why aren't all 16 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Disclosure
Urban plans to raise venture capital without a pitch deck
“I'm going to raise money without a deck.
I don't give a shit about a deck.
It's like, here, you're, this is what we're doing right now.
You're going to want to work with us.
This is what we mean.
this is what we want to do going forward.
And people are …”
Disclosure
Bounce Exchange raised VC primarily to pay a $3.5M lease deposit
“We're in the New York Times building right now, and the security deposit was three and a half million dollars. So we were profitable as a business, but we just needed to pay the security deposit to move because we were growing. That's the reason why we took on…”
Disclosure
Urban: Bounce Exchange deliberately avoided traditional outbound sales playbooks
“When you look at how all these B to B companies grew, it was because they had a fleet of salespeople, a fleet of these SDR sales development reps that are emailing, calling everybody blogs, white paper, social media, trade shows, spending a ton of money on AdW…”
Opinion
Gardner: Bounce Exchange is the most advanced competitor in website overlays
“They would be the one I respect the most when it comes to the overlay world, because I know that they're doing a lot with machine learning and such, so they're pretty advanced.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Urban: Bounce Exchange operates basically profitably
“And now, now we operate yeah, basically, basically profitable.”
Disclosure
Urban: Bounce Exchange maintained negative net revenue churn in 2015
“Our net revenue churn is
It was negative.
So we actually, it was growing.
Last year was a bad break, even a slightly negative.”
Disclosure
Urban: Bounce Exchange has never spent meaningful money on paid AdWords
“We think we shut down almost all of our social media.
we just did our first trade show last month.
We haven't spent a dollar in our life on on like paid actually for our brand term.
I think we put like 500 dollars into it because someone else was bidding o…”
Prediction Not publicly verifiable
Urban: Bounce Exchange aims to hit a $40M run rate by year-end 2016
“Our run rate will try to end this year at 30, forty million. Oh, well, definitely way more than, and in terms of and your MRR, your ARR is your annual recurring revenue or your committed annual recurring revenue. That's the important number for an immature Saa…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Liquor.com grew email conversion rates from under 0.5% to nearly 6%
“Our conversion rates used to be just absolute shit. I mean, we were looking at like less than half of one percent and since we've been working with some of you know, some pretty interesting characters out there, They're to just really just know their stuff. I …”
Disclosure
Urban: Bounce Exchange operated for over two years without raising venture capital
“Yeah, so we went over two years without raising any VC money at all. And that money, not, not all that money went into the business. Somebody wanted to clean, clean up the cap table a bit.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Urban turned down a $300,000 Bonobos offer to start Bounce Exchange
“They offered me 300,000 dollars plus to stay, so I turned that down to make zero, and I think 2013, I made It was our first, like, real full year. I made a little more 30,000 dollars that year”
Assertion Partly supported
Urban: Bounce Exchange generated approximately $17M in 2015 revenue
“Last year, I think we did like seventeen million.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Urban: Bounce Exchange has between 250 and 300 paying enterprise clients
“So a number of clients, and we probably on like 700 something websites, but paying clients is, is I think Somewhere between 250 to 300.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Urban: Bounce Exchange employs roughly 40 engineers
“Now, now we have, I don't know, 40 engineers or so”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Urban: Bounce Exchange employs around 140 people in New York
“So we've been doing that the last four years and yeah, now we're about a 140 people here in New York”
Assertion Partly supported
Urban: Bounce Exchange leases 32k sq ft in NYC for $60–$80/sq ft
“Well, we have a 32,000 square foot floor here. So it's and there, and New York is just very competitive. The price per square foot is somewhere between 60 and 80 dollars.”