TVPI

11 statements across 10 episodes · 3 bullish · 7 bearish · 8 people on the record · first statement Aug 25, 2017 by Jonathan Abrams · across every show →

Everything said about TVPI, oldest first

Aug 25, 2017 bearish
Assertion Supported
Abrams: Most venture capital funds deliver mediocre returns under 2x TVPI
“The reality is most funds have pretty mediocre performance between one and two TVPI. So most investors are not doing that great.”
Jonathan Abrams Aug 25, 2017 ▶ 8:19 20VC: Nuzzel's Jonathan Abrams on Why The Top VCs Do Not Have A PlayBook For Startup Success, Why Most Boards Are Not Successful & Why He Is Bored Of Hearing "I Fell Into VC"
Jan 11, 2023 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stebbings: LPs now prioritize DPI returned cash over paper markups
“With regards to track record, in the past, TVPI or paper markups, they were enough. Now, there is a much greater focus on DPI, which is returned capital to investors.”
Harry Stebbings Jan 11, 2023 ▶ 8:25 20VC: The Memo: How to Raise a Venture Capital Fund (Part I) | The Core Lessons from Raising $400M Over The Last Four Years| The Biggest Mistakes VCs Make When Fundraising | How To Find and Build Relationships with New LPs
Mar 4, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Somerville: DPI will become crucial as LPs struggle to evaluate true TVPI
“Showing DPI is going to become more and more important. Mostly because LPs will struggle to evaluate what true TVPI is”
Hunter Somerville Mar 4, 2023 ▶ 9:35 Hunter Somerville: Biggest Mistake LPs Make; Deep Dive into Secondary Markets | 20VC #985 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 4, 2023 negative
Insight
Somerville: Buying secondaries off current TVPI risks paying for overinflated valuations
“You could argue in some scenarios, if you're buying off of current TVPI, it's already overinflated, and in order to actually get to that TVPI at the end of the day, it might not make sense from a duration standpoint to even consider that.”
Hunter Somerville Mar 4, 2023 ▶ 17:30 Hunter Somerville: Biggest Mistake LPs Make; Deep Dive into Secondary Markets | 20VC #985 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 20, 2023 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2028
Paley: TVPI vs DPI disconnect will be among largest in VC history
“I would bet the last few years will be one of the biggest disconnects between TVPI and DPI for venture funds in venture history.”
Eric Paley Sep 20, 2023 ▶ 1:14:04 Is the VC Model Broken? Jason Lemkin, Mike Maples, Eric Paley & Harry Stebbings Debate | E1062 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 18, 2023 bearish
Prediction Held up
Clarkson: Absolute TVPI-to-DPI gap is likely largest since dot-com crash
“The only other time that would be equivalent would be about 99 and 2000, and I don't know if there is the volume of funds in the market then, so, and absolute numbers, he's probably right.”
Beezer Clarkson Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 33:00 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 20, 2023 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2028
Gap Between TVPI and DPI Will Be Largest in Venture History
“The chasm between TVPI and DPI will be the biggest in venture history.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 20, 2023 ▶ 10:50 20VC: NEW FORMAT: Harry Stebbings on Why Seed Pricing is as High as Ever, Why Series A is the Best Place to Invest Today, Why Growth Founders Need to Reshape Expectations, Why M&A Windows Remain Shut and When Will IPO Windows Crack Open
Jun 3, 2024 negative
Opinion
Lemkin: TVPI Incentivizes Artificial Unicorn Extensions
“So that's why it is TVPI is corrupting for this because you wouldn't, If you didn't value companies like this, no one would do endless extensions on unicorn rounds to prop up valuation. That's bad. That's bad.”
Jason Lemkin Jun 3, 2024 ▶ 46:39 Jason Lemkin: PluralSight S*** the Bed & The Next IPO Candidates | E1160 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 5, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
O'Driscoll: Early TVPI at 3-4 years correlates with final venture fund returns
“I'm willing to bet if you got some kind of machine learning algorithm and looked at all the funds that for three or four years in had a TVPI of two X and all the funds that four years in had a TVPI of .8 X and then correlated that to the ultimate outcomes, I b…”
Rory O'Driscoll Jun 5, 2025 ▶ 6:24 Is DPI The Only Thing That Matters? with Sam Lessin, Jason Lemkin & Rory O’Driscoll · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 16, 2025 negative
Opinion
TVPI and MOIC are fake venture performance numbers
“I mean, my belief is that TVPI and MOIC are not the stats that people should be focused on, and they are. I don't, I think they're fake numbers.”
Larry Aschebrook Jun 16, 2025 ▶ 1:44:47 Larry Aschebrook, Founder & MP @GSquared: How We Lost Money on Uber and Made Millions on Lyft · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 7, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Stebbings: LPs Have Reverted to Prioritizing Paper TVPI Over Real Returns
“I speak to a lot of LPs now, and do you know what, honestly, we can say what we want. They've gone back to wanting TVPI. They've gone back to wanting big numbers. And yes, they want DPI, of course, they always want DPI. But they are still very impressed by TVP…”
Harry Stebbings Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 54:55 The AI Boom Will Create Enormous Roadkill: Who Wins & Loses? | David Frankel
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