why aren't all 22 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Hyper-growth startups rarely build beyond their first 18 months of product scope
“My hypothesis is that, You know, if you need to create a large hyper-growth company, whatever you've built in the first, like, 18 months or something is sort of the extent to which you're going to build in the life cycle of your company.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zenefits continually failed when trying to expand into new markets
“We've seen that at Zenefits where we unsuccessfully tried to enter into new markets and, you know failed continually.”
Disclosure
Swanick: GrowSumo Used Fake Logos Like Dropbox to Gain Early Traction
“So they saw that there was nothing on our page, so we threw up fake logos, like, Zenefits was huge at the time, Dropbox, you know, those kinds of companies.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fulcher: Over 70% of Zenefits customers converted to paid SaaS
“The thing that was clearly a huge point of validation for me that I was excited about is more than 70% of our customers moved with us.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fulcher: Zenefits' SaaS business is growing 100% year over year
“The SaaS part of our business, separate from the insurance business, is right now growing a hundred percent year over year, and we expected to do the same this year.”
Disclosure
Fulcher: Zenefits' three-year plan reaches profitability without raising outside capital
“I've got a three-year plan that doesn't require us to raise any additional capital, and that frankly gets us not only to break even, but to gets us to profitability well before that three-year period, and so we're excited about being more or less in control of…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rippling uses an inside sales playbook very similar to Zenefits
“It's very similar playbook. Yeah, it's not very different.”
Disclosure
Fulcher: Zenefits' next imminent milestone is $100M ARR
“The next imminent Milestone that we're focused on is a hundred million bucks.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fulcher: Zenefits' discarded insurance brokerage was approaching $100M in revenue
“That's a, you know, a business that was coming up on a hundred million dollars in revenue.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fulcher: Zenefits operates at roughly 65% gross margin
“We're sort of at the 65% gross margin place right now today.”
Disclosure
Fulcher: Zenefits is not for sale and is not in acquisition talks
“No, we're not, and I, you know, our company's not for sale.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fulcher: Zenefits achieves net negative churn despite 15-20% gross revenue churn
“To the degree that we do churn some of our revenue, and it's for us in the 15 to 20% range and by the way, for SMB, when you're talking with especially super small companies, that's, we think that that's actually pretty much best in class, but one of the thing…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Fulcher: Zenefits is 12 to 24 months from 80%-plus gross margin
“So I do believe that we have some targets that get us into the 80% plus gross margin range. My view is I believe that we're sort of somewhere between 12 to 18 to potentially 24 months away from that.”
Assertion Contradicted
Zenefits grew from zero to $50 million ARR in under two years
“Zenefits grew from zero to fifty million dollars in like
Less than two years in ARR”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fulcher: Zenefits has about 500 employees and 150 contractors
“We have about 500 employees, and we probably have another 150 or so contractors around the world that are working with us.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fulcher: Zenefits annual contract values generally range between $5,000 and $15,000
“On average, we probably mostly have the bulk of our contract values are somewhere between five and 15,000 dollars per year.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fulcher: Zenefits has roughly 10,000 active customers
“We have basically around 10,000 customers. These are customers that are in some cohort Consuming some or all of our product line.”
Disclosure
Fulcher: Zenefits leverages voice recognition technology for HR capabilities
“We're actually using voice recognition products for actually utilizing and leveraging HR capability.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fulcher: Zenefits navigated its pivot with thousands of customers and ample cash
“It's not often when you have thousands of customers and plenty of cash with which to be able to kind of affect this pivot and to go in this new direction.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fulcher: Zenefits retains more than 90% of annual contract logos
“Today we're retaining more than 90% of our customers who have not annual contract with us.”
Disclosure
Prasanna Sankar emailed Parker Conrad to partner immediately after Zenefits firing
“So I left right after Parker left. So, you know, when Parker was fired from Zenefits, I wrote him an email saying, Hey dude, like, you know, I'm, I know you're going to start a company and I want to join you.”
Disclosure
Fulcher: Andreessen Horowitz partners reached out to recruit him to Zenefits
“The partners at Andreas and Horowitz called me to see if I would be interested”