why aren't all 91 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Contradicted
CMS generally bars the use of psychotropics in US long-term care
“Today these psychotropics as a class of medications are not permitted for use in long-term care facilities here in the U S not permitted by the centers for Medicare and Medicaid services under most circumstances.”
Assertion Contradicted
Tulla: Germany legally bans bankrupt founders from starting new companies
“If you build a company in Germany, and the company goes under and goes bankrupt, you are banned of starting a new company within a certain timeline.”
Assertion Contradicted
Schurig: 79% of Voluntary Turnover Stems from Lack of Appreciation or Bad Managers
“CareerBuilder had a study showing that 79% of voluntary turnovers cited lack of employee appreciation as a number one reason or the immediate hiring manager.”
Assertion Contradicted
Schurig: 80% of New Recruiters Fail Within Their First Year
“80% of people that go into the industry don't make it a year, and then the statistics for recruitment firms that don't make it within a businesses is even, you know, seeing a higher failure rate.”
Assertion Contradicted
Hazlett: More people play pro football than serve as Fortune 1000 officers
“There are more people playing professional football than there are Fortune 1000 officers.”
Assertion Contradicted
Weisbrot: Wi-Fi light bulbs can map room interiors in real time
“Light bulbs enabled with Wi-Fi can essentially use light to create an image of the room in real time that can be recorded and sent somewhere else. You can essentially, without being inside of a room, see what's going on in that room from a distance using Wi-Fi…”
Assertion Contradicted
McGarry: Gen Z and Gen Alpha spend 8-9 hours daily on virtual platforms
“We know Gen Z and Gen Alpha are spending 8:09 hours a day with their friends on all these different platforms”
Assertion Contradicted
Shafran: Texas Medical Technology's $50M Order Converted to $380M
“They got an order for the first fifty million dollar, which converted later on to 380, because they saw that we did what we promised.”
Assertion Contradicted
Litanishvili: Europe Will Have 8.6 Million Earning Over $5M by 2025
“According to the well fix in 2025th, I think it's gonna be 8.6 million people in Europe who earns more than five million dollars per year.”
Assertion Contradicted
Weisbrot: Study Found ASX Female-Led Companies Generated 50% More Profit
“There was a study done looking at public companies on the Australian stock exchange where female led companies, female CEOs generated 50% more profit than their male counterparts.”
Assertion Contradicted
Ben Nun: Major soda makers generate carbonation by burning fossil fuels
“Almost All the soda makers, I'm not talking about Perrier, these guys, all the other companies, I won't name even one, you know them, you've drink their soda. They are making this CO two by burning intentionally fuels.”
Assertion Contradicted
Recarte: Fewer than 5% of US lawyers actually use a CRM
“Actually less than five percent of lawyers in the States actually use a CRM, which is an interested data point.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Stephen Keery predicts the Biden administration will restrict 1031 real estate exchanges.
“One thing they are talking about changing, and I think this government will change it, Is a thing called a 10 31 exchange and a 10 31 exchange basically means that you can sell a property and you can defer the capital gain”
Assertion Contradicted
SEC Rule Expands Accredited Investor Status to Industry Risk Experts
“So new administrative rule by the Securities Exchange Commission. If you are working in a space where it is you have a fundamental understanding of the risk that you're taking on, you can consider yourself an accredited investor. Those floodgates have opened.”
Assertion Contradicted
Cien: Non-resident founders in France need local directors with veto rights
“If you're not located in France you would have to have a sort of a local director who would have a lot of veto rights or on how to manage your company, which comes with risks.”
Assertion Contradicted
Cien: France offers annual subsidies covering 50% of R&D spending
“We would take the total amount of money that has been spent on research and development, and the government would give you 50% more under the form of a yearly subsidy, which is huge.”
Assertion Contradicted
Grazer: Several Craig Venter genome patents were ultimately ruled invalid
“Indeed a number of the patents that Craig Venter got were finally held not to be valid”
Assertion Contradicted
Grazer: Facebook had to buy patents before its IPO at bankers' insistence
“Facebook actually had to buy more patents before its IPO, because the investment bankers handling the IPO said, you don't have enough patents. This will make it hard for us to do the IPO because patent pending represents potential.”
Assertion Contradicted
Rankin: Traditional banking cannot settle million-dollar international transfers for three dollars
“I only paid three dollars to send a million dollars to another country, and you cannot do that with the current financial system. It's just not possible.”
Assertion Contradicted
Garcia-Cotte: Cypheme Raised the Largest French Angel Round at That Time
“Then everybody turned to yes, and then we made the biggest angel round in France at that time.”
Assertion Contradicted
McGregor: US operates private 5G federal network solely for government
“So the US has a five G federal network. That's only for the US government, right? It's not a public spectrum. So those phones issued, you know, Hey, I work for the government and my phone company is the government. There's no other phone companies, their netwo…”
Assertion Contradicted
Millar: Simon Sinek says blank listening expressions are an ADHD trait
“Simon Sinek said it was a ADHD trait that he'd been told about, and he now works deliberately hard to be more animated.”
Assertion Contradicted
King: IBM Watson boosted cupcake sales 10% by correlating frosting to weather
“IBM's Watson, they were doing this thing where they were predicting what type of frosting on cupcakes would sell based on the weather. And they found out hot days, vanilla, Cold days. Chocolate. And since IBM owns the weather network, They were able to do that…”
Assertion Contradicted
Booth: U.S. and British Royal Air Force use AINDT training
“Creating deeper relationships with the air force and, you know the Royal air force of England orders from us”
Assertion Contradicted
Sean Weisbrot: Portugal's cost of living tripled between 2019 and 2024
“The cost of living has risen here. It has multiplied in the last five years, like two or three times.”
Assertion Contradicted
Hazlett helped Sheldon Adelson sell Comdex for $968 million
“He owned Comdex. We helped him sell Comdex for nine hundred and sixty eight million, and he got nine hundred and sixty eight million, and I got a watch.”
Assertion Contradicted
Druckman: Morning Sun Exposure Fails to Shift Circadian Rhythms Past Dawn
“Get outside and get natural light in your eyes, and it has to be in the morning. It will not work if it's too far away from dawn because you get into something. It's a real thing called the circadian dead zone. It sounds to me like a Star Trek thing, but it's …”
Assertion Contradicted
Weisbrot: Only 2% of people in China actually pay taxes
“I believe only two percent of Chinese actually pay taxes.”
Assertion Contradicted
Shafran: Texas Medical Technology Sold Over $10M in PPE in Early 2020
“On April, we sold about four million dollars. On May, we sold about six million dollars. The major deal with it was 11 and a half million dollars for the VA. It was July, twenty-twenty.”
Assertion Contradicted
Ben Nun: Maintaining a public listing costs at least $250,000 annually
“If you're going to be public, you'll start to spend at least a quarter of a million of a dollar a year only to be public.”
Assertion Contradicted
Ben Nun: California's 2030 goal is to reach 50% solar energy
“The 2030 goal of California is reaching 50% solar.”
Assertion Contradicted
Mishra left a top-30 executive position at Cisco to launch Prezent.ai
“I was fortunate to be one of the top, you know, 30 people in Cisco, which is a company of 70,000 people, leave that to pursue this.”
Assertion Contradicted
Weisbrot: Only 100K to 150K Podcasts Surpassed 17 Episodes Pre-Pandemic
“Before the pandemic, there were over a million podcasts that had ever been launched, but of which only a hundred or a 150,000 of them passed that 17 episode mark.”
Assertion Contradicted
American Airlines Accidentally Translated a 1980s Ad Campaign as 'Fly Naked'
“American Airlines from the eighties, and they were translating and localizing one of their campaigns from the U.S. To Mexico when they were starting to fly to Mexico more often. They were coming up with the new business sets. There was a very luxurious, and th…”
Assertion Contradicted
Levine: My company provided all access control for the original World Trade Center
“So we were doing this for places like the World Trade Center, the old one, original one, obviously. We did all of their access control and some of their cameras.”
Assertion Contradicted
Toles: Almost every corporation now uses multiple share classes with voting restricted to Class A
“Nowadays, almost every corporation has multiple classes of shares, and usually A class shares vote, and no other classes vote.”
Assertion Contradicted
Grazer: Patents are the only legal monopoly outside regulated utilities
“Patents are the only legally permitted monopoly right outside of, say, highly regulated utilities.”
Assertion Contradicted
Grazer: Specialized Banks Issue Tech Loans Backed by Patents
“There are even special banks set up that do nothing but give loans to high tech companies on the basis of their patents.”
Assertion Contradicted
Cataldo: Bottled water plants cost $5M to $10M on average
“On average, the plant alone Cost around like five to ten million dollars and then everything else goes up from there.”
Assertion Contradicted
Weisbrot: Petronas accounts for 40% to 50% of Malaysia's GDP
“And so about 40 or 50% of the GDP for Malaysia comes from this company. They have thousands and thousands of employees and they contribute directly back to the government.”
Assertion Contradicted
Shenzhen Official: Futian has nearly 10,000 foreign residents staying over six months
“那我们福田区今年的统计呢就是去年的统计那就是就登基的人口都有一万多就是光福田区就有将近一万多的这样的就是外籍人士到福田有半年以上的居住的时间”
Assertion Contradicted
Kim Desmond: Bali's economy is 80% to 90% reliant on tourism
“Bali's industry is like 80 to 90% based on tourism, so they didn't want to hurt that”
Assertion Contradicted
Stephen Keery notes most Australian Rich List members built wealth in property.
“In Australia, I'm from Australia originally, and we have the BIW Rich List, you know, sort of like the Forbes list, and if you look at that, most people made their money through property or held their money in property.”