life cycle, the requests you get are dominated by power users sometimes, and they're asking for more power. You can't forget that the reason that became a power user in the first place i…”
Dylan Field Dec 14, 2020 ▶ 13:26 20VC: Figma Founder, Dylan Field on How Leadership Needs To Evolve with Scale, The Transition from Application to Platform & The Future of Remote Work, Education and Digital Spaces
Insight
Dylan Field: Platform-first strategy takes longer initially but scales faster later
“I think it might take a little bit longer to go platform route, but then you have this sort of opportunity to back into scale it faster.”
Dylan Field Dec 14, 2020 ▶ 12:26 20VC: Figma Founder, Dylan Field on How Leadership Needs To Evolve with Scale, The Transition from Application to Platform & The Future of Remote Work, Education and Digital Spaces
Prediction Held up
Dylan Field: Figma will permanently support remote work long term
“For Figma, internally, pre-COVID, we were entirely in person, and now we're supporting remote work, of course, just like, you know, everyone else does, but also we're permanently doing that long term.”
Dylan Field Dec 14, 2020 ▶ 17:33 20VC: Figma Founder, Dylan Field on How Leadership Needs To Evolve with Scale, The Transition from Application to Platform & The Future of Remote Work, Education and Digital Spaces
Insight
Dylan Field: Integrating workflow creates product defensibility
“I think that anytime you're able to introduce more workflow, that is a pretty inherently defensible thing that will help your product.”
Dylan Field Dec 14, 2020 ▶ 15:24 20VC: Figma Founder, Dylan Field on How Leadership Needs To Evolve with Scale, The Transition from Application to Platform & The Future of Remote Work, Education and Digital Spaces
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 1,200 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.