Andrew Keene

President & CEO, AlphaShark Trading · 1 appearance on the record.

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executivefounderinvestorauthoranalyst@AlphaSharkTrade ↗LinkedIn ↗alphashark.com ↗

A former CBOE floor trader and co-founder of KATL Group, Keene focuses on unusual options activity and short-term Airbnb real estate investing. He is the author of Keene on the Market and frequently appears as a market analyst on CNBC and Bloomberg TV.

12statements → 8claims → 4claims resolved → 75%fully supported → 3.67/5average certainty → 2/5average debate potential → ≈4.5/5argument clarity, estimated → 4said about them ↓

3 supported 1 partly supported 0 contradicted 4 not checkable as stated how the 8 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

1 prediction · 7 assertions · 1 opinion · 1 insight · 2 disclosures · every statement was checked. The prediction and assertions are the 8 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 4 are resolved, and 4 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Andrew argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Keene: San Diego rejected proposed ban on short-term rentals
“So they're trying to ban all short-term rentals in San Diego, and that did not pass.”
Andrew Keene Dec 8, 2016 ▶ 7:48 EP 502: 30% Annual Yield AirBNB Investing with Andrew Keene

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Andrew Keene on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Andrew Keene said on Top Founders that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Keene: San Diego and Miami are the most profitable Airbnb markets
“Basically San Diego and Miami are the most profitable places for Airbnb.”
Andrew Keene Dec 8, 2016 ▶ 4:26 EP 502: 30% Annual Yield AirBNB Investing with Andrew Keene
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Keene: Smaller markets like Cleveland generate higher percentage Airbnb returns
“Profitability wise as a percentage, like smaller places, actually like a Kansas city and Cleveland are going to be better percentage wise, but I don't really want to be there or like own places there.”
Andrew Keene Dec 8, 2016 ▶ 4:42 EP 502: 30% Annual Yield AirBNB Investing with Andrew Keene
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Keene: San Diego Airbnb condo will yield about 35% cash-on-cash in 2016
“My return on capital probably this year will be about 35% of the money that I put down. That's without even appreciation of the unit.”
Andrew Keene Dec 8, 2016 ▶ 4:53 EP 502: 30% Annual Yield AirBNB Investing with Andrew Keene
Assertion Partly supported
Keene: Airbnb Superhost status doubles your chances of getting booked
“You're twice as much, quite as twice as a chance of renting your place out if you're a super host, because then they basically advertise for you.”
Andrew Keene Dec 8, 2016 ▶ 6:21 EP 502: 30% Annual Yield AirBNB Investing with Andrew Keene
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Keene: Most San Diego buildings ban short-term rentals through HOAs
“So most buildings in San Diego, you cannot do it because your HOA won't allow it.”
Andrew Keene Dec 8, 2016 ▶ 7:24 EP 502: 30% Annual Yield AirBNB Investing with Andrew Keene
Assertion Supported
Keene: San Diego rejected proposed ban on short-term rentals
“So they're trying to ban all short-term rentals in San Diego, and that did not pass.”
Andrew Keene Dec 8, 2016 ▶ 7:48 EP 502: 30% Annual Yield AirBNB Investing with Andrew Keene
Insight
Keene: Municipal bans represent biggest risk for short-term rentals
“Your biggest risk is the short-term bill passing in a certain city.”
Andrew Keene Dec 8, 2016 ▶ 7:55 EP 502: 30% Annual Yield AirBNB Investing with Andrew Keene
Opinion
Keene: Mashvisor MLS Data Sourcing Is Inaccurate
“I've been told that they are not that the way they get their MLS is, is not as accurate as it should be. So I've steered away from that one a little bit lately.”
Andrew Keene Dec 8, 2016 ▶ 14:25 EP 502: 30% Annual Yield AirBNB Investing with Andrew Keene
Assertion Supported
Keene: Airbnb property management industry standard fees are 20% to 30%
“Industry standard is 20 to 30% on management companies based in, on Airbnb.”
Andrew Keene Dec 8, 2016 ▶ 15:51 EP 502: 30% Annual Yield AirBNB Investing with Andrew Keene
Disclosure
Keene: San Diego Airbnb achieved 90% occupancy in first two months
“And we, the last two months, so it's only been a couple months, we've rented out like 28 and 27, 31 days. So our occupancy rate's about 90%, which is higher.”
Andrew Keene Dec 8, 2016 ▶ 6:09 EP 502: 30% Annual Yield AirBNB Investing with Andrew Keene
Assertion Supported
Keene: 80% of Airbnb hosts are not running it as a business
“80% of everybody that has a listing at Airbnb aren't doing it for business.”
Andrew Keene Dec 8, 2016 ▶ 6:44 EP 502: 30% Annual Yield AirBNB Investing with Andrew Keene
Disclosure
Keene: Made approximately $5 million during trading career
“I think my trading account was probably around like five million dollars. I made trading.”
Andrew Keene Dec 8, 2016 ▶ 8:50 EP 502: 30% Annual Yield AirBNB Investing with Andrew Keene

The other half of the tape: Andrew Keene's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 4 times in 2 episodes on Top Founders. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Nathan Latka 2Bill Lyons 2

Every mention by year

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Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
EP 502: 30% Annual Yield AirBNB Investing with Andrew Keene Dec 8, 2016 10m
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