Prediction Held up AI assessment confidence: 95% certainty 3/5 debate potential 3/5

Clarkson: Absolute TVPI-to-DPI gap is likely largest since dot-com crash

Beezer Clarkson · Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings · Oct 18, 2023 · at 33:00

Beezer Clarkson, partner at Sapphire Partners, evaluates Eric Paley's assertion that the VC market is facing the largest disparity between paper valuations (TVPI) and returned cash (DPI) in history.

0:00 / 0:09exact quote · 9.6s
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“The only other time that would be equivalent would be about 99 and 2000, and I don't know if there is the volume of funds in the market then, so, and absolute numbers, he's probably right.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

More from Beezer Clarkson

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Clarkson: LPs are shifting to accept partial secondary sales of winners
“And I've heard LPs that used to say, hold on to all your winners all the time are now saying, well, I meant that. But in context, there are times when it could be useful.”
Beezer Clarkson Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 15:37 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Clarkson: LPs internally discount GP fund valuations by 20% to 25%
“Well, I know a lot of LPs that will ask their managers, and then go back home and take another 20 to 25% off the top, because there's things that nobody knows.”
Beezer Clarkson Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 33:37 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Clarkson: Auditors urged venture GPs to coordinate valuations in late 2022
“Well, and then I heard stories, and this is a story, so put it under the rumor and hearsay bucket, but that last year, the end of twenty-twenty-two, when the auditors were getting involved, they were telling GPs to talk to each other to try to figure out how t…”
Beezer Clarkson Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 35:00 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
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“If you have a fund that's, I don't know, many billions, you're going to have a number of GPs that are making significant dollars, assuming it's spent Not spent on platform and other things. But if you can make that kind of money without even returning the fund…”
Beezer Clarkson Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 38:37 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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Clarkson: The list of elite VC managers with unconditional LP backing is shrinking
“There are always going to be some managers that have that kind of LP pull that people will just keep working with. But I think that list is getting smaller, and I think the names are switching around.”
Beezer Clarkson Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 48:47 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Clarkson: Growth equity mindset in early-stage funds fails long-term
“It's so clear in early stage, if you're not taking a big swing for the fence, which doesn't mean saying taking like ridiculous, I haven't thought about it risks, right? But you just have a lot of people that think that they can do sort of smaller investments, …”
Beezer Clarkson Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 52:14 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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