why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Keene: San Diego and Miami are the most profitable Airbnb markets
“Basically San Diego and Miami are the most profitable places for Airbnb.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Keene: Smaller markets like Cleveland generate higher percentage Airbnb returns
“Profitability wise as a percentage, like smaller places, actually like a Kansas city and Cleveland are going to be better percentage wise, but I don't really want to be there or like own places there.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Keene: San Diego Airbnb condo will yield about 35% cash-on-cash in 2016
“My return on capital probably this year will be about 35% of the money that I put down. That's without even appreciation of the unit.”
Assertion Partly supported
Keene: Airbnb Superhost status doubles your chances of getting booked
“You're twice as much, quite as twice as a chance of renting your place out if you're a super host, because then they basically advertise for you.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Keene: Most San Diego buildings ban short-term rentals through HOAs
“So most buildings in San Diego, you cannot do it because your HOA won't allow it.”
Assertion Supported
Keene: San Diego rejected proposed ban on short-term rentals
“So they're trying to ban all short-term rentals in San Diego, and that did not pass.”
Insight
Keene: Municipal bans represent biggest risk for short-term rentals
“Your biggest risk is the short-term bill passing in a certain city.”
Opinion
Keene: Mashvisor MLS Data Sourcing Is Inaccurate
“I've been told that they are not that the way they get their MLS is, is not as accurate as it should be. So I've steered away from that one a little bit lately.”
Assertion Supported
Keene: Airbnb property management industry standard fees are 20% to 30%
“Industry standard is 20 to 30% on management companies based in, on Airbnb.”
Disclosure
Keene: San Diego Airbnb achieved 90% occupancy in first two months
“And we, the last two months, so it's only been a couple months, we've rented out like 28 and 27, 31 days. So our occupancy rate's about 90%, which is higher.”
Assertion Supported
Keene: 80% of Airbnb hosts are not running it as a business
“80% of everybody that has a listing at Airbnb aren't doing it for business.”
Disclosure
Keene: Made approximately $5 million during trading career
“I think my trading account was probably around like five million dollars. I made trading.”