S&P 500

part of S&P

13 statements across 12 episodes · 4 bullish · 7 bearish · 12 people on the record · first statement Oct 17, 2016 by Howard Lindzon · said 97 times in 63 episodes since 2016 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Harry Stebbings (18), Rory O'Driscoll (7), Howard Lindzon (6), Jason Lemkin (4), Michael Eisenberg (3), Julia Hoggett (3), David Cahn (3), Zachary Bookman (2)

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0102020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
001.51032020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 24 mentions in 17 episodes 1 per episode
2025 32 mentions in 17 episodes 2 per episode
2024 16 mentions in 11 episodes 1 per episode
2023 4 mentions in 4 episodes 1 per episode
2022 4 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode
2021 3 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode
2019 1 mention in 1 episode
2018 1 mention in 1 episode
2017 3 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode
2016 9 mentions in 3 episodes 3 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about S&P 500, oldest first

Oct 17, 2016 bearish
Insight
Lindzon: Public market investors only need around 12 core brand stocks
“Where startups versus the stock market differ is that in the stock market, I don't think you need 500 stocks, the S&P 500. I think an average person can own 12 companies. I call them eight to 80 brands that you use from eight years old to 80 years old have a d…”
Howard Lindzon Oct 17, 2016 ▶ 9:04 20VC: Investing Lessons From Fred Wilson & Brad Feld and Why Fundraising Is An Art & Not Everyone Can Be An Artist with Howard Lindzon Founder @ Stocktwits & Managing Partner @ Social Leverage
Jul 22, 2021 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Immelt: Industrial and financial S&P 500 share fell from 40% to 15%
“In the year 2000, industrials and financial services, let's say between those two, it was 40% of the S&P 500 value. Now it's 15%, you know.”
Jeff Immelt Jul 22, 2021 ▶ 10:55 20VC: Jeff Immelt on Leadership Lessons from 16 Years as CEO @ GE, Incumbent Innovation; Why Some Have Failed and Other Succeeded, When Boards Have A Positive vs Negative Impact on a Company & The One Fear Startup Founders Are Allowed To Have
Feb 6, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Bravo: Profitable software trades at 25x forward P/E versus S&P's 16.5x
“If you look at the public market as a benchmark for the world, and you take an index of the profitable software companies, those companies that have margins in excess of 20%, and you put them all together, on average, They trade for around a 25 forward PE, whi…”
Orlando Bravo Feb 6, 2023 ▶ 14:41 Orlando Bravo: Raising Kids as a Billionaire; VC vs PE; Is Warren Buffet Wrong? | 20VC #974 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 11, 2024 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2029
McCabe: Most VC AI investments will underperform the S&P 500
“Most VC money is going to support a lot of excitement around AI and actually not do better than the S&P 500.”
Eoghan McCabe Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 8:10 Eoghan McCabe, CEO @Intercom: Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control | E1213 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 11, 2024 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Grimm: Northrop Grumman stock returned over 20% annually for 15 years
“Northrop Grumman over the last 15 years has had a total compounded annual shareholder return of just over 20%. Lockheed and Boeing are just behind them at about 15%. The S&P 500 over the exact same time period has an 11.6% total compounded annual return.”
Matt Grimm Nov 11, 2024 ▶ 26:52 Matt Grimm, Co-Founder @Anduril: How a Trump Administration Changes the Defence Industry | E1224 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 22, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Sivulka: All AI companies and S&P 500 stocks are massively undervalued
“I genuinely believe all AI companies and the S&P 500 are all undervalued, which is a very hot take. But again, if we're about to create a hundred trillion dollars of value, I think this is a real tangible Technological shift. It's a massive unlock on the order…”
George Sivulka Jan 22, 2025 ▶ 47:19 George Sivulka, Co-Founder & CEO @Hebbia: The Future of Foundation Models | E1250 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 28, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Hoggett: FTSE 100 daily free-float turnover exceeds S&P 500 and NASDAQ
“The percentage of the company's free float that is turning over in a given day is higher on the FTSE 100 than it is on the S&P 500 or the NASDAQ.”
Julia Hoggett Mar 28, 2025 ▶ 15:34 Julia Hoggett, CEO @ LSEG plc: The Myths and the Reality of The London Stock Exchange · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 30, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Freise Allocates 30% of His 401(k) to Private Equity
“I do, and I allocate it every year. I'm just a long-term investor, so there's no point in checking it every quarter, but if I check it every five years, and I reallocate it to the same allocation, by the way, I allocate, I think, 30% to my industry, and the re…”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 56:29 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 7, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Galloway: Seven Companies Represent 34% of the S&P 500
“34% of the S&P is represented by seven companies, and 50% of the equity value of the world, and 70% of the enterprise value, if included the debt, is wrapped up in the U.S. Economy, which has seven companies, and if any of those seven companies sneeze, the who…”
Scott Galloway Jul 7, 2025 ▶ 1:06 Scott Galloway on Billionaire Happiness, Money & Self-Worth | Why We Should Drink More & Not WFH · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 27, 2025 neutral
Assertion Open · timeframe Oct 2025
David Cahn: Seven Tech Companies Account for 40% of S&P 500
“We're living in an anomalous monopoly era. And it's funny because there's so many comparisons to industrial revolution, and in some ways we're living in this new gilded age. And we have these seven companies, and they represent 40% of the S&P 500, which is jus…”
David Cahn Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 16:26 Sequoia Partner, David Cahn on Who Wins in AI, Defence & The New $0–$100M Playbook · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 27, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cahn: Any AI bubble unwind will hit household stock portfolios, not banks
“What I think is going to be interesting if to the extent that the bubble unwinds at some point, it's going to be an equity unwind. And what that looks like is 40% of the S&P 500 is basically a bet on AI. And so to the extent that the bet unwinds, stock prices …”
David Cahn Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 28:19 Sequoia Partner, David Cahn on Who Wins in AI, Defence & The New $0–$100M Playbook · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 2, 2026 bearish
Assertion Partly supported
Lemkin: Durable public software stocks trade lower than S&P 500
“The durable software stuff is trading lower than the S and P 500.”
Jason Lemkin Apr 2, 2026 ▶ 49:48 OpenAI Kills Sora & Hits $100M ARR on Ads | Oura Going Public & Whoop Raises at $10BN · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 11, 2026 bearish
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: SaaS stocks trade at historic discount to S&P 500
“SAS now trades at a discount to the S&P 500 for the first time in history.”
Harry Stebbings Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 1:09:04 SpaceX Launches Largest Ever IPO | OpenAI Files to Go Public | Uber Cuts 23% of HR · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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