The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 643 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Harari: Taiwan built social algorithms that reward cross-group consensus over outrage
“Like you had these models from Taiwan, that they actually built it and it worked well, that you can take the same basic premises of social media and reverse them. You can have the algorithm rewarding content, like the algorithm, first of all, in this Taiwan sy…”
Harari: Putin and Xi were caught on a hot mic discussing immortality
“A couple of months ago, they caught Putin and Xi in Beijing talking privately when they thought that nobody was listening and the microphones were on. And this was amazing, because what were Putin and Xi talking about in private? They didn't talk about Ukraine…”
Harari: 21st century governments spent more on healthcare than military
“For the first time in history, the average health care budget was around 10%. First time in history, on average, all over the world, governments spent more on healthcare than on the military.”
Dr. Jayanthi: Visual naked-eye screening for oral cancer is only 60% accurate
“The detection of oral cancer currently is just visual screen, naked eyes. There's no tool, there's no devices, you are just supposed to look with naked eyes and detect microscopic changes. That is, that's why the accuracy rate is almost as good as a flip of a …”
Al Olama: UAE government ministers are among the highest paid globally
“So, I think the UAE government, in terms of ministerial positions, is amongst the highest in terms of monthly pay in the world. So I think Singapore is higher, a few other countries are maybe higher, but we get paid quite well”
Al Olama: Sheikh Mohammed uses secret shoppers to detect government inefficiency
“Sheikh Mohammed has what he called secret choppers. So these are people that go across town. They look like me. They might look like you, who raise reports to him, who tell him, for example, that they've witnessed corruption here or inefficiency there, or they…”
Dalio: US stock wealth-to-money ratio matches 1929 and 2000 bubble peaks
“What's the money ratio right now in the United States is about eight and a half to one, and so on, and when you look at it and then also then there's what it's in. The stock market is, is right now about three to one, and that's very high. If you were to go ba…”
Musk: US debt interest payments exceed the entire military budget
“The interest payments on the debt exceed the entire military budget of the United States.”
Modi: 80% of First-Time Beauty Purchases Happen in Offline Stores
“Consumers today still buy 80% of beauty for the first time in a store, in an offline environment, because the emotional touch, feel factor is still so huge in beauty”
Modi: Lakme Leads Indian Color Cosmetics Market Over Maybelline and MAC
“It is still a Lakme and a Maybelline that dominates. So Lakme is still sitting on the top of the color cosmetics charts. There's Lakme, Maybelline and MAC.”
Kamath: Premium beauty will grow significantly faster than mass segment
“Tomorrow we will care a lot more for how we look as a means of getting validation. So anything that aids that will likely grow, both in the mass and the premium segment, I think the affluent will probably adapt faster. So the premium will go significantly fast…”
Sharma: China laid off 90 million state enterprise workers in 1990s
“In the Nineties. This is one thing which I find very fascinating. China fired ninety million people from its state-owned enterprises.”
Sharma: Incumbent US White House party lost three consecutive elections for first time in 200 years
“This is the first time in America's history that the, at least in the last 200 years that I know of, that the incumbent party in the White House lost three times in a row.”
Sharma: Only five or six countries globally levy an inheritance tax
“I think five or six countries in the entire world where inheritance tax still exists.”
Sharma: China and Singapore had far more economic freedom than India in the 1980s
“From an economic standpoint, China and Singapore, especially then, Were far more, ah, free than India.”
Kamath: India taxes short-selling profits at 40% versus 10% for long positions
“But if you're short and you're right, you pay 40% tax. If you're long and you're right, you pay 10%.”
Sharma: India's net foreign direct investment has never sustainably exceeded 1%
“Because if you look at the East Asian countries, when they were doing well, since we've spoken so much about East Asia today as an example, they were attracting FDI of three to four percent of GDP. We have never really broken much above one percent of GDP, the…”
Sharma: US net immigration jumped to 2-3 million annually post-pandemic
“Then what happened was that after the pandemic, and because the Biden administration was supposed to really lose towards immigration, that number jumped to two or three million people a year of people coming in.”
Sharma: US net immigration likely to fall below 500,000 this year
“This year, I'm told that number is likely to drop to less than half a million.”
Sharma: Reserve currency status cuts US borrowing costs by 50-100 bps
“Some estimates suggest somewhere between 50 to hundred basis points, half a percent to one percent of annual borrowing costs are possibly lower. Because of the fact that America has the world's reserve currency.”
Sharma: US annual home construction matches 1950s levels despite 50% population growth
“The number of new homes that America builds today is the same as a year, is the same as it was in the 19 fifties and sixties. Even though the population is 50% higher.”
Sharma: India's Tax-to-GDP Ratio Is High for Its Per Capita Income
“Because for our per capita income level at 3000 dollars or so, our tax to GDP ratio is pretty high.”
Kamath: Unprofitable AI startups generating $50M in revenue are valued at $30B
“Like, there are companies which are earning fifty million, hundred million dollars of revenue, losing a lot of money, but they're worth 10,000,000,020 1,000,000,030 billion.”
Sharma: US hedge fund startup compliance costs increased 10x over twenty years
“If you set up a hedge fund today in America, the cost of doing that has gone up 10 X. Over the last 20 years. The legal costs, the compliance costs, administrative costs. So then the threshold for you to break even has become much higher.”
Bonatsos: 8% to 10% of Men on Dating Apps Get 80% of Dates
“So something like eight to 10% of the guys get 80% of the dates.”
Khosrowshahi: 70% of Uber drivers work under 20 hours weekly
“70% of our drivers and couriers are working less than 20 hours a week.”
Arora: Cyberattack took down Ukraine's logistics systems at war's onset
“And the first thing that happened in the Russia-Ukraine conflict was the entire logistics systems of Ukraine was taken down by hackers because that was the way they could sort of destabilize and immobilize the army of Ukraine. It wasn't a bomb that landed. It …”
Arora: Quantum computing will break every modern encryption key
“When quantum comes about, it'll break every key, which is true. It will break every key that is there today.”
F1's US Media Rights Jumped 10x After Netflix's Drive to Survive
“When that contract came up because of all the brand building I did for Formula One, that fee went up 10 times.”
Anucheth: AI signals cut Bengaluru junction wait times by 17-22%
“This is implemented in 165 junctions of Bangalore City. We have seen a tremendous reduction in the waiting time. Maybe up 17 to 22%, which is perceptible. Secondly, from operational point of view, ah, the amount of men deployed for each junction has reduced. A…”
Anucheth: Bengaluru has India's highest vehicular density at 872 per thousand
“Now, Bangalore has the highest number of vehicles per thousand. It's 872 per thousand population.”
Anucheth: Baiyappanahalli-Whitefield Metro connection reduced peak traffic by 17%
“When the biopinality line got connected to the wild field line, right? Automatically peak our traffic reduced by 17%.”
Sharma: Micromax's current manufacturing revenue exceeds its peak smartphone brand revenue
“Today, our manufacturing is bigger than, you know, the revenue is way more bigger than what we used to do in our brand, which probably not most of the people will know. But we are doing way more better than what we used to do earlier.”
Sharma: Micromax Surpassed 25% Market Share in India at Peak
“So when we were doing a three million at that time, our market share was around 20 five percent plus plus.”
Luxon: New Zealand offers a three-year residency pathway for NZ$5M
“That's why we've just launched actually what we call the active investor visa. You know, if you want to put five million dollars New Zealand into investment in New Zealand there's a pathway to residency in three years.”
Energize Has Three Clinical Studies and CDSCO Approval for Vagus Nerve Wearable
“And we've got three clinical studies under our belt, one clinical trial where CDSU approved, we're filing for an FDA license.”
Kamath: Zara and H&M sales growth in India is flatlining
“Like a Zara in India, which was growing at 30, 40% or a H&M a year ago, is now either not growing or flatlining.”
JC: No proof NAD precursor supplements reach the mitochondria
“But if you're talking about taking supplements that are working at a mitochondrial level, it doesn't have any proof. It doesn't have any validation. For example, if we talk about NAD precursors, Today, we don't know if those precursors are actually getting abs…”
Bryan Johnson: Breathing Mumbai air equals smoking over 10 cigarettes daily
“In this air quality here in Mumbai, it's equal to smoking over 10 cigarettes a day. If you're out in the, every day, like the entire city is smoking, you know, 10 plus cigarettes a day, breathing this air, right?”
Chouksey: Blood tests for magnesium are misleading due to bone mineral leaching
“A lot of people rely on blood tests for magnesium, which is not the right way. You should rely on you know, DEXA for that. So, because over a period of time, body's homeostasis would leach out magnesium and other minerals from your bones and still maintain you…”
Chouksey: Alcohol contains DNA-damaging formaldehyde and causes cellular harm
“Alcohol has formaldehyde. Pomaldehyde has the potential to damage your DNA. So at a cellular level, it is damaging.”
JC: Whoop samples heart rate more frequently and accurately than Apple Watch
“For example, again, you have Apple watch, for instance, they don't sample your heart rate as frequently as let's say a whoop. So in terms of sampling whoop has the highest sampling rate and that's why it's most accurate.”
Chouksey: Oral collagen supplements do not increase collagen production
“So you taking collagen supplementation is not going to in any way, meaningfully increase the production of collagen.”
Modi: Indian government eliminated around 40,000 regulatory compliances
“اس لئے ہم نے کیا کیا قریب چالیس ہزار کمپلائنسز ہم نے نکال دی ہے”
The computing infrastructure required for AI inference vastly exceeds training
“It's a lot of computing infrastructure. It's actually much bigger than the infrastructure for learning.”
LLM inference costs dropped 100x in two years, far outpacing Moore's law
“I think the cost of inference for LLM has gone down by a factor of a hundred in two years. I mean, it's just, it's amazing, right? It's way faster than Moore's law.”
Virwani: Mercedes builds its complete car interactive system in India
“Mercedes as an example, the entire unit, the entire interactive system in every Mercedes car gets built. You know, out of India.”
Shankar: India Urban Population to Reach 600M by 2030 Amid Supply Deficit
“Right now, urban cities are at 35% urbanized. Like, 35% of the population lives in urban cities, which is about four hundred and eighty million people. This is expected to go up to 40% by some 20, 30 or so, which is 600, which is, sorry, yeah, about six hundre…”