Shift

41 statements across 5 episodes · 14 bullish · 1 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Jul 26, 2016 by George Arison · said 43 times in 4 episodes since 2016 · across every show →

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brought up most by Nathan Latka (24), George Arison (16), Tobin Sowden (3)

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Everything said about Shift, oldest first

Jul 26, 2016 neutral
Assertion Supported
Shift sells up to 12-year-old cars whereas Vroom caps at four
“When you look at our inventory we have cars that are anywhere from zero to you know, 12 years in age, whereas Vroom only has cars that are roughly, you know, zero to four years in age because if there's no test drive involved, it's kind of hard to convince som…”
George Arison Jul 26, 2016 ▶ 9:18 EP 367: $94M Raised, Car Marketplace, 270 Employees with George Arison of Shift
Jul 26, 2016 neutral
Disclosure
Shift splits upside above guaranteed minimum price with car sellers
“We agreed to a guaranteed minimum price with the seller, which is usually you know, way above the trading price, but below the price that we're selling the car for. And then when the car is sold for a price above the minimum, the difference between the minimum…”
George Arison Jul 26, 2016 ▶ 4:24 EP 367: $94M Raised, Car Marketplace, 270 Employees with George Arison of Shift
Jul 26, 2016 neutral
Disclosure
Shift raised a $24 million Series A and $50 million Series B
“Series A was 24, and Series B was 50.”
George Arison Jul 26, 2016 ▶ 7:54 EP 367: $94M Raised, Car Marketplace, 270 Employees with George Arison of Shift
Jul 26, 2016 neutral
Disclosure
Shift charges car buyers a one-time fee between $195 and $495
“So the buyer also pays a fee for using the shift service. And then lastly, you know it depends on the kind of car they're buying and the price of the car. So it ranges from one 95 to four 95, depending on the value of the car.”
George Arison Jul 26, 2016 ▶ 5:08 EP 367: $94M Raised, Car Marketplace, 270 Employees with George Arison of Shift
Jul 26, 2016 bullish
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Shift surpassed $1 million in revenue in 2015
“Yes, we definitely beat a million bucks in 2015.”
George Arison Jul 26, 2016 ▶ 12:37 EP 367: $94M Raised, Car Marketplace, 270 Employees with George Arison of Shift
Jul 26, 2016 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shift slowed 20% MoM growth to 10% to balance unit economics
“Well, so in 2015, we were growing roughly 20% month over month sometimes faster and, you know, first quarter of this year, likewise, we were growing about 20, 30% month over month. Now we slow down to the roughly, you know ten-inch percent month-for-month in o…”
George Arison Jul 26, 2016 ▶ 13:42 EP 367: $94M Raised, Car Marketplace, 270 Employees with George Arison of Shift
Apr 24, 2017 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sowden: Shift has 10k weekly active users and a 4-5% conversion rate
“I think we've seen about 20,000 installs on any given day or week. I think we have, on any given week, we have about 10,000 active users. And our free, our kind of, our free to pay conversion rate is around the four to five percent mark right now.”
Tobin Sowden Apr 24, 2017 ▶ 9:48 639: Fastest Growing Canadian Software Company: $200k to $20M in Revenue from 2010 to 2015 with CEO Tobyn Sowden
Apr 24, 2017 neutral
Disclosure
Sowden: Shift charges users $20 per year for SaaS access
“The business model is is simply, you know, software as a service, it's 20 dollars a year.”
Tobin Sowden Apr 24, 2017 ▶ 9:06 639: Fastest Growing Canadian Software Company: $200k to $20M in Revenue from 2010 to 2015 with CEO Tobyn Sowden
Apr 24, 2017
Disclosure
Sowden: Redbrick is pivoting to SaaS due to distribution revenue volatility
“As much as we love that business and it has been very good to us around quickly over the years and helped us build what we have today. It's not it's not predictable. It's not consistent. We can we, you know, it's really hard to continue to grow a business when…”
Tobin Sowden Apr 24, 2017 ▶ 13:46 639: Fastest Growing Canadian Software Company: $200k to $20M in Revenue from 2010 to 2015 with CEO Tobyn Sowden
Apr 24, 2017 positive
Disclosure
Sowden: Shift will focus on communication rather than becoming a browser
“As those, the number of integrations goes to infinity, our shift becomes a browser. So, so so I really want to avoid that and continue to make the focus of shift mostly on communication and a little bit of productivity as far as how it's linked to those primar…”
Tobin Sowden Apr 24, 2017 ▶ 12:43 639: Fastest Growing Canadian Software Company: $200k to $20M in Revenue from 2010 to 2015 with CEO Tobyn Sowden
Apr 24, 2017 neutral
Insight
Sowden: Browser session restrictions make multi-account email apps hard in-browser
“I think if you look at you know, the browser model, when it comes to how sessions work, it's not an easy thing to build the experience that we built with shift within the browser, just the technical restrictions on how browsers are built.”
Tobin Sowden Apr 24, 2017 ▶ 11:48 639: Fastest Growing Canadian Software Company: $200k to $20M in Revenue from 2010 to 2015 with CEO Tobyn Sowden
Mar 18, 2020 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Carvana sold 17,000 cars and generated $300M the year before IPO
“Carvana, which is a public company, they've been public for about three years now. They got started out of a larger dealership chain, kind of as a digital play. So they went public in 2017. In 2016, they did about 17,000 cars. And about three hundred million i…”
George Arison Mar 18, 2020 ▶ 11:58 1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Mar 18, 2020 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Arison: Market will see 60-to-90-day fundraising freeze from COVID
“I think in practice, there's going to be a bunker mentality out there for 60 to 90 days. And so nothing's going to happen. And I think we all need to bunker down and kind of get ready for that.”
George Arison Mar 18, 2020 ▶ 19:53 1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Mar 18, 2020 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Arison: Shift sees twice the demand for sub-$12k cars
“And we have a segment in our business that we call Value Auto. So these are cars that are below 12,000 dollars in price and over 80,000 miles on them. They're actually very, very popular. You would be surprised, but the twice as much demand is for the happens …”
George Arison Mar 18, 2020 ▶ 4:43 1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Mar 18, 2020 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Arison: Shift grew 30% to 50% annually, sold 11,500 cars in 2019
“Overall we've grown roughly 30 to 50% every year we've been around. And if you could take our Cager in terms of volume, and we finished last year with 11,500 cars.”
George Arison Mar 18, 2020 ▶ 8:02 1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Mar 18, 2020 bullish
Disclosure
Shift targets 40% revenue from financing and warranties in 2 years
“But I think, like, we are trying to, probably trying to get to a place where 60% of our revenue comes from the cars and 40% comes from loans and warranties over the next 1824 months.”
George Arison Mar 18, 2020 ▶ 23:06 1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Mar 18, 2020 neutral
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Arison: 65% of Shift buyers finance versus 80% at traditional dealerships
“Yeah, so we, 65% do financing, but that's actually low compared to a traditional dealer. Ok. A traditional dealer, that number's closer to 80%.”
George Arison Mar 18, 2020 ▶ 16:03 1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Mar 18, 2020 neutral
Insight
Arison: Captive auto lending requires $100M in quarterly securitizations to be viable
“But what you learn over time is that until you're doing about a hundred million dollars of securitization every quarter it's too expensive to do your own loans.”
George Arison Mar 18, 2020 ▶ 17:17 1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Mar 18, 2020 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Shift targets a potential 2021 IPO based on revenue projections
“Because if we do the revenue and the volume that we're projecting, we'd be in fairly good shape to go public next year. Now, again, who knows what happens and things might get delayed and change and whatnot.”
George Arison Mar 18, 2020 ▶ 12:22 1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Mar 18, 2020
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Arison: Shift's car inventory turnaround takes 30 to 55 days
“It varies between low and fit, 30 days, high end, 55 days. It depends on the type of inventory we're dealing with. More expensive cars take longer to sell.”
George Arison Mar 18, 2020 ▶ 18:51 1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Mar 18, 2020 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Arison: Shift Made $10M–$15M From Loans and Warranties in 2019
“No, we made probably, like, 10, maybe fifteen million in loan and warranty last year.”
George Arison Mar 18, 2020 ▶ 25:39 1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Mar 18, 2020 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Arison: Shift's pre-IPO unit economics are much stronger than Carvana's were
“Our unit economics generally have been a lot stronger than theirs were prior to IPO.”
George Arison Mar 18, 2020 ▶ 12:31 1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Mar 18, 2020
Disclosure
Arison: Value Auto makes up 25% to 30% of Shift's business
“Now it's a pretty big part of our business. It's about 20 to 25 to 30% of our business.”
George Arison Mar 18, 2020 ▶ 6:39 1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Mar 18, 2020 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Arison: Carvana held inventory for 120 days at IPO
“I don't know what Carvana's read right now, but when they went public, I think it were at a 120 days. It was definitely, definitely shorter than their IPO”
George Arison Mar 18, 2020 ▶ 19:07 1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Nov 26, 2020 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shift's unit economics are much stronger than Carvana's were pre-IPO
“Our unit economics generally have been a lot stronger than theirs were prior to IPO.”
George Arison Nov 26, 2020 ▶ 13:31 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Nov 26, 2020 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Arison: Shift sold 11,500 cars in 2019
“And if you could take our Cager in terms of volume, and we finished last year with 11,500 cars.”
George Arison Nov 26, 2020 ▶ 9:09 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Nov 26, 2020
Disclosure
Arison: Shift Made $10M to $15M in Loan and Warranty Revenue Last Year
“No, we made probably, like, 10, maybe fifteen million in loan and warranty last year.”
George Arison Nov 26, 2020 ▶ 26:39 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Nov 26, 2020
Disclosure
Arison: Shift Targets 60/40 Revenue Mix from Cars Versus Financing Products
“We are trying to probably trying to get to a place where 60% of our revenue comes from the cars and 40% comes from loans and warranties over the next 1824 months.”
George Arison Nov 26, 2020 ▶ 24:06 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Nov 26, 2020 neutral
Insight
Captive auto lending requires $100M in quarterly securitization
“Until you're doing about a hundred million dollars of securitization every quarter, it's too expensive to do your own loans.”
George Arison Nov 26, 2020 ▶ 18:17 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Nov 26, 2020
Insight
Online auto retailers become IPO-ready at 15,000 cars sold annually
“I think what really matters is volume. Like once you're past 15,000 cars a year, I think it's credible to go out public. At least based on what I'm hearing from investors, right? I've spent a lot of time with public market investors, and that's kind of their g…”
George Arison Nov 26, 2020 ▶ 26:07 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Nov 26, 2020 neutral
Disclosure
Arison: Shift has raised $225M in equity and $75M in debt
“We raised about two hundred twenty five million in equity and seven family in debt.”
George Arison Nov 26, 2020 ▶ 18:56 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Nov 26, 2020 neutral
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Sixty-five percent of Shift's car buyers utilize financing
“65% do financing.”
George Arison Nov 26, 2020 ▶ 16:56 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Nov 26, 2020 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shift sees twice as much demand for sub-$12k used cars
“You would be surprised, but the twice as much demand is for the happens for those cars. That's where everything else even though they're older.”
George Arison Nov 26, 2020 ▶ 5:53 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Nov 26, 2020 neutral
Disclosure
Shift: Value Auto inventory represents 20% to 30% of sales
“And that was a pretty big part of our business is about 20 to 25 to 30% of our business.”
George Arison Nov 26, 2020 ▶ 7:39 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Nov 26, 2020
Assertion Supported
Shift operates vehicle pickups in California and Oregon, shipping nationwide
“That's available in all of California and all of Oregon. And then if you want to buy a car, you have three ways to buy a car. You can either have a test drive be brought to you at your house or your office or you can come to our warehouse to look around, kind …”
George Arison Nov 26, 2020 ▶ 2:16 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Nov 26, 2020 bullish
Prediction Held up
Used car demand will jump over the next two quarters
“So my hunch is that demand for used cars over the next couple of quarters is going to jump because of everything that's kind of going on.”
George Arison Nov 26, 2020 ▶ 8:25 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Nov 26, 2020 bullish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Arison: Shift Will Launch Captive Lending by 2024 or 2025
“So eventually, you know, out in 20, 24, 25, we will do capital loans, but we just need to grow to be large enough before we can do that.”
George Arison Nov 26, 2020 ▶ 18:36 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Nov 26, 2020 positive
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Arison: Shift has served 60,000 lifetime buyers and sellers
“We've serviced about 60,000 customers in the life of the company on both the sell side and the buy side.”
George Arison Nov 26, 2020 ▶ 9:23 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Nov 26, 2020 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shift's inventory turns over in 30 to 55 days
“It varies between low and fit, 30 days, high end, 55 days.”
George Arison Nov 26, 2020 ▶ 19:51 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Nov 26, 2020 neutral
Disclosure
Shift's average vehicle selling price ranges between $15,000 and $17,000
“Our average price ranges by time of year and kind of how we manage the inventory, but somewhere between 15 and 17,000 dollars.”
George Arison Nov 26, 2020 ▶ 12:27 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?
Mar 15, 2023
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Spyne creates product catalogs for Walmart, Penske, and Shift
“We work with a lot of large internet companies like Walmart, some of the large companies in the U S as well. Penske motors, one of them shift. So some of these like very, very large companies work with us to create their catalogs.”
Sanjay Kumar Mar 15, 2023 ▶ 2:54 How he Grew AI Tool $25k to $250k MRR Last 12 Months, On track for $800k MRR This Year
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