| 5× | “five X” | Stebbings: Series A is the worst venture stage to invest in right now | Harry Stebbings | Jan 12, 2026 | — |
| 200× | “200 X” | Stebbings: Series A is the worst venture stage to invest in right now | Harry Stebbings | Jan 12, 2026 | — |
| $10M | “ten million dollars” | Rampell: Recently led a Series A in a startup with $10M ARR | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Rampell: Giving Founders $1B Results in Bad Outcomes 99% of Time | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | — |
| 99× | “99 times” | Rampell: Giving Founders $1B Results in Bad Outcomes 99% of Time | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Rampell: TrialPay Laid Off 70% of Staff Before Visa Sale | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 1B | “a billion” | a16z Passed on Company That Later Reached $1B Valuation | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | — |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | a16z Passed on Company That Later Reached $1B Valuation | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | — |
| 300M | “a two hundred million” | a16z Passed on Company That Later Reached $1B Valuation | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Rampell: Previous Valuation Is Always the First Question in M&A | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Rampell: AI could drive Zendesk's seat-based revenue down to zero | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | — |
| 2.4B | “2.4 billion” | Rampell: Haggled over $5M on Plaid's Series B, later invested at $2.4B | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | — |
| 6M | “a five million” | Rampell: Haggled over $5M on Plaid's Series B, later invested at $2.4B | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | — |
| $600M | “six hundred million dollars” | Rampell: Haggled over $5M on Plaid's Series B, later invested at $2.4B | Alex Rampell | Jan 12, 2026 | — |
| $7B | “seven billion dollars” | Stebbings: ElevenLabs is valued near $7B with $400M in annual revenue | Harry Stebbings | Jan 11, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 400M | “four hundred million” | Stebbings: ElevenLabs is valued near $7B with $400M in annual revenue | Harry Stebbings | Jan 11, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $40M | “forty million dollars” | Harries: Wordware raised $40M, the largest Y Combinator raise ever | Luke Harries | Jan 11, 2026 | Partly supported |
| $100M | “a hundred million dollars” | Harries: Curative reached $100M revenue at record speed | Luke Harries | Jan 11, 2026 | Supported |
| $30M | “thirty million dollars” | Harries: Men's health startup Fella generates over $30M annual revenue | Luke Harries | Jan 11, 2026 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Harries: Over 70% of Zapier's SEO traffic goes to its blog | Luke Harries | Jan 11, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 70% | “70%” | Harries: 60% to 70% of ElevenLabs' core engineering code is AI-generated | Luke Harries | Jan 11, 2026 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Chad Peet: Customer service AI can cut enterprise support costs by 50% | Chad Peets | Jan 9, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Peet: Sales teams should fire the bottom 10% of reps annually | Chad Peets | Jan 9, 2026 | — |
| 25% | “25%” | Peet: Every scaling company he worked at experienced ~25% sales attrition | Chad Peets | Jan 9, 2026 | — |
| 6% | “six percent” | Peet: Sales capacity plans must account for 6% quarterly turnover by overhiring | Chad Peets | Jan 9, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Chad Peet: 80% of selling in Europe is identical to the US | Chad Peets | Jan 9, 2026 | — |
| 3× | “three times” | Peet: Sales reps must generate 3x their OTE for unit economics to work | Chad Peets | Jan 9, 2026 | — |
| 10M | “ten million” | Chad Peet: Erring on low sales quotas is better than setting them too high | Chad Peets | Jan 9, 2026 | — |
| 15M | “Fifteen million” | Chad Peet: Erring on low sales quotas is better than setting them too high | Chad Peets | Jan 9, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Chad Peet: Quotas should be set 20% above expected sales productivity | Chad Peets | Jan 9, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Peet: AI will eliminate or drastically reduce SDR and BDR roles in 5 years | Chad Peets | Jan 9, 2026 | — |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Stebbings: Nvidia acquired Groq for $20B cash at 3x valuation markup | Harry Stebbings | Jan 8, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 3× | “three X” | Stebbings: Nvidia acquired Groq for $20B cash at 3x valuation markup | Harry Stebbings | Jan 8, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | O'Driscoll: NVIDIA operates at 75% gross margins and $100B cash flow | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 75% | “75%” | O'Driscoll: NVIDIA operates at 75% gross margins and $100B cash flow | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| $4M | “four million dollars” | O'Driscoll: Groq generated $4M in 2023 and ~$40M in 2024 revenue | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 8, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Lemkin: Jensen Huang closed NVIDIA's $20B Groq deal in two weeks | Jason Lemkin | Jan 8, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 3× | “three X” | Lemkin: Offering 3x last round valuation removes M&A deal objections instantly | Jason Lemkin | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| 75M | “seventy-five million” | Stebbings: Groq is generating $175 million in revenue | Harry Stebbings | Jan 8, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| $1.5B | “a half billion dollars” | Stebbings: Meta acquired Manus for $2.5B at 25x ARR | Harry Stebbings | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Stebbings: Meta acquired Manus for $2.5B at 25x ARR | Harry Stebbings | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 25M | “twenty-five million” | Stebbings: Meta acquired Manus for $2.5B at 25x ARR | Harry Stebbings | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 25× | “25 X” | Stebbings: Meta acquired Manus for $2.5B at 25x ARR | Harry Stebbings | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 3B | “three billion” | O'Driscoll: Manus is not an obvious product fit for Meta | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Stebbings: Manus team retained 80% equity prior to acquisition | Harry Stebbings | Jan 8, 2026 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 90% | “90%” | O'Driscoll: VCs should never force founders to reject exit offers | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | O'Driscoll: VCs should never force founders to reject exit offers | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| 1% | “1%” | O'Driscoll: Skeptical the Market Can Support Ten Separate AI Research Labs | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| 4× | “four X” | Lemkin: OpenAI's comp is 3-4x higher than Anthropic's | Jason Lemkin | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 99% | “99%” | Lemkin: Sam Altman's zero equity stake leaves him unbothered by dilution | Jason Lemkin | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| 5B | “five billion” | O'Driscoll: Anthropic's per-share growth is under 5x despite 15x valuation jump | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 4B | “four billion” | O'Driscoll: Anthropic's per-share growth is under 5x despite 15x valuation jump | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 60B | “sixty billion” | O'Driscoll: Anthropic's per-share growth is under 5x despite 15x valuation jump | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 15× | “15 X” | O'Driscoll: Anthropic's per-share growth is under 5x despite 15x valuation jump | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 5× | “five X” | O'Driscoll: Anthropic's per-share growth is under 5x despite 15x valuation jump | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 40B | “forty billion” | O'Driscoll: Masayoshi Son negotiated a $40B OpenAI investment deal deadline | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 50× | “50 X” | Lemkin: Aims to invest in one AI agent startup per quarter | Jason Lemkin | Jan 8, 2026 | Open |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Lemkin: Aims to invest in one AI agent startup per quarter | Jason Lemkin | Jan 8, 2026 | Open |
| 1% | “1%” | Lemkin: VCs can identify top 0.1% founders without speaking to them | Jason Lemkin | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Lemkin: VCs can identify top 0.1% founders without speaking to them | Jason Lemkin | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| 27% | “27%” | O'Driscoll: Navan is significantly undervalued at 4x ARR | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| 4× | “four times” | O'Driscoll: Navan is significantly undervalued at 4x ARR | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | O'Driscoll: Navan is significantly undervalued at 4x ARR | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| 700M | “seven hundred million” | Lemkin: Navan was forced to IPO due to debt obligations | Jason Lemkin | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 200M | “two hundred million” | Lemkin: Navan was forced to IPO due to debt obligations | Jason Lemkin | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Lemkin: Tech startups below Figma's caliber will struggle to IPO | Jason Lemkin | Jan 8, 2026 | Open |
| 10M | “10 Million” | O'Driscoll: Late-stage VC has bifurcated into sub-$400M and mega-private tiers | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | O'Driscoll: Late-stage VC has bifurcated into sub-$400M and mega-private tiers | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| 400M | “four hundred million” | O'Driscoll: Late-stage VC has bifurcated into sub-$400M and mega-private tiers | Rory O'Driscoll | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Lemkin: Going public enables Databricks to execute tens of billions in M&A | Jason Lemkin | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| 3× | “three times” | Lemkin: Going public enables Databricks to execute tens of billions in M&A | Jason Lemkin | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| 2M | “two million” | Chang: Fuse Energy grew revenue from £2M to £200M in three years | Alan Chang | Jan 5, 2026 | Open |
| 8× | “eight times” | Chang: Americans consume almost eight times more energy than Europeans | Alan Chang | Jan 5, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 25% | “25%” | Chang: UK energy consumption dropped 25% while China's grew 7x | Alan Chang | Jan 5, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 7× | “seven times” | Chang: UK energy consumption dropped 25% while China's grew 7x | Alan Chang | Jan 5, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 400M | “four hundred million” | Chang: Fuse Energy is generating over $400M in annualized revenue | Alan Chang | Jan 5, 2026 | Supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Chang predicts Revolut will become a trillion-dollar company | Alan Chang | Jan 5, 2026 | Open |
| 5% | “five percent” | Fitzpatrick: MIT report shows only 5% of Gen AI deployments work | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Fitzpatrick: External AI builds are twice as effective as internal builds | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| 2× | “two X” | Fitzpatrick: External AI builds are twice as effective as internal builds | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Fitzpatrick: AI performance grew 40% to 60% over two years | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 25M | “twenty-five million” | Fitzpatrick: E-commerce retailer scrapped $25M custom AI agent after failures | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Fitzpatrick: Gen AI projects should be led by business, not tech function | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| 58% | “58%” | Fitzpatrick: Out-of-the-box AI agents achieve only 33% accuracy on multi-turn workflows | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 33% | “33%” | Fitzpatrick: Out-of-the-box AI agents achieve only 33% accuracy on multi-turn workflows | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 60% | “60%” | KPMG report found 60% of consumers use AI weekly | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 99% | “99%” | Fitzpatrick: Enterprise AI adoption requires 99% precision, not benchmark generalizability | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| 7M | “seven million” | Invisible Technologies raised only $7M in primary capital over nine years | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | Supported |
| 30M | “thirty million” | Invisible Technologies raised $130M and will forgo profitability to invest | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Fitzpatrick: AWS report shows 70% of AI agents are traditional automation scripts | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 70% | “70%” | Fitzpatrick: 70% of US software is over 20 years old | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 93% | “93%” | Fitzpatrick: Average bank spends 93% of tech budget on maintenance | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 7% | “Seven percent” | Fitzpatrick: Average bank spends 93% of tech budget on maintenance | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 2× | “two X” | Fitzpatrick: Recent Y Combinator class generated double the revenue of prior batches | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| 20× | “20 X” | Fitzpatrick: Public software multiples fell from 20x to 10x over two years | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | Open |
| 10× | “10 X” | Fitzpatrick: Public software multiples fell from 20x to 10x over two years | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | Open |
| 2.3M | “2250 thousand” | Fitzpatrick: Johns Hopkins research shows 250,000 annual US deaths from avoidable medical errors | Matt Fitzpatrick | Dec 31, 2025 | Supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Stebbings: Robinhood has nine products generating over $100M revenue each | Harry Stebbings | Dec 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 3B | “three billion” | Stebbings: Founders Fund deployed $3B in under 12 months into mega-rounds | Harry Stebbings | Dec 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Lemkin: Google is corporate investor of the year for its massive stakes | Jason Lemkin | Dec 22, 2025 | — |
| 14% | “14%” | Lemkin: Google is corporate investor of the year for its massive stakes | Jason Lemkin | Dec 22, 2025 | — |
| 4B | “a three billion” | O'Driscoll: Elad Gil raised a $3 billion solo venture capital fund | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 22, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Rory O'Driscoll: Open Evidence reached 500,000 U.S. doctors in one year | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 22, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 5B | “five billion” | Lemkin: Databricks reached $5B revenue and is accelerating at 55% growth | Jason Lemkin | Dec 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 55% | “55%” | Lemkin: Databricks reached $5B revenue and is accelerating at 55% growth | Jason Lemkin | Dec 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 400M | “four hundred million” | Stebbings: ElevenLabs scaled to $400M ARR in 2025 despite OpenAI competition | Harry Stebbings | Dec 22, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Lemkin: 2026 will see one or two trillion-dollar tech IPOs | Jason Lemkin | Dec 22, 2025 | Held up |
| 2T | “two trillion” | Lemkin: 2026 will see one or two trillion-dollar tech IPOs | Jason Lemkin | Dec 22, 2025 | Held up |
| 5B | “five billion” | Lemkin: Adobe's $5B 'AI-influenced revenue' metric is misleading vanity reporting | Jason Lemkin | Dec 22, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | O'Driscoll: Bundling AI without raising prices reduces software operating margins by 10% | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 22, 2025 | — |
| 2% | “two percent” | Lemkin: Amazon stock will underperform Big Tech peers in 2026 | Jason Lemkin | Dec 22, 2025 | Open |
| 30% | “30%” | Marolf: Sportswear is at only 20-30% of its market potential | Gérald Marolf | Dec 19, 2025 | — |
| 1.5T | “1.5 trillion” | O'Driscoll: Traditional financial metrics cannot justify SpaceX's $1.5T valuation | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 18, 2025 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | O'Driscoll: Lightspeed put $1B into Anthropic across two rounds | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.7B | “1.7 billion” | Calacanis: SpaceX will go public at a valuation of $1T or more | Jason Lemkin | Dec 18, 2025 | Held up |
| 1.7T | “1.7 trillion” | Calacanis: SpaceX will go public at a valuation of $1T or more | Jason Lemkin | Dec 18, 2025 | Held up |
| 1T | “one trillion” | Calacanis: SpaceX will go public at a valuation of $1T or more | Jason Lemkin | Dec 18, 2025 | Held up |
| 20% | “20%” | O'Driscoll: Pure-play compute infrastructure acts as an amplified, high-volatility AI proxy | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 18, 2025 | — |
| 75% | “75%” | O'Driscoll: Anthropic buys Broadcom chips to bypass Nvidia's 75% margins | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | O'Driscoll: Public markets will fall 30% in the next two to three years | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 18, 2025 | Held up |
| 60% | “60%” | O'Driscoll: Coding tools account for 55% of enterprise AI spend | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 18, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 45% | “45%” | O'Driscoll: Coding tools account for 55% of enterprise AI spend | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 18, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 55% | “55%” | O'Driscoll: Coding tools account for 55% of enterprise AI spend | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 18, 2025 | Contradicted |
| $400B | “four hundred billion dollars” | O'Driscoll: Enterprise AI revenue is $16B vs $400B in CapEx | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.8B | “1.8 billion” | Calacanis: UiPath NRR dropped from 140% at IPO to 107% | Jason Lemkin | Dec 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 98% | “98%” | Calacanis: UiPath NRR dropped from 140% at IPO to 107% | Jason Lemkin | Dec 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 107% | “107%” | Calacanis: UiPath NRR dropped from 140% at IPO to 107% | Jason Lemkin | Dec 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 140% | “140%” | Calacanis: UiPath NRR dropped from 140% at IPO to 107% | Jason Lemkin | Dec 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Calacanis: Boom crashed to $500M valuation before rising to $1.5B | Jason Lemkin | Dec 18, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1.5B | “1.5 billion” | Calacanis: Boom crashed to $500M valuation before rising to $1.5B | Jason Lemkin | Dec 18, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $100B | “a hundred Billion dollars” | O'Driscoll: Founders Fund's SpaceX deal will return $50B–$100B | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 18, 2025 | Held up |
| 50% | “50%” | O'Driscoll: Founders Fund's SpaceX deal will return $50B–$100B | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 18, 2025 | Held up |
| 2B | “a one billion” | a16z's best fund ever saw Databricks return 7x and Coinbase 5x | David George | Dec 15, 2025 | — |
| 7× | “seven X” | a16z's best fund ever saw Databricks return 7x and Coinbase 5x | David George | Dec 15, 2025 | — |
| 5× | “five X” | a16z's best fund ever saw Databricks return 7x and Coinbase 5x | David George | Dec 15, 2025 | — |
| $5T | “five trillion dollars” | Tech private markets have reached over $5 trillion in market capitalization | David George | Dec 15, 2025 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Tech private markets have reached over $5 trillion in market capitalization | David George | Dec 15, 2025 | Supported |
| 47% | “47%” | 53% of dollar gains in top recent IPOs came post-Series C | David George | Dec 15, 2025 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 53% | “53%” | 53% of dollar gains in top recent IPOs came post-Series C | David George | Dec 15, 2025 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 0.5% | “half percent” | Russell 2500 average return on invested capital halved over 30 years | David George | Dec 15, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 3% | “three percent” | Russell 2500 average return on invested capital halved over 30 years | David George | Dec 15, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 15% | “15%” | Half of a16z's growth investments are follow-ons from its venture portfolio | David George | Dec 15, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | C.H. Robinson saw a 40% AI-driven productivity gain in shipments | David George | Dec 15, 2025 | Supported |
| 6× | “six times” | Top high-growth tech companies will trade above 6x public revenue multiples | David George | Dec 15, 2025 | — |
| 3× | “three X” | Winning AI applications are growing three times faster than predecessor SaaS startups | David George | Dec 15, 2025 | Supported |
| 2% | “two percent” | Product decisions are permanent because deprecating features wastes expensive engineering time | Raz Herzberg | Dec 12, 2025 | — |
| 4× | “four X” | Wiz's Wizard of Oz-themed RSA booth generated 4x more leads | Raz Herzberg | Dec 12, 2025 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Wiz's marketing team stopped growing headcount because AI 50x'd designer output | Raz Herzberg | Dec 12, 2025 | Open |
| 50× | “50 X” | Wiz's marketing team stopped growing headcount because AI 50x'd designer output | Raz Herzberg | Dec 12, 2025 | Open |
| $15B | “fifteen billion dollars” | O'Driscoll: SpaceX Valued Over 40x Run Rate at $15B Revenue | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 11, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | O'Driscoll: SpaceX Valued Over 40x Run Rate at $15B Revenue | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 11, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 40× | “40 times” | O'Driscoll: SpaceX Valued Over 40x Run Rate at $15B Revenue | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 11, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2.9T | “2.9 trillion” | O'Driscoll: Total private venture fair market value is roughly $2.9 trillion | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | Lemkin: Anthropic will go public at a $500 billion valuation | Jason Lemkin | Dec 11, 2025 | Open |
| 20× | “20 X” | Lemkin: Anthropic will go public at a $500 billion valuation | Jason Lemkin | Dec 11, 2025 | Open |
| 70% | “70%” | O'Driscoll: Meta and Google control 70% of all global advertising | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 11, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 2.2B | “2.2 billion” | Lemkin: Tiger Global made only 9 deals in 2024 versus over 100 in 2021 | Jason Lemkin | Dec 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | O'Driscoll: With a 20% GP commit and 20% carry, half of 2x gains come from principal | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 11, 2025 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Lemkin: The average growth fund GP commitment is around 1% | Jason Lemkin | Dec 11, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 5B | “five billion” | Stebbings: Multi-Billion Mega Seed Rounds Include Undisclosed Cheaper Tranches | Harry Stebbings | Dec 11, 2025 | Open |
| 2B | “two billion” | O'Driscoll: No Legal Software Company Has Ever Been Worth Over $2 Billion | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 11, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 10T | “10 trillion” | Lemkin: VCs Must Bet on Software Companies Tripling ARR to $150M | Jason Lemkin | Dec 11, 2025 | — |
| 170% | “170%” | Lemkin: VCs Must Bet on Software Companies Tripling ARR to $150M | Jason Lemkin | Dec 11, 2025 | — |
| 98% | “98%” | Lemkin: VCs Must Bet on Software Companies Tripling ARR to $150M | Jason Lemkin | Dec 11, 2025 | — |
| 85% | “85%” | O'Driscoll: Historical SaaS growth decay rate averaged 85% YoY | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 11, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | O'Driscoll: Startups will decouple engineering teams from China over regulatory risk | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 11, 2025 | Open |
| 1B | “one billion” | Stebbings: Kalshi announced a $1B raise at an $11B valuation | Harry Stebbings | Dec 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 12B | “an eleven billion” | Stebbings: Kalshi announced a $1B raise at an $11B valuation | Harry Stebbings | Dec 8, 2025 | Supported |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Stebbings: Bending Spoons acquired Vimeo for $1 billion | Harry Stebbings | Dec 5, 2025 | Supported |
| $500M | “five hundred million dollars” | Stebbings: Bending Spoons acquired Eventbrite for $500 million | Harry Stebbings | Dec 5, 2025 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Simionato: Mature software products should focus on retaining existing users | Federico Simionato | Dec 5, 2025 | — |
| $7M | “seven million dollars” | Bending Spoons spent up to $7M licensing games for failed platform Playond | Federico Simionato | Dec 5, 2025 | — |
| 2M | “two million” | Bending Spoons' HQ Trivia clone reached 2 million registered users in Italy | Federico Simionato | Dec 5, 2025 | Supported |
| 60M | “sixty million” | Bending Spoons' HQ Trivia clone reached 2 million registered users in Italy | Federico Simionato | Dec 5, 2025 | Supported |
| 71B | “a seventy billion” | O'Driscoll: A VC's Best Marketing Is Staying Close to Top Winners | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 4, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | O'Driscoll: Palantir Is the Only Public Software Company Growing Over 30% | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 4, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 50% | “50%” | O'Driscoll: Only 1 in 10 Companies Re-Accelerate Growth for Two Years | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 4, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | O'Driscoll: Low-Growth Public SaaS Boards Are Forced to Accept Buyouts | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 4, 2025 | — |
| 20× | “20 X” | Lemkin: Combining Legacy SaaS With AI Startups Fails to Yield 15x Valuations | Jason Lemkin | Dec 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 15× | “15 X” | Lemkin: Combining Legacy SaaS With AI Startups Fails to Yield 15x Valuations | Jason Lemkin | Dec 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 16% | “16%” | Lemkin: Average Public SaaS Growth Has Dropped to Historical Low of 16% | Jason Lemkin | Dec 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 2.8× | “2.8 times” | Lemkin: HubSpot is 2.8x More Revenue-Efficient Than in 2021 | Jason Lemkin | Dec 4, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 2× | “two times” | Lemkin: HubSpot is 2.8x More Revenue-Efficient Than in 2021 | Jason Lemkin | Dec 4, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Lemkin: Reaching $100M ARR in 10 Months Requires AI and Inbound | Jason Lemkin | Dec 4, 2025 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Lemkin: Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley Offer the World's Worst Products | Jason Lemkin | Dec 4, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | O'Driscoll: 40% of Q1 First-Time Unicorns Already Raised Follow-On Rounds | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 4, 2025 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Lemkin: AI Wealth Management Startups Can Reach $50B Valuations | Jason Lemkin | Dec 4, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | O'Driscoll: Invest in Front-End Apps Over Infrastructure in Risky Categories | Rory O'Driscoll | Dec 4, 2025 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Siddharth: Universal AI assistants require trillion-parameter models | Jonathan Siddharth | Dec 1, 2025 | — |
| 1M | “A million” | Siddharth: AGI will allow non-technical founders to launch startups cheaply | Jonathan Siddharth | Dec 1, 2025 | — |
| 39% | “39%” | Siddharth: 39% of Nvidia's revenue comes from just two clients | Jonathan Siddharth | Dec 1, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Siddharth: 39% of Nvidia's revenue comes from just two clients | Jonathan Siddharth | Dec 1, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2.5M | “a half a million” | McMahon: Six months without meeting the economic buyer means no deal | John McMahon | Nov 28, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Rory O'Driscoll: Four to five customers generate 70-80% of Nvidia's revenue | Rory O'Driscoll | Nov 27, 2025 | Open |
| 90B | “ninety billion” | Rory O'Driscoll: Google is spending $90 billion on CapEx this year | Rory O'Driscoll | Nov 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Rory O'Driscoll: Microsoft compute spending will grow 30% next year | Rory O'Driscoll | Nov 27, 2025 | Held up |
| 23% | “23%” | Rory O'Driscoll: LLM-powered support tools double call resolution rates to 60% | Rory O’Driscoll | Nov 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Rory O'Driscoll: LLM-powered support tools double call resolution rates to 60% | Rory O’Driscoll | Nov 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Rory O'Driscoll: Sierra must target $200B labor market to justify $10B valuation | Rory O’Driscoll | Nov 27, 2025 | — |
| 200B | “two hundred billion” | Rory O'Driscoll: Sierra must target $200B labor market to justify $10B valuation | Rory O’Driscoll | Nov 27, 2025 | — |
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