| 10× | “10 X” | AI Power Users Pay 10x Higher Subscription Prices Than Traditional Software | Anish Acharya | Feb 9, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Acharya: 50% Month-Two retention is solid for viral AI startups | Anish Acharya | Feb 9, 2026 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Acharya: 50% Month-Two retention is solid for viral AI startups | Anish Acharya | Feb 9, 2026 | — |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Acharya: OpenAI reached $20B top line by tripling capacity and matching demand | Anish Acharya | Feb 9, 2026 | Supported |
| 100% | “100%” | Acharya: OpenAI reached $20B top line by tripling capacity and matching demand | Anish Acharya | Feb 9, 2026 | Supported |
| 3× | “three X” | Acharya: OpenAI reached $20B top line by tripling capacity and matching demand | Anish Acharya | Feb 9, 2026 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Acharya: Multi-functional AI bundling will drive 10x enterprise productivity gains | Anish Acharya | Feb 9, 2026 | — |
| 50B | “Fifty billion” | Acharya: AI legal software value capture will approach $500B labor spend | Anish Acharya | Feb 9, 2026 | — |
| 12% | “12%” | Acharya: AI legal software value capture will approach $500B labor spend | Anish Acharya | Feb 9, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Acharya: AI productivity boosts lead to shorter work weeks over job cuts | Anish Acharya | Feb 9, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Acharya: AI productivity boosts lead to shorter work weeks over job cuts | Anish Acharya | Feb 9, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “100%” | Acharya: AI productivity boosts lead to shorter work weeks over job cuts | Anish Acharya | Feb 9, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Stebbings: Series A is currently the hardest stage for venture investing | Harry Stebbings | Feb 9, 2026 | — |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Acharya: Token cost for GPT-4 has dropped 100x since release | Anish Acharya | Feb 9, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Acharya: Software will eventually capture 80% to 90% of discretionary spend | Anish Acharya | Feb 9, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Stebbings: Deel Co-Founder Alex Bouaziz Handled $1,000 Deal Lead Personally | Harry Stebbings | Feb 9, 2026 | — |
| $6.2B | “6.2 billion dollars” | Stebbings: Navan went public at a $6.2B valuation | Harry Stebbings | Feb 7, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $2.8B | “2.8 billion dollars” | Stebbings: Navan's market cap dropped to $2.8B | Harry Stebbings | Feb 7, 2026 | Supported |
| $4M | “four million dollars” | Cohen: Upside Travel raised $200M versus Navan's $4M in the same year | Ariel Cohen | Feb 7, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 55% | “55%” | Cohen: Navan's AI handled 55% of support chats during JFK shutdown | Ariel Cohen | Feb 7, 2026 | Supported |
| 11M | “a ten million” | Stebbings: Passing on a $10M seed round cost me a $1B gain | Harry Stebbings | Feb 7, 2026 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Stebbings: Passing on a $10M seed round cost me a $1B gain | Harry Stebbings | Feb 7, 2026 | — |
| 1.3T | “1.25 trillion” | Stebbings: SpaceX acquired xAI in a $1.25T combined valuation merger | Harry Stebbings | Feb 5, 2026 | Supported |
| 4M | “four million” | O'Driscoll: SpaceX generates $19B in revenue while xAI generates $4M | Rory O'Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | O'Driscoll: SpaceX generates $19B in revenue while xAI generates $4M | Rory O'Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 4B | “four billion” | Lemkin: Software companies need a $4B valuation and 50% growth to IPO | Jason Lemkin | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Lemkin: Software companies need a $4B valuation and 50% growth to IPO | Jason Lemkin | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | O'Driscoll: Startups facing a 10x competitor lose ground every single day | Rory O'Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 2M | “two million” | Lemkin: AI SDR startup Artisan reached $2M in monthly revenue | Jason Lemkin | Feb 5, 2026 | Open |
| 80% | “80%” | Lemkin: 80% of Klaviyo's revenue is generated through the Shopify ecosystem | Jason Lemkin | Feb 5, 2026 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Lemkin: Monday.com trades at 5x revenue despite growing over 30% annually | Jason Lemkin | Feb 5, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 5× | “five times” | Lemkin: Monday.com trades at 5x revenue despite growing over 30% annually | Jason Lemkin | Feb 5, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | O'Driscoll: OpenAI and Anthropic could hit $100B revenue within two years | Rory O'Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Lemkin: Anthropic signed a deal for one million TPUs | Jason Lemkin | Feb 5, 2026 | Supported |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | O'Driscoll: NVIDIA issued a document committing up to $100B to OpenAI | Rory O'Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | Supported |
| 3× | “three X” | O'Driscoll: Tech valuation multiple dispersion hasn't been this wide since 1999 | Rory O'Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 50× | “50 X” | O'Driscoll: Tech valuation multiple dispersion hasn't been this wide since 1999 | Rory O'Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 100× | “hundred X” | O'Driscoll: Tech valuation multiple dispersion hasn't been this wide since 1999 | Rory O'Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 5M | “five million” | O'Driscoll: AI replacing blue-collar drivers is happening faster than white-collar displacement | Rory O'Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 1.2T | “1.2 trillion” | O'Driscoll: Waymo at $110B is cheap compared to Tesla's $500B autonomous valuation | Rory O'Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | O'Driscoll: Waymo at $110B is cheap compared to Tesla's $500B autonomous valuation | Rory O'Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 200B | “two hundred billion” | O'Driscoll: Waymo at $110B is cheap compared to Tesla's $500B autonomous valuation | Rory O'Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | O'Driscoll: Waymo at $110B is cheap compared to Tesla's $500B autonomous valuation | Rory O'Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| $500B | “five hundred billion dollars” | O'Driscoll: Waymo at $110B is cheap compared to Tesla's $500B autonomous valuation | Rory O'Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | O'Driscoll: Waymo at $110B is cheap compared to Tesla's $500B autonomous valuation | Rory O'Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 2× | “two X” | O'Driscoll: Waymo at $110B is cheap compared to Tesla's $500B autonomous valuation | Rory O'Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | O'Driscoll: 80% of Tesla and SpaceX value is the Elon Musk premium | Rory O’Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | O'Driscoll: 80% of Tesla and SpaceX value is the Elon Musk premium | Rory O’Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| $2T | “two trillion dollars” | O'Driscoll: Elon Musk's death would instantly erase $2 trillion in market value | Rory O’Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | O'Driscoll: 1.5 million AI agents joined the Notebook network in five days | Rory O'Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 100M | “hundred million” | O'Driscoll: AI agent activity could boost Claude's Q1 run rate by $200M | Rory O'Driscoll | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Zeev: Navan faces zero risk of AI disruption and will benefit hugely | Oren Zeev | Feb 2, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Zeev: Navan's gross margins were around 50% before AI adoption | Oren Zeev | Feb 2, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Zeev: Technology is only 5% of defensibility in complex businesses | Oren Zeev | Feb 2, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Zeev: Only one in thousands of AI customer support startups will succeed | Oren Zeev | Feb 2, 2026 | — |
| 32× | “32 X” | Zeev: AI does not change compounding startup growth math | Oren Zeev | Feb 2, 2026 | — |
| 2× | “two X” | Zeev: 2x growth with strong economics beats 3x hyper-growth with poor economics | Oren Zeev | Feb 2, 2026 | — |
| 3× | “three X” | Zeev: 2x growth with strong economics beats 3x hyper-growth with poor economics | Oren Zeev | Feb 2, 2026 | — |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Oren Zeev: Very few $20M ARR startups are doubling with healthy economics | Oren Zeev | Feb 2, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Zeev: A 50% VC hit rate is great given 100x upside asymmetry | Oren Zeev | Feb 2, 2026 | — |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Zeev: A 50% VC hit rate is great given 100x upside asymmetry | Oren Zeev | Feb 2, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Zeev caps single-company fund concentration at 20% | Oren Zeev | Feb 2, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Zeev caps single-company fund concentration at 20% | Oren Zeev | Feb 2, 2026 | — |
| 4× | “four X” | Zeev: Overpaid by 3x to 4x on every 2021 deal | Oren Zeev | Feb 2, 2026 | — |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Zeev: Cut fund size by half following peak $500M+ funds | Oren Zeev | Feb 2, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Oren Zeev: Over 50% of VC funds will fail to raise again | Oren Zeev | Feb 2, 2026 | Open |
| 1.5M | “a half million” | Zeev: Made exception to invest $1.5M in AI startup Decart via capped SAFE | Oren Zeev | Feb 2, 2026 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Zeev: Made exception to invest $1.5M in AI startup Decart via capped SAFE | Oren Zeev | Feb 2, 2026 | — |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Zeev predicts Riverside will reach a $10B valuation | Oren Zeev | Feb 2, 2026 | Open |
| 1.5M | “half a million” | Wix CMO Omer Shai spent $500,000 on a voiceover he calls stupid | Omer Shai | Jan 31, 2026 | — |
| 5M | “five million” | Harry Stebbings says multi-million dollar celebrity endorsement deals rarely work | Harry Stebbings | Jan 31, 2026 | — |
| 5B | “five billion” | O'Driscoll: $5B liquidity outlasts the short-term disappointment of a down-round exit | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Capital One acquires Brex for $5.15B in cash and stock | Harry Stebbings | Jan 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 6B | “a five billion” | O'Driscoll: Building Brex to a $5.15B exit before 30 is heroic | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | — |
| 2× | “two X” | Lemkin: The tech industry will forget about Brex within 24 months | Jason Lemkin | Jan 29, 2026 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | O'Driscoll: Ramp hit $1B run rate faster than Brex at $700M | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 700M | “seven hundred million” | O'Driscoll: Ramp hit $1B run rate faster than Brex at $700M | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Lemkin: 80% of B2B public company CEOs are unhappy today | Jason Lemkin | Jan 29, 2026 | — |
| 3× | “three X” | Lemkin: Andreessen Horowitz tripled its money on Skype in 12-14 months | Jason Lemkin | Jan 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 94% | “94%” | O'Driscoll: Anthropic gross margins improved from -94% to ~40% | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | O'Driscoll: Anthropic gross margins improved from -94% to ~40% | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 15% | “15%” | O'Driscoll: Inference costs consume up to 70% of AI coding app revenue | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | O'Driscoll: Inference costs consume up to 70% of AI coding app revenue | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | — |
| 200M | “two hundred million” | Lemkin: AI inference costs are replacing traditional sales and marketing budgets | Jason Lemkin | Jan 29, 2026 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Lemkin: AI inference costs are replacing traditional sales and marketing budgets | Jason Lemkin | Jan 29, 2026 | — |
| $50B | “fifty billion dollars” | O'Driscoll: TSMC raising CapEx budget to $50B amid infinite AI demand | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 600B | “six hundred billion” | O'Driscoll: Annual AI CapEx exceeds app revenue by $500 billion | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 100B | “A hundred billion” | O'Driscoll: Annual AI CapEx exceeds app revenue by $500 billion | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | O'Driscoll: Annual AI CapEx exceeds app revenue by $500 billion | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 99.9% | “99.9%” | Lemkin: No upside for founders in betting AI slows in 24 months | Jason Lemkin | Jan 29, 2026 | — |
| $12B | “twelve billion dollars” | Stebbings: Open Evidence raised at $12B valuation led by Thrive and DST | Harry Stebbings | Jan 29, 2026 | Supported |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Stebbings: Open Evidence raised at $12B valuation led by Thrive and DST | Harry Stebbings | Jan 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 12× | “12 x” | Stebbings: Open Evidence raised at $12B valuation led by Thrive and DST | Harry Stebbings | Jan 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 50M | “fifty million” | O'Driscoll: Open Evidence has reached $150M in revenue | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 4B | “a three billion” | O'Driscoll: Direct-to-doctor pharma advertising is a shrinking $2B–$3B market | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 12B | “twelve billion” | O'Driscoll: Open Evidence must expand TAM significantly to 3x its $12B valuation | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | — |
| 3× | “three X” | O'Driscoll: Open Evidence must expand TAM significantly to 3x its $12B valuation | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | — |
| 4B | “four billion” | O'Driscoll: OpenAI and Anthropic generate virtually all private AI revenue | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 75% | “75%” | Lemkin: Venture capital is not an asset class because the bottom 75% underperforms | Jason Lemkin | Jan 29, 2026 | — |
| 8B | “Eight billion” | Stebbings: EquipmentShare popped 33% at IPO to an $8B market cap | Harry Stebbings | Jan 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 4B | “four billion” | Stebbings: EquipmentShare popped 33% at IPO to an $8B market cap | Harry Stebbings | Jan 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 33% | “33%” | Stebbings: EquipmentShare popped 33% at IPO to an $8B market cap | Harry Stebbings | Jan 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 47% | “47%” | Stebbings: EquipmentShare popped 33% at IPO to an $8B market cap | Harry Stebbings | Jan 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Lemkin: Wealthfront's IPO is deeply broken and trading down 30-40% | Jason Lemkin | Jan 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 3B | “Three billion” | O'Driscoll: $3B market cap is the effective cutoff for tech IPO liquidity | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Lemkin: 80% of employees at top companies do not add value | Jason Lemkin | Jan 29, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | O'Driscoll: Venture cost of capital should be 30% versus 11% public | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | — |
| 5.6B | “5.6 billion” | Stebbings: US Army awarded Salesforce a $5.6B contract over 10 years | Harry Stebbings | Jan 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 600M | “a five hundred million” | O'Driscoll: AI vibe coding will not replace enterprise systems of record | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 29, 2026 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Lemkin: SaaS product prices increased 40% over the last 3-4 years | Jason Lemkin | Jan 29, 2026 | — |
| 140% | “140%” | Lemkin: Slack achieved 140% NRR without raising prices | Jason Lemkin | Jan 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 7M | “seven million” | Junestrand: Legora added $7M in ARR in a single day in 2025 | Max Junestrand | Jan 26, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Junestrand: Top legal AI vendor will capture 90% of the market | Max Junestrand | Jan 26, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Junestrand: Top legal AI vendor will capture 90% of the market | Max Junestrand | Jan 26, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Junestrand: 80% of legal AI value comes from software scaffolding, not models | Max Junestrand | Jan 26, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Junestrand: 10% of Legora's tech team are former YC founders | Max Junestrand | Jan 26, 2026 | — |
| $1.8M | “1.75 million dollars” | Stebbings: Sold $1.75M in Podcast Sponsorships in 24 Hours at Age 19 | Harry Stebbings | Jan 24, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 1M | “a million” | Stebbings: Raised 20VC Capital via WhatsApp Between Gym Sets | Harry Stebbings | Jan 24, 2026 | — |
| 2M | “two million” | Stebbings: Raised 20VC Capital via WhatsApp Between Gym Sets | Harry Stebbings | Jan 24, 2026 | — |
| 11M | “a ten million” | Stebbings: Project Europe is a $10M Fund Giving $200K to Young Founders | Harry Stebbings | Jan 24, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Stebbings: 20VC Took Four Years to Reach 1,000 Plays | Harry Stebbings | Jan 24, 2026 | — |
| 4M | “four million” | Stebbings: A Single LinkedIn Post Generated $4M in Revenue for Fixer | Harry Stebbings | Jan 24, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Stebbings: Improving an existing model by 10-20% yields successful businesses | Harry Stebbings | Jan 24, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | O'Driscoll: Musk-Altman Lawsuit Will Be an Ongoing Public Spectacle | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 22, 2026 | — |
| 45% | “45%” | Rory O'Driscoll: Palantir trades at 70x forward sales with 45% growth | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 22, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 70× | “70 times” | Rory O'Driscoll: Palantir trades at 70x forward sales with 45% growth | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 22, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 13B | “a twelve billion” | O'Driscoll: Figma trades at 10x forward sales with over 30% growth | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | O'Driscoll: Figma trades at 10x forward sales with over 30% growth | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 times” | O'Driscoll: Figma trades at 10x forward sales with over 30% growth | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 12× | “12 times” | O'Driscoll: Software Stocks Face Long Flat Periods Transitioning to Cash Flow | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 22, 2026 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Rory O'Driscoll: VCs Can No Longer Finance $100M Revenue SaaS Companies | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 22, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | O'Driscoll: Non-AI SaaS Startups Growing 75%+ at $50M ARR Are Fine | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 22, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Lemkin: Has Not Acquired a 20% Startup Ownership Stake in Seven Years | Jason Lemkin | Jan 22, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Lemkin: Has Not Acquired a 20% Startup Ownership Stake in Seven Years | Jason Lemkin | Jan 22, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Lemkin: Decade-Old Portfolio SaaS Will More Than Double Revenue in 2026 | Jason Lemkin | Jan 22, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Lemkin: Decade-Old Portfolio SaaS Will More Than Double Revenue in 2026 | Jason Lemkin | Jan 22, 2026 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Lemkin: 99% of Software Companies Cannot Build Environments Top AI Talent Demands | Jason Lemkin | Jan 22, 2026 | — |
| 3B | “three billion” | O'Driscoll: Yann LeCun's $3B Non-LLM Venture Is A Scary, High-Risk Bet | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 22, 2026 | — |
| 30M | “thirty million” | O'Driscoll: Musk and Altman Donated $30M+ and $10M to OpenAI | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 22, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $30B | “thirty billion dollars” | O'Driscoll: Musk Seeks $70B to $130B in OpenAI Equity Damages | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | O'Driscoll: OpenAI financings face 10-20% dilution risk from legal trial | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 22, 2026 | — |
| 2% | “two percent” | Lemkin: Sam Altman owns two percent of Stripe | Jason Lemkin | Jan 22, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | O'Driscoll: Consumer free-to-paid conversion rates are under 5% | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 22, 2026 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | O'Driscoll: Consumer free-to-paid conversion rates are under 5% | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 22, 2026 | — |
| 4× | “four times” | O'Driscoll: Adobe Acquired SEMrush to Launch an Answer Engine Optimization Product | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 22, 2026 | Held up |
| 5B | “five billion” | Stebbings: Competing in Series A and B Rounds Is a Dummy's Game | Harry Stebbings | Jan 22, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Stebbings: Competing in Series A and B Rounds Is a Dummy's Game | Harry Stebbings | Jan 22, 2026 | — |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Stebbings: Competing in Series A and B Rounds Is a Dummy's Game | Harry Stebbings | Jan 22, 2026 | — |
| 3B | “three billion” | Weinberg says Anthropic reached roughly $3 billion in revenue entering 2025 | Winston Weinberg | Jan 19, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 50% | “50%” | Weinberg: Product iteration speed is the main threat to application AI | Winston Weinberg | Jan 19, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Weinberg: 90% of engineers at AI application startups are front-end hires | Winston Weinberg | Jan 19, 2026 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Weinberg: 40% of Harvey's product org are senior infrastructure engineers | Winston Weinberg | Jan 19, 2026 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Weinberg: 60% of Harvey's revenue comes from law firms, 40% in-house | Winston Weinberg | Jan 19, 2026 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Weinberg: 60% of Harvey's revenue comes from law firms, 40% in-house | Winston Weinberg | Jan 19, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Weinberg: Abandon standard negotiation tactics when you know a deal's core value | Winston Weinberg | Jan 19, 2026 | — |
| 4M | “four million” | Weinberg reveals Harvey's seed round pre-money valuation was around $4 million | Winston Weinberg | Jan 19, 2026 | — |
| 74% | “74%” | Harvey users utilizing four or more products reach 74% DAU/MAU | Winston Weinberg | Jan 19, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Lovinsky: AI will generate 90% of Superhuman's code within 24 months | Noam Lovinsky | Jan 16, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | O'Driscoll: Late-stage VC involves correlated valuation risk, unlike early-stage | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | O'Driscoll: Anthropic grew ARR from $100M in 2023 to ~$10B in 2025 | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | Supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | O'Driscoll: Anthropic grew ARR from $100M in 2023 to ~$10B in 2025 | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | Supported |
| 22% | “22%” | Stebbings: ChatGPT usage dropped 22% after Google released new Gemini models | Harry Stebbings | Jan 15, 2026 | Supported |
| 5B | “five billion” | O'Driscoll: a16z backed 10% of $5B+ Series A outcomes over last decade | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 10% | “10%” | O'Driscoll: a16z backed 10% of $5B+ Series A outcomes over last decade | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 3.6T | “3.6 trillion” | O'Driscoll: Total value of all private companies reaches $3.6 trillion | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 1.2T | “1.2 trillion” | O'Driscoll: Total value of all private companies reaches $3.6 trillion | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | Contradicted |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | O'Driscoll: VC mega-funds cannot generate target returns without top outliers | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | — |
| 4× | “four X” | Lemkin: Andreessen Horowitz has never had a fund under 3x | Jason Lemkin | Jan 15, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 3× | “three X” | Lemkin: Andreessen Horowitz has never had a fund under 3x | Jason Lemkin | Jan 15, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 50% | “50%” | O'Driscoll: Top VCs are on 80% of Series C cap tables | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | O'Driscoll: Top VCs are on 80% of Series C cap tables | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | — |
| 23B | “twenty-three billion” | O'Driscoll: First venture rounds for OpenAI and Anthropic were $23B and $4B | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 4B | “four billion” | O'Driscoll: First venture rounds for OpenAI and Anthropic were $23B and $4B | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | Contradicted |
| $5B | “five billion dollars” | O'Driscoll: Databricks generates $4.5B-$5B at 40%+ growth and is cash-flow positive | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | O'Driscoll: Databricks generates $4.5B-$5B at 40%+ growth and is cash-flow positive | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | O'Driscoll: 20% growth tech companies historically trade at 6x revenue | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | Supported |
| 6× | “six times” | O'Driscoll: 20% growth tech companies historically trade at 6x revenue | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | Supported |
| 30M | “thirty million” | Lemkin: ElevenLabs generated $330M in revenue last year | Jason Lemkin | Jan 15, 2026 | Supported |
| 11B | “eleven billion” | Lemkin: I would not invest in ElevenLabs at an $11B valuation | Jason Lemkin | Jan 15, 2026 | — |
| 12B | “twelve billion” | O'Driscoll: ElevenLabs needs $5B in revenue for a 3x return | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | — |
| 30B | “thirty billion” | O'Driscoll: ElevenLabs needs $5B in revenue for a 3x return | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | — |
| 5B | “five billion” | O'Driscoll: ElevenLabs needs $5B in revenue for a 3x return | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | — |
| 3× | “three X” | O'Driscoll: ElevenLabs needs $5B in revenue for a 3x return | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | — |
| 7× | “seven times” | O'Driscoll: ElevenLabs needs $5B in revenue for a 3x return | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | — |
| $1.5B | “half a billion dollars” | O'Driscoll: Distributed SMB customer bases are more defensible than enterprise concentration | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | — |
| $2B | “two billion dollars” | O'Driscoll: California's proposed tax will drive wealthy founders out of state | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | Open |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | O'Driscoll: California's proposed tax will drive wealthy founders out of state | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 15, 2026 | Open |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Lemkin: Founders will stay in SF for YC but leave after Series B | Jason Lemkin | Jan 15, 2026 | — |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Lemkin: B2B SaaS will normalize around $1M-$2M revenue per employee | Jason Lemkin | Jan 15, 2026 | Open |
| $2M | “two million dollars” | Lemkin: B2B SaaS will normalize around $1M-$2M revenue per employee | Jason Lemkin | Jan 15, 2026 | Open |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Lemkin: One in three Nvidia employees is worth $20M or more | Jason Lemkin | Jan 15, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 25M | “twenty-five million” | Lemkin: One in three Nvidia employees is worth $20M or more | Jason Lemkin | Jan 15, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 5% | “five percent” | Rampell: Only 5% of current unicorns will ever go public | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | Open |
| 7B | “seven billion” | Rampell: Nearly $7 Billion of a16z's Latest Raise Is Growth Capital | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | — |
| 86M | “an eighty five million” | Rampell: Ribbit Capital's $85M Fund 1 delivered a 55x return | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 55× | “55 X” | Rampell: Ribbit Capital's $85M Fund 1 delivered a 55x return | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 120× | “120 X” | Rampell: AngelPad's early fund delivered a 120x DPI return | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 200× | “200 X” | Rampell: One of his personal seed investments is marked up 200x | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | — |
| $50M | “fifty million dollars” | Rampell: Wanting $50M Is Insufficient Motivation for Large VC Funds | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | — |
| 10× | “10 times” | Rampell: Upgrade Is Worth ~10x More Than Lending Club | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | Contradicted |
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